1. #31046
    barnstorm
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    Nice, we got the dribble-out of the last 30 seconds by Missouri and no foul by Liberty and we lose by 9! Needed that after that nasty Furman finish.

  2. #31047
    barnstorm
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    Wow! Pitt wins by 1. Pitt never led in this game until the final bucket! Northwestern's best free throw shooter missed 2 FTs when they were up by 1 with 15 seconds to go. He had gotten fouled pretty hard and was slow to get up before missing those two free throws. Pitt came down and got a nice assist and dunk to go. up 1. Northwestern couldn't get off a good shot at the end. Whew!

  3. #31048
    illyTheKid
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    Pitt!!

  4. #31049
    CantTouchAyo
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    20-14 +3.62x

    San Diego State +4.5 1x
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  5. #31050
    barnstorm
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    Quote Originally Posted by CantTouchAyo View Post
    20-14 +3.62x

    San Diego State +4.5 1x
    Whoa. Some serious steam on that one, and it's a late night game. Quickly down to SD State +2.5.

  6. #31051
    The Hat
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    Quote Originally Posted by barnstorm View Post
    Whoa. Some serious steam on that one, and it's a late night game. Quickly down to SD State +2.5.
    For sure! Books must not be waiting on the Ayo trail of money to come in before the market change. Prob got some little guy in a back office hittin the refresh button on this thread.

  7. #31052
    illyTheKid
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Hat View Post
    For sure! Books must not be waiting on the Ayo trail of money to come in before the market change. Prob got some little guy in a back office hittin the refresh button on this thread.
    Thatís why less chat about it is better lol

  8. #31053
    The Hat
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    Quote Originally Posted by illyTheKid View Post
    That’s why less chat about it is better lol
    money screams without ever sayin a word

  9. #31054
    KDF500
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    SDSU proficient on offense.

  10. #31055
    barnstorm
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    ASU heating up. ASU looks like the deeper, faster team.

    I passed because I could only get +2.5. Thought I'd watch it and see. Probably gonna stay on the sidelines or maybe even go ASU.

    Some foul trouble for ASU.
    Last edited by barnstorm; 12-11-20 at 09:24 AM.

  11. #31056
    barnstorm
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    ASU looked like they were taking over and then SDSU went on an 18-2 run to break it open. SDSU a smart team. ASU talented but not so smart beyond Remy Martin.

  12. #31057
    The Hat
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    Aztecs better than most of the 10-20 ranked teams at the moment. Well coached too

  13. #31058
    CantTouchAyo
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    21-14 +4.62x

    Northeastern +6.5 1x

  14. #31059
    barnstorm
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    Quote Originally Posted by CantTouchAyo View Post
    21-14 +4.62x
    Northeastern +6.5 1x
    Hurry. Game tips at 1:30 EST.
    You can actually get +7 -110 at some Books.
    Last edited by barnstorm; 12-11-20 at 04:26 PM.

  15. #31060
    The Hat
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    I play a few football teasers from time to time and thought I would look into what might be the most advantageous 'Ayo Plays' to add to these teasers from time to time.

    YTD Ayo is:
    8-2 on dawgs at +7 or less
    14-5 on sides of 7 or less (regardless of dawg or fav) 74%
    9-4 on sides of 3 or less (regardless of dawg or fav) 69%

    Small sample size and was just looking for an option for some of these teaser slots.

    Since my teasers are usually only for 5 hoop points, was lookin for the safest possible plays since I don't play a large volume of teasers. What may be more important though is how far off the losses/wins were from the spread.

    Regardless, I still play the double digit Ayo plays for the same amount as the smaller lines in terms of straight plays - and think they will hold just as much value since the season is still early and things change throughout the season.

    .
    Last edited by The Hat; 12-11-20 at 01:52 PM.
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  16. #31061
    Joe Sharp
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    Lol. Ayo is hitting over 70%. Let's see how we can make that better.

  17. #31062
    illyTheKid
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Sharp View Post
    Lol. Ayo is hitting over 70%. Let's see how we can make that better.
    The beauty about betting is you can bet whoever and however you want. Let the guy do what he wants and move on, my guy.
    Points Awarded:

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  18. #31063
    Letsgovols22
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Sharp View Post
    Lol. Ayo is hitting over 70%. Let's see how we can make that better.
    58%. Still good, but nobody hits 70%

  19. #31064
    The Hat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Sharp View Post
    Lol. Ayo is hitting over 70%. Let's see how we can make that better.
    My statement is misleading....certainly not trying to improve on the GOAT. Basically have several two team teasers that most of the time I used for football (7 points)....however, they also allow for 5 basketball points. Just off the top of my head it seemed like Ayo was actually outright winning on the small dawgs - therefore, I thought those might be the best plays to use for these teasers since I can't put every Ayo play into a teaser. Stats change throughout the year. Ayo always on fire early. The best hands down.

