[sweetjones55]

Spurs -3.5 LOCKED (x3)

I don't care about any line movement or public betting on this one. Utah lost 5 straight road games, are coming back home for the first game, on back to back. Utah's plane won't leave LA til about 12AM and it's a 3 hour flight which means they will land in Utah at 3AM and probably not be home and asleep til 4AM to then have to wake up with no preparation or gameplan to play the best team in the NBA with the best road record. Did I mention that Utah's players don't even know the plays (read quote below)?? They got blown out by LA, PHI, BOS. They lost by 8 to NJ and by 7 to Wash. I really highly doubt they get back home and somehow magically play great on back to back against the Spurs, a team they already lost to by double digits at home. Spurs had a day of rest and are 16-9-2 ATS with 1 day of rest. Spurs have NEVER been favored in Utah. The books know what's up.

“I think at times one or two of the guys out on the court do not know what we are running,”. Deron Williams also said more than once this season that his team does not know the plays, while guard Raja Bell has pointed out Utah’s tendency to resort to one-on-one ball once the team’s offense breaks down. Utah is really falling apart, you would think at the very least they would be well coached but that has not been the case this year.

[Pauulzcappin]

Exactly what I'm talking about.

[Pauulzcappin]

The line is offline, I expect it to be -4 when it's back up.

[sweetjones55]

Get on this one early as the line is going to move VERY fast.

[sportman1313]

utah have burned me a few times (including tonight's game in 4th, smh)...I keep anticipating some sort of rebound from them, and am sure at some point it will come, but this team is just garbage and truly falling apart. They're not deep enough to cause any sort of threat and are playing some terrible terrible basketball. Can't see this one being close...

[sweetjones55]

The line is offline, I expect it to be -4 when it's back up.

I am reallyyyy hoping to get an early line of -3.5 that moves almost immediately to -4 but you are probably right. It should open at -4 if the books have a clue.

[Pauulzcappin]

Pinny just went on maintence, I'm gonna catch a couple of hours of sleep and try to get a good line.

[Kaan]

Wonder when it will open...

[sweetjones55]

Pinny just went on maintence, I'm gonna catch a couple of hours of sleep and try to get a good line.

I've always noticed when you got games like this where it looks like a great play that the books take forever to open the line.

[Shadowcat]

Gotta feel bad for the Jazz...

[xxxvince]

hope the spurs will win and u are right bu8ddy.. lets cash this and break the book

[juanego]

Im already excited about this tomorrow, going hard on the spurs tomorrow!!! Good vibes
Damn....I love betting

[ParlayKing]

Spurs ml

[sweetjones55]

Line reopened at bookmaker, -3.5.

[juanego]

Line reopened at bookmaker, -3.5.

Damn just got in at -4.....BOL guys $$$!

[Rebel90]

Im in this for 2k..let's get it.

[whadeeb]

Sounds like a good bet

[monkeyking]

like this bet as well, this is like another road game for utah...i would fade them 1q and 1h too for good measure

[Beatles]

sometimes you don't need team chemistry always to win games. the jazz are playing very bad right now but 1 dominate player can win a game by himself and you should know this if you play ball. Deron can win this game by himself if he gets in a rhythm, not just scoring, just making plays. he knows he's the best player in that gym tomrrow

the spurs at -3.5 looks decent at best. the jazz are not getting blown out thats for sure. milsap will actually be able to get some work against the undersized blaire, whereas today he was unsuccessfully trying to guard the crafty 7 footer

[Rebel90]

sometimes you don't need team chemistry always to win games. the jazz are playing very bad right now but 1 dominate player can win a game by himself and you should know this if you play ball. Deron can win this game by himself if he gets in a rhythm, not just scoring, just making plays. he knows he's the best player in that gym tomrrow

the spurs at -3.5 looks decent at best. the jazz are not getting blown out thats for sure. milsap will actually be able to get some work against the undersized blaire, whereas today he was unsuccessfully trying to guard the crafty 7 footer

[drfunkmaster]

good luck

[Reed Harris]

I hope your right I'm going large on Spurs ML. Good luck.

[JOHON8]

The 3 hours on that plane they will be sleeping. The game doesn't start until 9:30 pm so that have about 16 hours to rest/prepare when they come off that plane about 4am. I really respect that you're letting us know about this but their staff has to have some sort preparations set for this home game right?

I don't no I'm probably tailing this play, putting a regular bet on but if this was a respectable sport like soccer then I'd probably go big, otherwise GL everyone who is going big.

[xxdjstriderxx]

could be the sleeper play of the day

[suicidekings]

could be the sleeper play of the day

Nothing Sleeper about this play... SJ is 100% right about it. Best play on the board for Wednesday.

[ReiNNNN]

holy shit. nice analysis! thanks man!

[bonduforlife]

taking the Utah ML good luck to you

[aireent777]

sometimes you don't need team chemistry always to win games. the jazz are playing very bad right now but 1 dominate player can win a game by himself and you should know this if you play ball. Deron can win this game by himself if he gets in a rhythm, not just scoring, just making plays. he knows he's the best player in that gym tomrrow

the spurs at -3.5 looks decent at best. the jazz are not getting blown out thats for sure. milsap will actually be able to get some work against the undersized blaire, whereas today he was unsuccessfully trying to guard the crafty 7 footer

Is this what NBA is all about? Winning games by himself?

[telespectatorul]

yeah, deron winning by himself...right...after he almost said that he team has no heart...that's exactly what he's gonna do tonight: a one man show.

[Vaioice]

Jazz is 1-3 SU n ATS after 20+ point loss
Jazz are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Jazz are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Wednesday games.
Jazz are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Spurs are 12-1 SU after 10-19 point win
Spurs are 10-3 ATS after a 10-19 point win (7-3 @ home, 3-0 away)
Spurs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Spurs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.

Utah has lost its last 5 games. Yes they were all road games, but Washington, New Jersey, and Philly were all winnable games. Only expected a loss in Boston, and LA. And it wasn't like they didn't have enough rest. I think the teams morale is low right now, and the Spurs are playing the best ball in the league @ the moment. On the road or @ home, it doesn't make a difference to them. Utah's last road trip was 4 games long and they came home to lose to Portland. IMO Spurs can play @ any tempo, they can run n gun, look @ the way they handled GSW in the bay. And they can clamp down and grind it out. This game isn't even gonna be close. Spurs 101-91.

-vai

note** was gonna start a new thread, but seeing one already opened. i figured i'd add my 2cents. Lets get 'em tomorrow!

[telespectatorul]

i have more confidence in spurs beating @ utah than if the spurs would of played @ houston for example. utah is a mess right now.

[Pauulzcappin]

sometimes you don't need team chemistry always to win games. the jazz are playing very bad right now but 1 dominate player can win a game by himself and you should know this if you play ball. Deron can win this game by himself if he gets in a rhythm, not just scoring, just making plays. he knows he's the best player in that gym tomrrow the spurs at -3.5 looks decent at best. the jazz are not getting blown out thats for sure. milsap will actually be able to get some work against the undersized blaire, whereas today he was unsuccessfully trying to guard the crafty 7 footer

deron can't beat the spurs by himself.

[gv12]

good luck today SJ

[broadway6]

good luck

[firehoyt]

My book had em at -3.5, bought the hook. Hopefully y'all are right on this one. Gonna be my only NBA play of the day.........