1. 04-04-11 05:45 PM #1
    flipside2469
    flipside2469's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-09-11
    Posts: 736
    Betpoints: 278

    UCONN $30 to win $495.....Hedge Bet?

    Fellas, need your thoughts on this one. I put down $30 (before the Sweet 16 games) on UCONN to win $495 if they win the tourney. I could totally see either team tonight win. Butler's moneyline is at +150 right now, so I could be at a win/win situation if I put down some cash on Butler.

    What would you do?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 04-04-11 05:51 PM #2
    VegasInsider
    Update your status
    VegasInsider's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-12-10
    Posts: 14,593
    Betpoints: 18

    It depends if you'll be upset losing out on the $495. If you would be, then play Butler ML for $200. You'll either profit $295 if UConn wins or $270 if Butler wins (Also took out the $30 lost from UConn futures play).

    I'd say it's probably worth the hedge.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 04-04-11 05:51 PM #3
    sparkyasu
    sparkyasu's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-17-11
    Posts: 688
    Betpoints: 1

    put your housedeed on Butler ML
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 04-04-11 05:52 PM #4
    VegasInsider
    Update your status
    VegasInsider's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-12-10
    Posts: 14,593
    Betpoints: 18

    You'll also have a halftime line to play with...don't forget about that...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 04-04-11 05:53 PM #5
    dfberger23
    dfberger23's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 5,069
    Betpoints: 406

    Maybe tease Butler with a NBA game tomorrow to try and hit a middle.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 04-04-11 05:54 PM #6
    neverstoppers23
    neverstoppers23's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-09
    Posts: 6,302
    Betpoints: 41

    I would just stick with it. I don't see butler winning this game, I think if you want to play safe sure do it. But to me its a waste of money, i think Ucon wins this. Butler has not seen a place as good as Walker yet, I am not sure howard will be able to play with him. And if walker goes off, ucon wins.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 04-04-11 06:00 PM #7
    flipside2469
    flipside2469's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-09-11
    Posts: 736
    Betpoints: 278

    I definitely feel what VI is saying, but I just have a feeling UCONN is going to take this at the end. I've followed them since the Maui. I wouldn't be suprised if Butler won. However, all I hear about why Butler is going to win, is experience of making it to the finals last year. Hell, didn't the Buffalo Bills make it to the Superbowl 4 times and didn't win one? AHHH MAN!!!! I just don't know!!!! LOL!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 04-04-11 06:00 PM #8
    flipside2469
    flipside2469's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-09-11
    Posts: 736
    Betpoints: 278

    Quote Originally Posted by dfberger23 View Post
    Maybe tease Butler with a NBA game tomorrow to try and hit a middle.
    For example?...sorry man, I'm a newbie. Thanks!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 04-04-11 06:04 PM #9
    VegasInsider
    Update your status
    VegasInsider's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-12-10
    Posts: 14,593
    Betpoints: 18

    Don't tease it with anything else..you're trying to turn a profit on this game, not get yourself into a middling war with other games.

    By your last post I can tell you really like UConn...just ride out your gut feeling.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 04-04-11 06:07 PM #10
    flipside2469
    flipside2469's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-09-11
    Posts: 736
    Betpoints: 278

    Quote Originally Posted by VegasInsider View Post
    Don't tease it with anything else..you're trying to turn a profit on this game, not get yourself into a middling war with other games.

    By your last post I can tell you really like UConn...just ride out your gut feeling.
    Thanks for your inputs VI. Good luck to you my friend.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 04-04-11 06:09 PM #11
    Cap dat 4ss
    okst. -13.5
    Cap dat 4ss's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-11-10
    Posts: 3,665
    Betpoints: 5

    Why hedge? You've got UCONN @ +1400 right now when Vegas has them around -160 to -170. Vegas is thinking UCONN wins this game >60% of the time. At your value UCONN would only have to win 6% of the time to break even. Let it ride
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 04-04-11 06:10 PM #12
    sparkyasu
    sparkyasu's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-17-11
    Posts: 688
    Betpoints: 1

    Quote Originally Posted by VegasInsider View Post
    It depends if you'll be upset losing out on the $495. If you would be, then play Butler ML for $200. You'll either profit $295 if UConn wins or $270 if Butler wins (Also took out the $30 lost from UConn futures play).

