Maybe a stupid question, but I imagine figuring out these systems took you a lot of handwork. Backtesting them must have been a real pain. Why are you giving out your work for free? Aren't you worried the edge may disappear as some begin to follow them?
They're actually all from statfox. So I guess they're more trends than anything. However instead of just selecting whatever trend statfox showed me, I went with the ones with the most consistency over a give period of time. I Do however manually keep track of the all the systems with Excel spreadsheets and every night I enter in each teams box score statistics so that I have a manual statistical database that caters to my systems needs.
2-0 tonight. (It was only 1 play but it counts twice because it fits two systems. I played it for two units where as every other play is only 1 unit.) YTD: 15-7.
To answer your question hochay, of course we are the public, but we aren't necessarily the majority. When I made that statement i was referring to the betting public and that they were hammering the over. By them hammering the over, the line would continue to climb making for a better UNDER play. Tonight, for example, the Phx/Hou 1st half under started off at 104, after the public bet the over so much, the line jumped to 105.5. So instead of a push tonight, i got the win.
Atl/Det 1st HALF UNDER 96.5 (System 2)
Atl/Det 1st HALF UNDER 96.5 (System 3)
Orl/Den 1st HALF UNDER 105 (System 2)
Min/GSW UNDER 217 (System 4)
When a play fits two systems that result in the same play (Over or Under), it just because a double play so 2 units will be on the Atl/Det 1st HALF UNDER.
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