1. #1
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    All you have to do is bet against the public!...

    look at yesterday's top public plays
    bulls -5 (70%) LOSS
    nuggets - 2 1/2 (62%) LOSS
    lakers - 4 1/2 (68%) LOSS

  2. #2
    apwmel
    apwmel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-26-09
    Posts: 789
    Betpoints: 3511

    All those games could have gone the other way.

  3. #3
    teecee
    teecee's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-09
    Posts: 6,274
    Betpoints: 2879

    i don't have as much luck as i like when i wager, no matter what angle i use.

  4. #4
    Pride>UFC
    Pride>UFC's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-09-09
    Posts: 1,013

    Quote Originally Posted by teecee View Post
    i don't have as much luck as i like when i wager, no matter what angle i use.
    bet against fat coaches...

  5. #5
    krazey47409
    disabledcantpostorpm yyyyyy?????
    krazey47409's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-04-09
    Posts: 2,431

    fading the public is not always very profitable i tracked this last year using the twominutewarning bet tracker and the sweet spot for nba was when 40-49% of the public were on a team ats record was 88-62 when 80% of public was on a team these plays won about 50% of the time it was only a majority of 1 season i tracked so rsults could be different this year but for last year fading the public when 40-49% of bets on a team spread was money this was my record fading the public last year nba ats215-175-2

  6. #6
    genghis_kahn
    genghis_kahn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-21-10
    Posts: 85
    Betpoints: 13

    Completely disagree. Krazey is right. It ends up about 50%. I have been tracking it this year and it is actually under 50%. Went on a run last week of something like 16-1 when over 80% of public was on a team.

  7. #7
    krazey47409
    disabledcantpostorpm yyyyyy?????
    krazey47409's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-04-09
    Posts: 2,431

    well is wasnt exactly 50% it was above 50% last year 215-175 with all the games i trackes hit about 55% but plays where public wa son a team 80% or higher were 50% winners

  8. #8
    skilz4milz
    skilz4milz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-03-10
    Posts: 276
    Betpoints: 122

    I think this strategy is a lot like using the rlm strategy in terms of you have to know what you are doing and pick and choose your spots. You can't just blindy and randomly use these strategies or use them for every game.

  9. #9
    homerbush
    homerbush's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-17-08
    Posts: 2,317
    Betpoints: 3780

    Quote Originally Posted by apwmel View Post
    All those games could have gone the other way.
    Hmmmm not sure what Nuggets/Clippers game you were watching but the Clippers were pretty much in control all game against the spread.

  10. #10
    warriorfan707
    SBR Poster of the Milennium
    warriorfan707's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-08
    Posts: 13,698

    Quote Originally Posted by Pride>UFC View Post
    bet against fat coaches...

  11. #11
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    i agree with the majority here that you have to pick a spot where you think the line is off because of public backing - usually teams like the bulls/lakers are overbet that's why i posted it this morning, otherwise it's quite rare that the 3 biggest square plays would all lose

  12. #12
    kostasgr
    kostasgr's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-10
    Posts: 597

    Play against the tipsters.
    More possible to win....

  13. #13
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    which tipsters would that be?
    if you're talking about me i'm 8-3 on my nba plays
    #2 college bowl contest
    top 10 blackie's
    top 50 btp
    etc etc

Top