    I'd say it's probably worth the hedge.
    this is the right move though if you are gonna hedge
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 04-04-11 06:11 PM #13
    RudyRuetigger
    Leave of absence until March Madness
    RudyRuetigger's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-10
    Posts: 64,799
    Betpoints: 55

    get off it, Butler wins
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 04-04-11 06:12 PM #14
    philswin
    philswin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-18-07
    Posts: 1,279
    Betpoints: 4640

    Maybe a $100 moneyline Bet on Butler - You will either win $395 or $120. It all depends how confident you are on Uconn and if you really want to cash on the game. Either way nice Uconn bet
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 04-04-11 06:33 PM #15
    Otters27
    Otters27's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-14-07
    Posts: 30,688
    Betpoints: 410

    I would hedge a little. Enough to make yourself happy either way but not enough so that you don't care about outcome.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 04-04-11 10:44 PM #16
    Cap dat 4ss
    okst. -13.5
    Cap dat 4ss's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-11-10
    Posts: 3,665
    Betpoints: 5

    Hey Flip, hope you left your bet alone
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 04-04-11 11:28 PM #17
    flipside2469
    flipside2469's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-09-11
    Posts: 736
    Betpoints: 278

    Quote Originally Posted by Cap dat 4ss View Post
    Hey Flip, hope you left your bet alone
    I ended up putting down $120 on Butler. Took the over on the game, lost that, but won the second half plays. Ended up taking home $420 on the night. I seriously appreciate everyone's inputs.

    It's all about making $$, right?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 04-04-11 11:33 PM #18
    Cap dat 4ss
    okst. -13.5
    Cap dat 4ss's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-11-10
    Posts: 3,665
    Betpoints: 5

    Quote Originally Posted by flipside2469 View Post
    It's all about making $$, right?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 04-04-11 11:34 PM #19
    DeeWizzle
    DeeWizzle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-08-09
    Posts: 3,316
    Betpoints: 109

    Nice
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 04-04-11 11:48 PM #20
    Ramster
    Ramster's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-08-09
    Posts: 81
    Betpoints: 1897

    Quote Originally Posted by flipside2469 View Post
    I ended up putting down $120 on Butler. Took the over on the game, lost that, but won the second half plays. Ended up taking home $420 on the night. I seriously appreciate everyone's inputs.

    It's all about making $$, right?
    very nice. Congrats
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 04-04-11 11:53 PM #21
    MexicanStallion
    MexicanStallion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-08
    Posts: 20,429
    Betpoints: 11153

    Quote Originally Posted by flipside2469 View Post
    I ended up putting down $120 on Butler. Took the over on the game, lost that, but won the second half plays. Ended up taking home $420 on the night. I seriously appreciate everyone's inputs.

    It's all about making $$, right?
    Congrats sir and glad people helped out. I would always try to hedge if I get a chance. It's better to come away with guaranteed money when you can.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 04-05-11 12:21 AM #22
    vincanity15
    vincanity15's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-30-11
    Posts: 762
    Betpoints: 0

    nice win congrats
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 04-05-11 01:13 AM #23
    gdoom
    gdoom's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-25-10
    Posts: 606
    Betpoints: 1

    Nice hit bro...I knew this was the play in the beginning of the tournament, but guess what, I never played it one time...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 04-05-11 05:09 AM #24
    Gee
    Gee's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-08-10
    Posts: 4,547
    Betpoints: 2327

    very difficult hedge

    played like a pro.

    some excellent advice in this thread.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 04-05-11 05:16 AM #25
    mrfredde
    mrfredde's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-10
    Posts: 201
    Betpoints: 1

    Quote Originally Posted by flipside2469 View Post
    I ended up putting down $120 on Butler. Took the over on the game, lost that, but won the second half plays. Ended up taking home $420 on the night. I seriously appreciate everyone's inputs.

    It's all about making $$, right?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 04-05-11 05:22 AM #26
    MWade
    MWade's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-28-11
    Posts: 98
    Betpoints: 1

    Quote Originally Posted by flipside2469 View Post
    I ended up putting down $120 on Butler. Took the over on the game, lost that, but won the second half plays. Ended up taking home $420 on the night. I seriously appreciate everyone's inputs.

    It's all about making $$, right?
    nice one
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 04-05-11 10:13 AM #27
    flipside2469
    flipside2469's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-09-11
    Posts: 736
    Betpoints: 278

    Thanks to all for the praises fellas. I was down on my luck last year, then I met some really good people on here, and this year my luck has changed. I picked UCONN because of the great run they had on neutral floors this year, followed them since the Maui, Big East Tourney, then the big dance itself. To make it even more sweeter, they were hot, coming out of their conference tourney. I don't know fellas, it always seems that the hot teams going into the playoffs, and into the championship usually wins, SF Giants, Packers, now UCONN.

    Those wins against Witchita St, Mich St, and Kentucky showed me how special Kemba Walker was. He's even better without the ball.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 04-05-11 10:24 AM #28
    Raleigh77
    Raleigh77's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-28-09
    Posts: 320
    Betpoints: 0

    Congrats. Lots of value in the UConn line you played.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »