[therealdealau]

i'm on the heat -5 for a small play, interested in peoples thoughts and if anyone is following - i seen a lot of blazer backers

[jays12]

heres some scribbling i did a moment ago below. Im tired so didnt retype as a complete write up its just stats, you can look them up if your lost or to look at more stats at teamrankings.com I left out the points in the paint, but miami is better both scoring and opponent pts in the paint.

-portland
better on turnovers, opponent turnovers, rebounding
-miami
-better on fg%(better on road), 3fg% (better on road), opponent (better on road) fg%/3fg%,
however, portland near bottom in fastbreak points, so
their forced turnovers dont result in fastbreak points
-portland also attempts more three per game(17.8, last three (19) miami(13)- miami has great perimeter defense

opponent fastbreak points (home/away discrepancy) portland 9.9 to miami 12, however portland recently allowing more (17) these were on road though
fastbreak home/away discrepancy noted miami (14.6) to portland (13.1)

-portland team similar to milwaukee in how they play

-put down 143$(6%) at -4 (B+1) -130 (bookmaker)

I may hedge the bet down to 3% later on in the day when i wake up and im mentally fresher.

GL

[GTS925]

Should I still take it at -6.5?

[jays12]

at -110 6.5 i wudnt take it too risky, your not getting much of an edge. A close game will kill your bet, and I think this may end being a close a game, with portlands big men getting second chance points and keeping them alive. But on the other hand heat are a motivated bunch they can push the pedal at any time. But i like to play it save. I really wasnt going to make my bet of (-4) at 6%, but i think miami finishes this game strong, even if they dont start off strong but i havnt been this conflicted with a bet in a while so i may even buy most of it back.

[lolbear]

portland has best offensive rebounding percentage in the league and doubt this game would slow them down for that. miami has been blowing teams out with relative ease so it's hard to bet agianst them at this point. not a strong lean but i would lean miami at 5. at 6.5 it becomes more of a no play for me

[kingofmonash]

what miamis got more than portland cannot be described by our stats , no offence guys , unfortunately killer instinct under pressure cannot be measured !

[McLaren__F1]

I'm on Miami as well

BOL

[nnhenry]

Have Miami & Lakers ml parlay.

[riskyProps]

I'm on the Heat simply because they are on a roll. I'm on the bandwagon until their wheels fall off. I know Portland is capable of doing that so this line is 50/50 for me.

[spargament]

Camby embarrasses every rebounder on the Heat not name Lebron or dwade (at least for his size).

[spargament]

I also don't like that this is a potential showcase game for Blazer players on their way out...

[jacktheknife]

-210 ML doesn't sound too bad

[squid44]

I think I may hafta be on the Heat on this one. BOL all !