1. 01-12-11 01:10 AM #1
    No coincidences
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    8 home dogs Wednesday who will be faded heavily by the public

    TOR +3.5 vs. ATL
    CHA +4 vs. CHI
    MIL +3 vs. SA
    DET +1.5 vs. MEM
    LAC +8 vs. MIA
    NO +3.5 vs. ORL
    GS + whatever vs. LAL
    HOU + whatever vs. OKC

    All eight road faves will be big public plays.

    Question is, who covers and who doesn't out of this bunch?
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  2. 01-12-11 01:13 AM #2
    BetjeBetje
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    gl with your eventual plays
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  3. 01-12-11 01:14 AM #3
    ccross2
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    I haven't looked at them all, will give them all a look once all lines are out tomorrow. But I'm leaning towards NO +3.5 right now.
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  4. 01-12-11 01:19 AM #4
    bonduforlife
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    MIL, DET, HOU, LAC will cover
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  5. 01-12-11 05:23 AM #5
    aireent777
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    I'll fade Toronto, Charlotte, Milwaukee, and New Orleans. The rest, I won't touch.
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  6. 01-12-11 05:26 AM #6
    Pew Pew
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    What does fade mean?
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  7. 01-12-11 05:31 AM #7
    SaffaCappa
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    LAC, MIL and DET cover
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  8. 01-12-11 05:42 AM #8
    BookiesBernanke
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    LeBron is going to come out and try to beat the Clippers by 50 to make even more of a statement to CLE

    This guy is a pr*ck and is motivated by sh*t like this
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  9. 01-12-11 05:49 AM #9
    ugabooga
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    Spurs, Magic and Grizzlies would be my pick to cover the spread. Bulls are probably least likely.
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  10. 01-12-11 09:47 AM #10
    nbarlotta3
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    I might be losing a lot of money today.
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  11. 01-12-11 09:51 AM #11
    GoggsViggs
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    No, det, mil, lac cover
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  12. 01-12-11 10:39 AM #12
    JOHON8
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    Parlay the 9 teamer, put your entire bankroll on it and once you make the million quit gambling forever.
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  13. 01-12-11 11:29 AM #13
    Masu485
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    Charlotte wins the game outright by 1
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  14. 01-12-11 11:33 AM #14
    echowilbury
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pew Pew View Post
    What does fade mean?
    to go against. like, if I were going to fade the heat against the nuggets, I'd pick the nuggets.
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  15. 01-12-11 11:39 AM #15
    quant
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    HOU in my book
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  16. 01-12-11 12:09 PM #16
    kbsnoles
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    Hawks cover
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  17. 01-12-11 12:24 PM #17
    Shark79
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    This might help some of you that pop in this thread:

    http://contests.covers.com/Handicapp...px?sport=9&t=0
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  18. 01-12-11 12:36 PM #18
    celtics3388
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    What's amazing is that there isn't one consensus pick on a home underdog, yet home dogs have been winning at the highest rate this season (53.75%). I guess we know why Vegas makes money...
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  19. 01-12-11 12:53 PM #19
    demens
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    TOR +3.5 vs. ATL
    CHA +4 vs. CHI
    MIL +3 vs. SA
    DET +1.5 vs. MEM
    LAC +8 vs. MIA
    NO +3.5 vs. ORL
    GS + whatever vs. LAL
    HOU + whatever vs. OKC

    All eight road faves will be big public plays.

    Question is, who covers and who doesn't out of this bunch?
    I think 5 of those road favs will cover at least.

    I'd say Det might be the best bet at home, but would not play them. Same with Rox, Clips. Orlando Heat is due for a bad game too with all these 2H comebacks of theirs, but wouldn't play either.
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  20. 01-12-11 12:58 PM #20
    demens
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    Quote Originally Posted by celtics3388 View Post
    What's amazing is that there isn't one consensus pick on a home underdog, yet home dogs have been winning at the highest rate this season (53.75%). I guess we know why Vegas makes money...
    According the sportsdatabase its actually 71-69-2 (1.45, 50.7%)

    Last season was at 44%, so yeah. Sharps FTW......NOT.

    A few extra nuggets for you sharps. Road dogs have not hit over 50% since 2002.
    In the last 15 years road dogs hit over 50% THREE times. Over 53% twice.
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  21. 01-12-11 01:08 PM #21
    Pap45murF
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    Accuscore has TOR and DET as favored to win outright. Of course, I've been keeping track and Accuscore has been 100% wrong on dog picks for the last 3 weeks or so.

    So... take that anyway you want it.


    Personally, I'd take NO and CHA.
    Last edited by Pap45murF; 01-12-11 at 01:41 PM.
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  22. 01-12-11 01:22 PM #22
    mart59a
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    Liking Charlotte and the Clippers to cover.
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  23. 01-12-11 05:19 PM #23
    betforbread
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    Raptors and Warriors will cover.
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  24. 01-12-11 05:28 PM #24
    FindTheLock
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    orlando is well rested, I would not bet against them tonight. Wait for them to be on a B2B before you try to bet against that spread covering machine.
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  25. 01-12-11 06:09 PM #25
    MrShrink
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    like TOR su
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  26. 01-12-11 07:27 PM #26
    Nellyinctown
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    I took all 8 home dogs on ML as opposed to spread.
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  27. 01-12-11 07:40 PM #27
    Shark79
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nellyinctown View Post
    I took all 8 home dogs on ML as opposed to spread.
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  28. 01-12-11 07:41 PM #28
    riskyProps
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    I took IND, ATL, CHI, SAC, DET, MIL, ORL, OKC, NJ, UT, LAL and LAC tonight. I'm starting to regret that Chicago pick!

    But the night is young, maybe they'll pull it out.
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  29. 01-12-11 11:20 PM #29
    demens
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    3-3 on the night with Mia and LA pending. Both losing now in 3q
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  30. 01-12-11 11:23 PM #30
    mlb
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    thinking 4 and 4 most likely
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  31. 01-13-11 12:24 AM #31
    No coincidences
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    5-3 if I'm not mistaken.

    The HOU and MIL collapses hurt -- well, hurt me at least, because I didn't play all of these.
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  32. 01-13-11 12:27 AM #32
    demens
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    Yeap 5-3, although LA pushed,beat opener. And 1 win by the hook. Soo close.
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  33. 01-13-11 12:37 AM #33
    Nellyinctown
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    Went 3-5 taking them on ML for a good profit. Clippers and Charlotte winning were huge.
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