Originally Posted by
Pap45murF
Couple of these have been done. The best one I've seen is when they took the odds of the game, and converted it into a win percentage. Then if that was less than the Accuscore percentage, it would be a bet, since the simulations predicted a higher win % than Vegas did.
I've been doing a Accuscore system similar to that, and I've noticed that in the past 2 months or so, if Accuscore picks underdogs to win outright, it had a 0% win rate. AS can't pick dogs for crap. But if you see like a 70% win prediction and the spread is only around -4, it pretty much hits like 80% of the time.
Good luck, I'll follow this for a while, since I really want to find a good AS system. I mean 10,000 simulations seems to me about as accurate as you can get.