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NCAAB Finals - been quite a ride
Well this is it, been unreal tourney. This is why they call it MARCH MADNESS. It makes u go mad LOL. Hmm let's see, don't know where to start. When i saw Butler +4, i thought "u gotta be shittin me" Butler's got a real chance to win the game. So was chattin with a few peeps @ the sportsbook and they all said the same thing. lol i thought, shit this can't be right. After crunchin the #'s this is what i bet....
5* UCONN -4.5 +112
and if @ any point in the game i can get them live @ +EV u can be sure i'm bettin the farm. =p i have 2 now, won 1 against UK
Ok so here we go... during the dance dogs have covered or won because they can shoot the 3, same goes for favs being able to pull away or not was if they could shoot the 3.
Butler always kept the game close not because they can shoot the 3 well, but they can defend the 3 well... they were always within striking distance. A couple of lucky bounces, mental lapse by opponent and u have ur cinderella in the finals again.
TRUE... and it worked vs VCU, Pitt, Wisconsin teams that lived and died by the 3.
On neutral site (all tournament games) UCONN launches 26.5% of their shots from behind the arc. ADVANTAGE UCONN
Statistics..Neutral Court...
Butler Off. Avg 70.7 Def Avg 65.9
Avg Margin 4.8
UCONN OFF Avg 75.3 Def Avg 65.5
Avg Margin 9.8
Average power rating of opponents played: BUTLER 73.4, CONNECTICUT 77.8
ADVANTAGE UCONN
Brandon Mack against VCU
30min, 29 pts 8/11 FG 72.7% 5/6 3PT 83% UNREAL
he needs to duplitcate this for Butler even HAVE a chance, if he doesn't they're done.
ADVANTAGE UCONN
Micheal Jordan... err i mean Kemba Walker...
This guy was made for the big stage, just performs under pressure. with someone like Walker on the court for UCONN, Huskies wont have mental lapse... no key mistakes, hesitation, Butler cant stay close enough to pull that rabbit outta the hat again.
ADVANTAGE UCONN
Calhoun... what did i say he was...err 3-1 in Final Four and 2 Championships.... there's a reason for that. The guy knows what he's doin... gonna be 3 after tonite. UConn will control the tempo of this game, with Walker controllin the ball they're not gonna launch shots from the arc. they got personel to pound it inside, something Butler struggled against.
Basically what i see is Butler = poor man's version of San Diego St and we'll know tonight if that is the correct assumption. I'm puttin my money where my mouth is. see ya @ the bank.
-vai
BoL
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Originally Posted by nyplayer33
