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Heat -9 ?
What do you think about the Heat -9 against the Raptors? Toronto is 10-17 at home, Heat is 20-10 away. Heat is 40-15 and Raptors are 15-40. Why are they only -9? The raptors are dogsh!t even at home and the heat is good away?? Is there any way that the Heat take it easy on them ?? I wanna bet big on the heat but the line seems odd to me.
My newly and not yet proven system is showing that I should bet on top teams against the bottom of the crop team when laying points less than double digits.
1) This will prevent an upset.
2) This will hopefully prevent a neck to neck game where the spread on the fav team is at jeopardy and time is running out.
3) Bet this style in the long run to gain positive units since top teams are slaying bottom of the crop teams by double digits more than 60% of the time. I'm being generous with the % there.
Heat any good in slaying bottom of the crop teams?
Going backwards
Heat over clipper by 18
Heat over cavs by 27
Heat over TO by 17
Heat lost clippers by 6 at the mighty upset home of the clippers
Heat over washington by 1 <<--- booooooo
Heat over cavs by 6
Heat over cavs by 28
Heat over TO by 9
Heat over MN by 32
Heat over NETS by 23
heat will go easy and win but won't cover.
hmm. Wonder if a teaser may be in order for tomorrows plays. something like this?
Select #1 : NBA Basketball for Game
Orlando Magic 2/16/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Spread -7 -110 for Game
Select #2 : NBA Basketball for Game
Miami Heat 2/16/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Spread -5 -110 for Game
Select #3 : NBA Basketball for Game
Boston Celtics 2/16/2011 7:35 PM - (EST)
Spread -7½ -110 for Game
I was thinking though since the All star break is coming up that they may not want to kill themselves. Im trying to find one game i really like tomorrow and bet it really big and the heat game stuck out to me but then it seemed kind of odd at the same time. I would think it would be more like -11
Bold statement.Originally Posted by shermanator
The question that should be asking is can cavs play basketball.
You have Wade, Bosh, Lebron All playing in the all star game so i Dont think there going to want to strain themselves but Toronto really sucks. The celtics game im unsure of as well because 4 great players from Boston will be there for the east to. Does this really make that much of a difference you think?
true we have Kobe and Gasol playin the all star game to , i never trust the lakers and the cavs have been covering most of the time just not winning.
Or this?
Select #1 : NBA Basketball for Game
Orlando Magic 2/16/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Spread -7 -110 for Game
Select #2 : NBA Basketball for Game
Miami Heat 2/16/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Spread -5 -110 for Game
Select #3 : NBA Basketball for Game
Boston Celtics 2/16/2011 7:35 PM - (EST)
Spread -7½ -110 for Game
Select #4 : NBA Basketball for Game
Los Angeles Lakers 2/16/2011 7:35 PM - (EST)
Spread -6½ -110 for Game
Amount : Risking 500.00 To Win 1,500.00 USD
heat will win and cover ,from now on the heat will put the pedal to the metal
This whole all star thing is making me nervous though and a lot of the lines are on the larger side
Do you believe this though even though their 3 top players are in the all star game in a couple days? If they lose this game is it that big of a deal?
heat has a margin of 7.8
toronto of -5.8
so this could be like a 7 point win according to these number but the heat will dominate since wade, lebron and bosh are hot. I watch like every toronto game and this team doesn't have a good defensive player let alone 3. I think the heat cover and the trio scores a 100 points. They had 90 today.
i wonder if i take the Heat and just buy the 2 points would that be the safest bet? Or will this all star game really affect the heats top 3 players for this game with toronto and heat only wins by a couple points?
The video wont play whats in it?
All star game does not mean anything in my opinion.... I think they want to end the first half of the season with a bang....
"lotta things said about him from the management side, from the upstairs group in toronto about him.. quittin and not playing through injuries and things like that, so y'know we gonna be there for our brother.. i'm glad that this is the last game before all-star, because we have some motivation"
-Lebron James after Indiana Win
Heat love beating up on crap teams.
No kidding. I think this hate motivation is in TO is going to make the heat going out for blood. What happened when Vince Carter goes back to TO? He got booed too but he put up some sick azz points to make a point.
I think tonight's game, Heat is going strong and using this game as a practice, high scoring game to make the trio look good for the all star game.
The only way to shut them TO fans up is to kill Toronto by a big load. You don't boo me, I'll tear this house down.
I dont like the fact that Chalmers prob wont play tomorrow. Mike Miller is out but we can replace him with Jones/house
The orlando play may be good as well as rashard lewis is out and wont play against his former team. I think the teaser may be in order as i never like laying so many points like that. I already put in the 1k Heat bet, now thinking of doing the Heat, Orlando, Celtics Teaser and leave The lakers out cause i dont trust them for anything lol
Mike miller is out with the head injury but he didnt even have any points today against the pacers only 3 reb ,1ast . Why isnt chalmers playing hes not on the injury report check here:
http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/injuries/nba/all/?r=1
Last edited by twelvejewelz; 02-16-11 at 02:22 AM.
Heat will cover...I think that
heat will win.. but dont think they cover
I was impressed by the Heat with their start to the Pacers game yesterday. I was even more impressed that the Pacers came back to make it a game. The Craptors is no Pacers. They will end up as a skid mark
hopefully they really put it on toronto and embarrass them.
replace bos with dal and u will win. bos here not in a good position. should win but not big
Heat by double digits..Bosh will drop near 30 and play D in his return to Tor...GL
what do you mean "only" 9 pts? that's huge for a road fav
Lucky i bought the 2 points!!! +1k for me today. wow they had me sweating. took your advice gtboy and put dallas in place of boston for the teaser just for little $$.
heat -7 $1500 to win $1000 WIN
PendingWIN
Heat -5 WIN
Magic -7WIN
Dallas -6.5 WIN
100 to win 180
Last edited by twelvejewelz; 02-17-11 at 08:53 AM.
Cashed the Teaser to good day today.
to bad they only won by 8 I had a few dollars on the heat spread.
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