1. #1
    FreeFall
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    game 3 line movement

    why is the line loving for BOS when 66%+ of the money when I look around is on them?

    http://www.thespread.com/nba-basketb...-betting-chart

    should this worry me?

    I wanna do a unit on BOS +9.5 and 1/2 unit on ML +480. But arent you not supposed to bet with lines that move when most of the money is on them?

  2. #2
    Wheell
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    There is a consensus among many of the big fish that there is pretty much no way this goes to 3-0. I agree with the consensus.

  3. #3
    mundane
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    ml for lakers is almost a cinch!

    ...now dat celtics +9.5 is really juicy. but i'd still take lakers and lay the points. 1 unit first half -5.5, half unit on them game -9.5

  4. #4
    polishkielbasa10
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    if I wanted to take the lakers ml...this is the last game I would want...This is the game the celtics want, break their backs...I'd be hesitant..I feel the celts win outright

  5. #5
    LT Profits
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    The sharps are obviously on the Lakers here, but that was the case in Game 2 also and we all saw what happened.

    You have to remember that sometimes smart money isn't so smart.

  6. #6
    hoopster42
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    Quote Originally Posted by FreeFall View Post
    why is the line loving for BOS when 66%+ of the money when I look around is on them?

    http://www.thespread.com/nba-basketb...-betting-chart

    should this worry me?

    I wanna do a unit on BOS +9.5 and 1/2 unit on ML +480. But arent you not supposed to bet with lines that move when most of the money is on them?
    i could care less if the entire world is on one side, i will stick with my own convictions. i suggest you do the same. the whole world seemed to be on the lakers in gm 2, but i never budged with the celtics in gm 2. i just knew what i knew. do the same, be your own man when it comes to betting. get to know the sports you bet so well, that you are more an expert than the "betting public"

  7. #7
    unde0087
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    Boston is in trouble tonight, Lakers haven't lost in their building and Boston blows on the road. They got one win on the road in the playoffs and that was in Detroit when Billups was about 20%. Don't expect all these Boston role players to explode like they have been away from home, it will be L.A. bench stealing the show with the long range shots. With this 9 point line the bookies are begging for people to take Boston.

  8. #8
    hoopster42
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    Quote Originally Posted by unde0087 View Post
    Boston is in trouble tonight, Lakers haven't lost in their building and Boston blows on the road. They got one win on the road in the playoffs and that was in Detroit when Billups was about 20%. Don't expect all these Boston role players to explode like they have been away from home, it will be L.A. bench stealing the show with the long range shots. With this 9 point line the bookies are begging for people to take Boston.
    boston 2-0 in their last 2 road games, both in detroit, i agree billups wasn't 100% but wallace, hamilton, prince, and the rest, were all 100% and should have won at least 1 of those last 2 at home

    credit to BOSTON for the 2 road victories, and closing out the series in 6

  9. #9
    SexyMit
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    I wasn't on LA in game 2. I had Boston -1.5 +120 BIG!!! I like to fade the public alot also... However I will NOT be touching this game what so ever.

  10. #10
    Crayzee
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    just seeing 9 for the first time now

  11. #11
    Tchocky
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    Pinny has Lakers at -9.5 from opening line of -8.5
    Game 2 line moved 2.5 points in Lakers' favor. No movement on Total.

  12. #12
    louisvillekid
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post

    You have to remember that sometimes smart money isn't so smart.
    wise words. too bad i don't listen a lot of times, and no i didn't touch this one, i'm hoping my +160 series bet for Bos at a buck fifty pays off.

  13. #13
    FreeFall
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    Tue 6/105021 LAL/BOS series ends in 6 games+134
    9:05PM (EST)
    5022LAL/BOS series won't end in 6 games-154
    Tue 6/105023 LAL/BOS series ends in 7 games+109
    9:05PM (EST)
    5024LAL/BOS series won't end in 7 games-129

    anyone see that on 5dimes? I'm thinking of better both of them and getting positive money. This is based on the assumption that the lakers win tonight and another one along the way. Anyone wanna yell at my why this is foolish?

  14. #14
    Wheell
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    My math says the Celtics will win in 4 or 5 10.64% of the time. Those odds require it happen less than 9.42%. I'd stay away.

  15. #15
    FreeFall
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    wait so the celtics win 6 or 7 in 90% of the time? I dont understand your math if you don't mind explaining it further.

  16. #16
    Wheell
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    I mean that the Series goes to a 6th game 89.36% of the time.

  17. #17
    Shark79
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    No plays for me 2night on this game .... Celts seem too tempting ... but I know the refs will put the lakers in the FT a helluva more than they will with the CELTS. I guess I will simply enjoy the game ... GL for all !!

  18. #18
    FreeFall
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wheell View Post
    I mean that the Series goes to a 6th game 89.36% of the time.
    ya and I'm betting
    +109
    and +134

    that this happens again. Either way I hit plus cash if one wins. and your telling me theres a 89% chance for one to hit. Why is that bad?

  19. #19
    purecarnagge
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    boston on the road is a bad call. Phil is working the officals, this game will be called very differently...

  20. #20
    Wheell
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    Free fall: because you are laying -962 on a -820 favorite.

  21. #21
    polishkielbasa10
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    guys common. Celtics won 2 in the toughest building on the road in detriot. Be smart this line should be 3 not 9. That's a joke. Take the points and easy money. Celts should win outright

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