[pokerwhiz90]

NBA Tonight: Spurs @ Clippers

11/01/10 – pokerwhiz90

With 77% of the bets currently placed on the Spurs to cover the spread, the Spurs should be seen as a moderate favorite while they will play in the staples center tonight. The (1-1) Spurs will be more than enough to handle as the Clippers face the fourth consecutive opponent that has them completely outmatched

The Clippers have lost 16 straight against the Spurs, 8 games in Los Angeles, and have opened (0-3) to start the 2010-11 NBA season. The two previous seasons, the Clippers have started similarly at 0-4. However, there is some hope for the Clippers out there. His name is Blake Griffin and he will be playing against an inexperienced DeJaun Blair and an ancient Tim Duncan.

Blake Griffin missed all of last season with a season ending knee injury but has looked very healthy thus far. Although Griffin just missed his 3rd consecutive double-double, the rest of the team has looked terrible. They are the worst shooting team in the NBA at 37.7% and under new head coach Vinny Del Negro, the Clippers haven’t shown considerable improvement from last year.

The common theme between the Blazers, Warriors and Mavericks is the strong play in the paint. Marcus Camby, David Lee and Dirk are just a class above rookie Blake Griffin and the Spurs’ hall of famer will be Griffin’s hardest test yet.

The Clippers are 30th in the league in scoring, allowing more than 100 points per game. The Spurs are averaging 106 points and allowing a similar number of points as well.

Off the court, Tony Parker has signed an extension and Clippers point guard Randy Foye is out with a hamstring injury.

This game is a matchup nightmare for the Clippers as a healthy Spurs team is fresh and predominantly a great team in October/November.

The Play: Spurs -7

If you aren’t convinced yet, tell me one person on the Clippers’ bench. The lack of depth will result in a double digit loss to the playoff bound Spurs.

[isovitis3]

The over looks better choice 2 me

[nbarlotta3]

The spurs haven't been playing too well this season.

[mehow]

feck, look at the history, lac is b2b also, it looks like a trap. i'm taking spurs though

2008-09 season: Mon Nov 17 2008 at LAC San Antonio 86, LA Clippers 83
2008-09 season: Thu Jan 8 2009 at SA San Antonio 106, LA Clippers 84
2008-09 season: Mon Mar 2 2009 at LAC San Antonio 106, LA Clippers 78
2008-09 season: Fri Mar 27 2009 at SA San Antonio 111, LA Clippers 98
2009-10 season: Sun Dec 13 2009 at LAC San Antonio 115, LA Clippers 90
2009-10 season: Mon Dec 21 2009 at SA San Antonio 103, LA Clippers 87
2009-10 season: Sat Feb 6 2010 at LAC San Antonio 98, LA Clippers 81
2009-10 season: Sat Mar 13 2010 at SA San Antonio 118, LA Clippers 88

[isovitis3]

Spurs had terrible shooting percentages at the loss by Hornets. They are going to improve today... And Clippers will be better than yesterday...

[y2kr1000]

Clippers +7.5 is the right play in my opinion. But to be even safer why not take them +10.5 @ approx 1.62. That by far is the best value bet in todays games.

[y2kr1000]

and I hate betting the Clippers but there not going to lose at home forever..........or are they hehehe

[Ca$hfloW]

The spurs haven't been playing too well this season.

: their 1-1 and handled the pacers pretty well, I mean im not going to say their playing really good but I dont know that their playing bad. I like the play at -7 but I dont know if I will be playing it or not. BOL

[dom75]

I'd say Spurs will win SU, but ATS for the Clippers.

[Crnjak]

Spurs @ Clippers OVER 192 is only bet for me!

[isovitis3]

Spurs @ Clippers OVER 192 is only bet for me!

That`s right. Over for sure

[pokerwhiz90]

hope you guys enjoyed the write up - put some real thought into it; if you guys want more threads like this id be happy to continue

[thebestthereis]

clippers or nothing in this game as it will be trap city. that being said after i finishing typing this i am running so far away from this game nobody will ever find me. you never bet the clippers even though they are the right side.

[Snowball]

Ginobili could really go off on uncontested 3's
Spurs is the play coming off a loss
Clips b2b last night at Dallas may have tired out Kaman
they still lost by 16
welcome to the NBA Blake Griffin
yes you can dunk so can everyone else.

[edragonl]

i think over is pretty much a lock, but the spread right now is at -8 after the overnight shift. i believe it is a coin flip

[Fiasco01]

hope you guys enjoyed the write up - put some real thought into it; if you guys want more threads like this id be happy to continue

Yeah man, the more insight the better regardless of whether people agree or not. Personally I like the Spurs here as well and perhaps it was because I was looking to agree with you or whatever, but I thought your write-up was solid.

[Michael Corleone]

Spurs will win by more than 10 pts! IMO

[scarface2738]

I agree with the others who said to bet the over.

[pokerwhiz90]

the bottom line is the clippers are avg 37%... your going to get blown out in any game when your opponent even shoots 44% or above and the quality of bench players is completely off the charts

when the starters are on the bench, theyre are continously going to increase their lead, even if its 2 pts per a quarter

[BernardMadoff]

hope you guys enjoyed the write up - put some real thought into it; if you guys want more threads like this id be happy to continue

Good writup, but saying Blair is inexperienced when Griffin is only in his fourth game?

[y2kr1000]

hope you guys enjoyed the write up - put some real thought into it; if you guys want more threads like this id be happy to continue

If you have the time we'd love more writeups. Any extra insight into a matchup is always appreciated. After all, it's the whole reason we come to the forums. Appreciate the good work mate. Hope the spurs win by 8-10 so we both profit .

[gangeriver]

194 under is my POD. Good luck.

[suicidekings]

Any arguments derived from a team's stats after 2 games are completely worthless. Not saying the Spurs won't win, but much of the logic behind the OP's writeup is faulty. I would personally lean towards the Clippers myself...

[thebestthereis]

the clippers have the talent to compete against anyone. they obviously won't lose every game but if you back them you just never know what night they give a shit. they are a losing franchise and are very few scenarios when they are cover more than not. would rather find my spots to go against them than on them.

[pokerwhiz90]

alright well i got this one right - hope you guys took my advice

[pokerwhiz90]

alright guys - i will start posting my plays @pokerwhiz90; thats twitter

[scarface2738]

I wonder when the clippers will be able to put all their talent together.

[pokerwhiz90]

when they get a better coach than del negro... im a chicagoan, he has maybe 4 and a half plays in his book

[lolbear]

blake griffin is overhyped. his game is a lot more amare than dwight. in Fantasy that might not be too much, but in real life dwight is always an mvp candidate, and amare is always a liability on def and reb. how many blocks he got so far?