    I play every Ayo pick at a flat 10% of my season starting bankroll regardless of the line. Then I have a few teasers

  20. #31065
    grounds250
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    nothing wrong with that, best of luck

  21. #31066
    Joe Sharp
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    Hat...I was being sarcastic with the 70% and just poking fun. If you are successful keep doing you!

    illy, my guy, you are absolutely right. Beauty about a posting forum is you can post whatever you want but guys can respond as well.

    Carry on fellas. No malice here, promise that.

  22. #31067
    illyTheKid
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Sharp View Post
    Hat...I was being sarcastic with the 70% and just poking fun. If you are successful keep doing you!

    illy, my guy, you are absolutely right. Beauty about a posting forum is you can post whatever you want but guys can respond as well.

    Carry on fellas. No malice here, promise that.
    Same! Good luck buddy

  23. #31068
    The Hat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Sharp View Post
    Hat...I was being sarcastic with the 70% and just poking fun. If you are successful keep doing you!

    illy, my guy, you are absolutely right. Beauty about a posting forum is you can post whatever you want but guys can respond as well.

    Carry on fellas. No malice here, promise that.
    No worries pal. I'm more than fine with the 57% or so that Ayo provides year in and out....

    was just thinkin out loud over a pint of damson berry shine earlier

  24. #31069
    Joe Sharp
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    Damn that sounds good. I'm about to pick up dinner and have a glass of zacapa (real good rum from Guatemala).

    Cheers!


    Lots of love for Iowa and Nevada tonight. Let's see if Ayo puts out either side (or opposite)....
    Points Awarded:

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  25. #31070
    Mako-SBR
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Hat View Post
    I play a few football teasers from time to time and thought I would look into what might be the most advantageous 'Ayo Plays' to add to these teasers from time to time.
    YTD Ayo is:
    8-2 on dawgs at +7 or less
    14-5 on sides of 7 or less (regardless of dawg or fav) 74%
    9-4 on sides of 3 or less (regardless of dawg or fav) 69%

    Small sample size and was just looking for an option for some of these teaser slots.

    Since my teasers are usually only for 5 hoop points, was lookin for the safest possible plays since I don't play a large volume of teasers. What may be more important though is how far off the losses/wins were from the spread.

    Regardless, I still play the double digit Ayo plays for the same amount as the smaller lines in terms of straight plays - and think they will hold just as much value since the season is still early and things change throughout the season.

    .
    Meaninglessness due to the small sample as you correctly mentioned.

    Now go do the real leg work, and back test your theory by manually combing the thread and getting the figures for the entire past three seasons. Let me know when you’re done.

  26. #31071
    The Hat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mako-SBR View Post
    Meaninglessness due to the small sample as you correctly mentioned.

    Now go do the real leg work, and back test your theory by manually combing the thread and getting the figures for the entire past three seasons. Let me know when you’re done.
    No real theory - hence my statement of small sample size....we're in the same boat.

    I actually started off looking into the last 5 Novembers and downshifted into this season only. Was really looking at an angle of dawgs winning outright early in the season

  27. #31072
    The Hat
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    On to the next

  28. #31073
    hawkeyeguy27
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    Iowa by 20+
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    illyTheKid gave hawkeyeguy27 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  29. #31074
    CantTouchAyo
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    21-15 +3.52x

    IUPUI -2
    Valpo -3
    BYU ml -125
    Belmont -5.5

    1x each. GL

  30. #31075
    Joe Sharp
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    GL Ayo! Hope you have a big day my friend!

  31. #31076
    barnstorm
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    Belmont steaming to -7.

  32. #31077
    CantTouchAyo
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    ​Gardner Webb +14 1x

  33. #31078
    barnstorm
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    Quote Originally Posted by CantTouchAyo View Post
    ​Gardner Webb +14 1x
    Gardner Webb was definitely at +14 when Ayo posted at 11:21 AM. By 11:48, it was down to +13.5 and at 11:51 it was down to +13.

    There are more than just us guys here on SBR following Ayo. Somebody with some deep pockets, or maybe even some syndicates, are jumping on his picks. Or maybe it is just a lot of little guys like us and maybe his picks are being broadcast to other forums.

    GL!

  34. #31079
    loveofsports
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    How much money do you think is needed to move a line is the real question?

  35. #31080
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by loveofsports View Post
    How much money do you think is needed to move a line is the real question?
    depends.


    offshore? not much. but at a casino or a sportsbook its takes quite a bit

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