[freeagent]

Yeah trust your numbers, your getting better at this with more experience and research. I saw that 60minutes piece on Billy Walters how amazing is that, dudes an animal. They said he relies on an inner circle that works for him, mostly mathematicians and some sports experts. Damn were in the wrong line of work.

[million2one]

Yeah that was a cool piece, it's amazing to see how sophisticated it is. What a job, betting millions on any given sunday playing the numbers with the help of consultants and mathematicians. The guy would play both sides in a game sometimes.

Anyway, I do like the Bulls for tonight, I see Boozer is out but it's a revenge game for them, so gonna go small or at least play a quarter line.




1/18:

Straight Bet 12: Chicago Bulls (-7) risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit (Bought a hook here)

[million2one]

1/18:

Straight Bet 12: Chicago Bulls (-7) risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit (Bought a hook here)

Grrrrrrr. These straight bets are maddening and I missed out on taking the Hawks. Back at it today.

1/19:

Straight Bet 13: Denver Nuggets (-3.5) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 11: Detroit Pistons (+15) risking 1.7 units to win 1 unit

[million2one]

YTD:

Straight Bets = 5 - 7 for -1.9 units

System Bets = 7 - 3 for +4.9 units

[million2one]

1/19:

Straight Bet 13: Denver Nuggets (-3.5) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 11: Detroit Pistons (+15) risking 1.7 units to win 1 unit

I keep alternating wins and losses with my straight bets, system bets looking strong though right now.
I may just start playing the system bets without buying the three as my straight bets. Gonna mull it over and get back at it on Friday.
No action for tonight.

YTD:

Straight Bets = 6 - 7 for -0.9 units

System Bets = 8 - 3 for +5.9 units

[freeagent]

Detroit almost won the game outright, good call. Light night in the NBA, close revenge for Bobcats vs Sixers. Won't bet it though -5 seems a little high.

[AzNDooM]

Great system bets - i always like auto systems, Ive been using a design system myself for past year and it went 63% which wasnt half bad. However, this season its running at approx. 53%. Still a long way to go but best of luck w/ your system bets. Will keep an eye on the thread.

[million2one]

Thanks for the support guys, I am sure my system bets will come back to earth at some point but that is where money management comes into play and I have to learn to be better in that respect. This game is all about learning from your mistakes and gaining experience.

Big plays tonight that I will post later, Including a JM 'C' bet and I actually like the line on Utah at +6.
Question, am I alone in thinking that Denver is a big time play tonight??????
I would really like to hammer them maybe 2 or 3 units.

[million2one]

System is taking a lot of points again tonight, hopefully Raptors can keep it close.
I really like the Nugs so gonna take a shot and up my units here, and may up it again closer to game time.

On a personal note gonna play the Jazz as a JM C bet maybe for a half unit or so.


1/21:

Straight Bet 14: Denver Nuggets (+1) risking 1.65 units to win 1.5 units


System Bet 12: Toronto Raptors (+15) risking 1.7 units to win 1 unit

[freeagent]

I played the Jazz too , have no idea what happened to them as a play. And a great coach too, guess they used their road magic up the last trip when they beat orlando and miami. Thought I was lucky missing the A & B bets what a joke, the Jizz do this to us every year. I've won 1 bet out of like 7 so far betting my betpoints and that was Flyers vs Ottawa last night, I can't get out of my own way, LOL, i give up .

Let's go Denver tonight!

[million2one]

1/21:

Straight Bet 14: Denver Nuggets (+1) risking 1.65 units to win 1.5 units


System Bet 12: Toronto Raptors (+15) risking 1.7 units to win 1 unit

Tough night in the association, could this be the start of my losing streak gonna hold back on Straight Bets until I cash this next system play. Sixers and Jazz tonight, I hope the stupid Jazz get destroyed. Glad I don't invest anymore too heavily in JM system.

Pressing my luck again with Toronto, Let's hope they take it to the Heat and LeFraud James.

