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12-09-20 10:43 PM #31046
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12-10-20 08:00 AM #31047
20-14 +3.62x
San Diego State +4.5 1xPoints Awarded:
PandaBamboozal gave CantTouchAyo 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Earlerock gave CantTouchAyo 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
nasdaq888 gave CantTouchAyo 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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12-10-20 08:31 AM #31048
Whoa. Some serious steam on that one, and it's a late night game. Quickly down to SD State +2.5.
Originally Posted by CantTouchAyo
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12-10-20 08:42 AM #31049
For sure! Books must not be waiting on the Ayo trail of money to come in before the market change. Prob got some little guy in a back office hittin the refresh button on this thread. Originally Posted by barnstorm
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12-10-20 02:17 PM #31050
That’s why less chat about it is better lol Originally Posted by The Hat
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12-10-20 02:20 PM #31051
money screams without ever sayin a word Originally Posted by illyTheKid
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12-10-20 09:25 PM #31052Long time listener, first time caller
Become A Pro!
Join Date: 02-05-13Posts: 2,465Betpoints: 1117
SDSU proficient on offense.
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12-10-20 09:41 PM #31053
ASU heating up. ASU looks like the deeper, faster team.
I passed because I could only get +2.5. Thought I'd watch it and see. Probably gonna stay on the sidelines or maybe even go ASU.
Some foul trouble for ASU.Last edited by barnstorm; 12-11-20 at 09:24 AM.
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12-10-20 10:41 PM #31054
ASU looked like they were taking over and then SDSU went on an 18-2 run to break it open. SDSU a smart team. ASU talented but not so smart beyond Remy Martin.
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12-10-20 10:53 PM #31055
Aztecs better than most of the 10-20 ranked teams at the moment. Well coached too
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12-11-20 11:41 AM #31056
21-14 +4.62x
Northeastern +6.5 1x
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12-11-20 12:07 PM #31057
Hurry. Game tips at 1:30 EST. Originally Posted by CantTouchAyo
You can actually get +7 -110 at some Books.Last edited by barnstorm; 12-11-20 at 04:26 PM.
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12-11-20 01:33 PM #31058
I play a few football teasers from time to time and thought I would look into what might be the most advantageous 'Ayo Plays' to add to these teasers from time to time.
YTD Ayo is:
8-2 on dawgs at +7 or less
14-5 on sides of 7 or less (regardless of dawg or fav) 74%
9-4 on sides of 3 or less (regardless of dawg or fav) 69%
Small sample size and was just looking for an option for some of these teaser slots.
Since my teasers are usually only for 5 hoop points, was lookin for the safest possible plays since I don't play a large volume of teasers. What may be more important though is how far off the losses/wins were from the spread.
Regardless, I still play the double digit Ayo plays for the same amount as the smaller lines in terms of straight plays - and think they will hold just as much value since the season is still early and things change throughout the season.
.Last edited by The Hat; 12-11-20 at 01:52 PM.
Points Awarded:
angryitalian gave The Hat 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
illyTheKid gave The Hat 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
apps54 gave The Hat 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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12-11-20 04:16 PM #31059
Lol. Ayo is hitting over 70%. Let's see how we can make that better.
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12-11-20 04:21 PM #31060
The beauty about betting is you can bet whoever and however you want. Let the guy do what he wants and move on, my guy. Originally Posted by Joe Sharp
Points Awarded:
grounds250 gave illyTheKid 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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12-11-20 04:29 PM #31061
58%. Still good, but nobody hits 70% Originally Posted by Joe Sharp
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12-11-20 04:33 PM #31062
My statement is misleading....certainly not trying to improve on the GOAT. Basically have several two team teasers that most of the time I used for football (7 points)....however, they also allow for 5 basketball points. Just off the top of my head it seemed like Ayo was actually outright winning on the small dawgs - therefore, I thought those might be the best plays to use for these teasers since I can't put every Ayo play into a teaser. Stats change throughout the year. Ayo always on fire early. The best hands down. Originally Posted by Joe Sharp
I play every Ayo pick at a flat 10% of my season starting bankroll regardless of the line. Then I have a few teasers
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12-11-20 04:43 PM #31063
nothing wrong with that, best of luck
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12-11-20 04:49 PM #31064
Hat...I was being sarcastic with the 70% and just poking fun. If you are successful keep doing you!
illy, my guy, you are absolutely right. Beauty about a posting forum is you can post whatever you want but guys can respond as well.
Carry on fellas. No malice here, promise that.
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12-11-20 04:52 PM #31065
Same! Good luck buddy Originally Posted by Joe Sharp
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12-11-20 04:52 PM #31066
No worries pal. I'm more than fine with the 57% or so that Ayo provides year in and out.... Originally Posted by Joe Sharp
was just thinkin out loud over a pint of damson berry shine earlier
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12-11-20 04:56 PM #31067
Damn that sounds good. I'm about to pick up dinner and have a glass of zacapa (real good rum from Guatemala).
Cheers!
Lots of love for Iowa and Nevada tonight. Let's see if Ayo puts out either side (or opposite)....Points Awarded:
The Hat gave Joe Sharp 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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12-11-20 05:09 PM #31068
Meaninglessness due to the small sample as you correctly mentioned. Originally Posted by The Hat
Now go do the real leg work, and back test your theory by manually combing the thread and getting the figures for the entire past three seasons. Let me know when you’re done.
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12-11-20 05:13 PM #31069
No real theory - hence my statement of small sample size....we're in the same boat. Originally Posted by Mako-SBR
Meaninglessness due to the small sample as you correctly mentioned.
Now go do the real leg work, and back test your theory by manually combing the thread and getting the figures for the entire past three seasons. Let me know when you’re done.
I actually started off looking into the last 5 Novembers and downshifted into this season only. Was really looking at an angle of dawgs winning outright early in the season
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12-11-20 05:18 PM #31070
On to the next
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12-11-20 06:46 PM #31071
Iowa by 20+
Points Awarded:
illyTheKid gave hawkeyeguy27 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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12-12-20 09:08 AM #31072
21-15 +3.52x
IUPUI -2
Valpo -3
BYU ml -125
Belmont -5.5
1x each. GL
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12-12-20 09:14 AM #31073
GL Ayo! Hope you have a big day my friend!
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12-12-20 09:38 AM #31074
Belmont steaming to -7.
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12-12-20 10:21 AM #31075
Gardner Webb +14 1x
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12-12-20 11:59 AM #31076
Gardner Webb was definitely at +14 when Ayo posted at 11:21 AM. By 11:48, it was down to +13.5 and at 11:51 it was down to +13. Originally Posted by CantTouchAyo
There are more than just us guys here on SBR following Ayo. Somebody with some deep pockets, or maybe even some syndicates, are jumping on his picks. Or maybe it is just a lot of little guys like us and maybe his picks are being broadcast to other forums.
GL!
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12-12-20 12:21 PM #31077
How much money do you think is needed to move a line is the real question?
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12-12-20 12:33 PM #31078
depends. Originally Posted by loveofsports
offshore? not much. but at a casino or a sportsbook its takes quite a bit
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12-12-20 12:57 PM #31079
Could be but, tbh, idk. As humans, we like to find patterns so while the Ayo moving markets theory could have merit, I think it has more to do with Ayo catching onto an edge a little bit sooner (even if just by minutes) than everyone else. Originally Posted by barnstorm
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12-12-20 01:02 PM #31080
A one point cover! IUPUI hit two free throws to go up 3 with 5 seconds to go and didn't foul and Tenny State missed their 3 point attempt!
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