1/22:

System Bet 13: Toronto Raptors (+15.5) risking 3.4 units to win 2 units

[million2one]

YTD:

Straight Bets = 6 - 8 for -2.55 units

System Bets = 8 - 4 for +4.2 units

[freeagent]

Bosh should be out for the heat, they have been struggling a little and LeFraud can pout and tweet all he wants about how much of a diva he his. Good Luck, lets go Calderon, Bargnani and the boys from Canada!

[vero8o]

winning ugly is ok, good work!

[million2one]

1/22:

System Bet 13: Toronto Raptors (+15.5) risking 3.4 units to win 2 units

Looking to cash a big bet tonight as I lost my last two system plays and my original thought was a three game chase.
Gonna evaluate my strategy going forward after tonight, I can't rely solely on statistics, but have to start looking at situational factors and line movements as well. And maybe just blindly buying 3 points is not such a good idea for my units. Here goes nothing.

Sounds crazy but I actually feel good about taking the Wizards tonight, yes they are 0 - 20 on the road but its the first game home off a road trip for the Knicks and there has been great RLM all day on the Wiz.

1/24:

System Bet 14: Washington Wizards (+11) risking 8.5 units to win 5 units

[million2one]

YTD:

Straight Bets = 6 - 8 for -2.55 units

System Bets = 8 - 5 for +0.8 units

[million2one]

1/24:

System Bet 14: Washington Wizards (+11) risking 8.5 units to win 5 units

Got the big win last night, luckily I bought the points after saying that I may stop. Well can't stop now.
I am going to be much more selective going forward however, and may just buy two points instead of three.

Also my straight bets are going to change a bit, I am going to take the system play without buying points, and I may have more than one straight bet per day. Not playing anything for tonight. I was looking at the Cavs and buying them to 20 but the situation is terrible for them. On a back to back and 4th game in 5 nights, and the last game of Cleveland's road trip with Boston off a loss.
They may cover but it is just not worth it.

YTD:

Straight Bets = 6 - 8 for -2.55 units

System Bets = 9 - 5 for +5.8 units

[million2one]

Looking at a few games for tonight, I am locked on my system play, but wondering who else to take on for my straight bets.
I do like Detroit as a home dog and I feel like its a good time to fade the Sixers, but cant pull the trigger.

1/26:

Straight Bet 15: Detroit Pistons (+2) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Straight Bet 16: Minnesota T-Wolves (+5.5) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit


System Bet 15: Minnesota T-Wolves (+8) risking 1.6 units to win 1 unit *bought 2.5 points*

[million2one]

Double post

[757sFinest]

after howard's tirade about not getting the ball enough against the pistons I think they feed him the rock which in turn produces better results from the outside.

[million2one]

1/26:

Straight Bet 15: Detroit Pistons (+2) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Straight Bet 16: Minnesota T-Wolves (+5.5) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit


System Bet 15: Minnesota T-Wolves (+8) risking 1.6 units to win 1 unit *bought 2.5 points*

How sweet it is, Detroit let me down, but hit my big play with the T-Wolves and to know I was one of the only people on that play makes me feel good about what I am doing.
To top it off, I have a snow day today.
Looking at Houston for a play, but will probably pass, and wait until tomorrow.

YTD:

Straight Bets = 7 - 9 for -2.65 units

System Bets = 10 - 5 for +6.8 units *Now 10 - 0 as a three game chase*

[freeagent]

Nice hit on the T-wolves yesterday, what a game that was going into OT and all the crazy fantasy stats for Durant, Love & Beasley. Holla, keep the train rolling for Friday if nothing looks good for tonight.

[million2one]

My head is spinning today with all these plays that I am looking at.
On first glance I like the lines for:

T-wolves
Nets
Sac-town
Cavs
Knicks
Pistons
Bucks
(can you tell I'm a dog player)

Thoughts and opinions are much appreciate.
Any info on injuries? Why are the Knicks now +6.5 after beating the so called best team in Miami? The jazz have lost like a hundred in a row and are now a 9 point fav.

Gotta go deeper into these games and make picks later

[bonduforlife]

T-wolves
Nets
Sac-town blowout
Cavs
Knicks Under looks better
Pistons
Bucks

[million2one]

I lost the value on the T-wolves and teams tend to step up when a star player goes out.
Not liking Jersey.
I cringe about putting money on the Cavs as they could be tanking the season.

I am debating between the Kings at +13 and really like the Knicks at +6.5, but reading guys on this forum and nonsense about line movement, it is scaring me away. Not sure how much stock to put into line movement.

So for now

1/28:

Straight Bet 17: Sacramento Kings (+13) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit. *Waiting until tip-off and hoping the line moves back*


System Bet 16: Sacramento Kings (+14.5) risking 1.4 units to win 1 unit. *Bought one and a half points*

[freeagent]

Sac-Town outright you gotta be kidding me!!! They led like the whole way, nice capping. Maybe the Sixers should have drafted Cousins, he had a heck of a game looking at the stats.

[million2one]

1/28:

Straight Bet 17: Sacramento Kings (+13) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit.


System Bet 16: Sacramento Kings (+14.5) risking 1.4 units to win 1 unit. *Bought one and a half points*

Wow, outright. Didn't see that coming, would of been a nice money line to have.
You know me I'm just looking at numbers and starting to look at line moves and situations. I liked the fact that LA had Boston on deck.
Nice to hear your input about individual players, FA, 'cause I am not following them so closely.

Props to Lakerboy for helping me steer clear of the Knicks last night, the man knows how to read a line.
Not in love with anything tonight, but a small play on the Rockets, gonna buy points here to increase my odds of winning.

1/29:

System Bet 17: Houston Rockets (+9.5) risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit *Bought one point*

[million2one]

YTD:

Straight Bets = 8 - 9 for -1.65 units

System Bets = 11 - 5 for +7.8 units

[million2one]

1/29:

System Bet 17: Houston Rockets (+9.5) risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit *Bought one point*

Can't win them all. And is why i went small.
Ugly play for today, but i have to go for it. This is a game u don't want to watch, but just check final score, and i am buying points.

1/30:

Straight Bet 18: Cleveland Cavaliers (+18) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit


System Bet 18: Cleveland Cavaliers (+20.5) risking 3.0 units to win 1.8 units *Bought two and a half points*

[million2one]

YTD:

Straight Bets = 8 - 9 for -1.65 units

System Bets = 11 - 6 for +6.5 units

[million2one]

1/30:

Straight Bet 18: Cleveland Cavaliers (+18) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit


System Bet 18: Cleveland Cavaliers (+20.5) risking 3.0 units to win 1.8 units *Bought two and a half points*

LOL. Cav's lose by 16 and still cover, thank you Mr. Bookmaker, I will take that every time.

YTD:

Straight Bets = 9 - 9 for -0.65 units

System Bets = 12 - 6 for +8.3 units

[million2one]

1/31:

Going for the glory once again, I just can't pass on all these points.

Straight Bet 19: Cleveland Cavaliers (+17.5) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 19: Cleveland Cavaliers (+18.5) risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit *Bought one point*

[freeagent]

The ultimate David vs Goliath matchup, Cavs outright baby show LeFraud what karma is really about " C-A-V-S goooooo cavs"

[million2one]

hahaha, Cav's outright, that would be something.
It is the 4th game is 5 nights for miami so that is a good angle.
I actually like Cle more tonight then I did last night, so we'll see.

Cle and Wsh ML parlay. Get it in now. $1 to win $140

[freeagent]

How bout a TOR-CLE-WASH-CHA-MIL moneyline parlay $1 to win $3025 think i have a better shot at winning the lottery. I actually did take a TOR-WAS-CHA-MIL ml parlay $1 to win $135 and Toronto is already down like 20 in the first half

These smilies are absolutely hilarious, would love to post this one when 2 dudes are arguing: