PARLAY COMBINATIONS (1 & 3) (1 & 4) (2 & 3) (2 & 4) (spread)
(1/3) = visiting team gm 1 / visiting team gm 2 (2/12)
(1/4) = visiting team gm 1 / home team gm 2 (9/12)
(2/3) = home team gm 1 / visiting team gm 2 (1/12)
(2/4) = home team gm 1 / home team gm 2 (5/12)
YESTERDAY'S RESULTS: PARLAY #17 (11/11)
DEN AND BOS COVERS ..(2/3) COMBINATION WINS
SERIES RECORD 17 - 0 (17 UNITS)
SERIES PENDING: 3
PARLAY COMBINATIONS (1 & 3) (1 & 4) (2 & 3) (2 & 4) (spread)
(1/3) = visiting team gm 1 / visiting team gm 2 (1/12) PENDING
(1/4) = visiting team gm 1 / home team gm 2 (8/12) PENDING
(2/3) = home team gm 1 / visiting team gm 2 (2/12) WIN
(2/4) = home team gm 1 / home team gm 2 (4/12) PENDING
COMMENTS:THE EXPERIMENT CONTINUES AFTER 17 PARLAYS. I HAVE NOTICED THAT THE VISITING TEAM AND DOG HAS COVERED THE GAME WITH THE LARGEST SPREAD OF THE DAY 10 OR 17 TIMES FOR NEARLY 60%. AGAIN THIS EXPERIMENT IS A WORK IN PROGRESS. THE (1/3) AND (2/3) COMBINATION HAS COVERED IN 5 PLAYS OR LESS. SOMETHING TO CONSIDERED IF THESE STATS CONTINUE: (1) USE THE ALTERNATE PROGRESSION PLAN (2) INSTEAD OF PLAYING ALL 4 COMBINATIONS, PLAY ONLY THE (1/3) AND (2/3). THE TOTALS UNITS WON WOULD BE 33 INSTEAD OF 17 WITH ONLY 1 PENDING AFTER 17 PARLAYS.
PARLAY COMBINATIONS (1 & 3) (1 & 4) (2 & 3) (2 & 4) (spread)
(1/3) = visiting team gm 1 / visiting team gm 2 (1/12)
(1/4) = visiting team gm 1 / home team gm 2 (10/12)
(2/3) = home team gm 1 / visiting team gm 2 (2/12)
(2/4) = home team gm 1 / home team gm 2 (6/12)
YESTERDAY'S RESULTS: PARLAY #18 (11/12)
DET AND TOR COVERS ..(1/3) COMBINATION WINS
SERIES RECORD 18 - 0 (18 UNITS)
SERIES PENDING: 3
PARLAY COMBINATIONS (1 & 3) (1 & 4) (2 & 3) (2 & 4) (spread)
(1/3) = visiting team gm 1 / visiting team gm 2 (2/12) WIN
(1/4) = visiting team gm 1 / home team gm 2 (9/12) PENDING
(2/3) = home team gm 1 / visiting team gm 2 (1/12) PENDING
(2/4) = home team gm 1 / home team gm 2 (5/12) PENDING
COMMENTS: AGAIN, THE VISITING TEAM AND DOG COVERED THE GAME WITH THE LARGEST SPREAD OF THE DAY AND NOW COVERING 11 OF 18 TIMES.THE (1/4) COMBINATION HAS 3 MORE PLAYS TO COVER.
The (1/3) combination won again last night for parlay #20 with covers by ny and mn.
PARLAY #21 (11/15)
GM1: DEN @ PHO (PHO-1)
GM 2: MN @ CHA (CHA-9)
COMMENTS: THE VISITING TEAM AND DOG FOR THE GAME WITH THE LARGEST SPREAD HAS COVERED 13 OF 20 FOR 65%. THE 1/3 AND 2/3 COMBINATION HAS FAR EXCEEDED THE 1/4 AND 2/4. THE 1/4 MUST COVER TONIGHT OR IT LOSES THE SERIES.
REGARDLESS OF WHAT HAPPENS TONIGHT, I WILL STOP THIS EXPERIMENT IN ITS CURRENT FORM. MOST PEOPLE BASED ON THEIR COMMENTS, DO NOT UNDERSTAND IT ANYWAY.
I PLAN TO ADJUST THIS EXPERIMENT AND ONLY LOOK AT TWO PARLAY COMBINATIONS (1/3) AND (2/3) AND USE THE ALTERNATE PROGRESSION METHOD (see below). I WILL CONTINUE TO USE THE LOWEST AND HIGHEST SPREAD OF THE DAY FOR THE 2 GAME PARLAY.
NBA PARLAY (ALTERNATE)
BETTING PROGRESSION (BASED ON -110 WITH 2.6 PAYOUT)
1. .40 X 2.6 ...........total risk .40 to win 1 unit
2. .93 X 2.6 ...........total risk 1.33 to win 2 units
3. 1.7 X 2.6............total risk 3.03 to win 3 units
4. 2.70 X 2.6..........total risk 5.73 to win 4 units
5. 4.20 X 2.6..........total risk 9.93 to win 5 units
6. 6.20 X 2.6..........total risk 16.13 to win 6 units
7. 9.0 X 2.6..........total risk 25.13 to win 7 units
8. 12.8 X 2.6..........total risk 37.93 to win 8 units
9. 18.1 X 2.6..........total risk 56.03 to win 9 units
Example: unit size ($10)... 1st play ... .40 X $10 = $4.00 wager to win $10
...................unit size ($25)... 1st play.... .40 X $25 = $10.00 wager to win $25
...................unit size ($100)..1st play..... .40 x $100 = $40.00 wager to win $100
EXAMPLE: BETTING PROGRESSION BASED ON A $10 UNIT
1. .40 X $10. = $4.00 WAGER TO WIN $10 FOR 1 UNIT / RESULTS : LOSS
2. .93 X $10 = $9.30 WAGER TO WIN $24.18 FOR 2 UNITS / RESULTS : LOSS
3. 1.7 x $10 = $17.00 WAGER TO WIN $44.20 FOR 3 UNITS / RESULTS : LOSS
4. 2.7 X $10 = $27.00 WAGER TO WIN $70.20 FOR 4 UNITS / RESULTS : LOSS
5. 4.2 X $10 = $42.00 WAGER TO WIN $ $109.20 FOR 5 UNITS / RESULTS : LOSS
6. 6.2 X $10 = $62.00 WAGER TO WIN $161.20 FOR 6 UNITS / RESULTS : WIN
(COVER ON THE 6TH PLAY FOR 6 UNITS WON)
COMMENTS: COVERING ONLY 11% (1 OF 9 PARLAYS) WILL GUARANTEE YOU A UNIT WON FOR EVERY PARLAY REGARDLESS OF THE OUTCOME.
BASED ON THIS ADJUSTMENT WITH THE 1/3 AND 2/3 COMBINATION THRU 11/14
PARLAY (1/3) GM1 VISITING TEAM / GM 2 VISITING TEAM (WON 19 UNITS)
PARLAY (2/3) GM1 HOME TEAM / GM 2 VISITING TEAM (WON 17 UNITS)
Nba parlay partnership update thru 12/28 (experiment only)
series record 60 - 1
total units ...+10
comments: The 1/4 combination was the only loss. The 2/3 combination followed by the 1/3 combination has proven to be the best combinations.
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the alternate plan as mentioned: The 2/3 combination is plus 63 units and the 1/3 combination is plus 62 units for a total of 125 units with both combinations with 1 pending.
The system is rather simple and easy to understand. Basically you form a 2 team parlay everyday from match up with the closest spread (i.e. PK or -1) and the widest spread ( -10, -11 etc) on the board and bet them to cover all possible outcome and label each pair as outline on page 1 to 4 categories. Because you bet to cover all outcome there will be 3 losers and 1 winner each day, now what you have to do is increase the stake on those 3 losers to chase your lose but if any given pair lose 12 straight. For example Smallest favorite + Biggest dog pair keep losing 12 days in a row then the series is over.
If you played only the 1/3 combination, your record would be 37 - 0.
March 31... we will start eliminating combinations with covers.
Summary: I had all 4 combinations to go deep in the progression but only suffered one loss based on the 12 step progression.
I have data based on the last 2 seasons experimenting with this on the NBA to make some adjustments and now considering to use this system with both the NBA and MLB.
I like the way it looks with the adjustments and I can see some potential.
I am considering of making a trial run with this for the upcoming MLB season.
RECORD 135 - 1
TOTAL UNITS... +85
PENDING.............3
BACKGROUND INFO... I have experimented with the parlay partnership for the last 2 seasons with the NBA. We are betting all 4 combinations of a 2 game parlay using the high and low spreads regardless of the favorite and chasing each combination loss with the parlay partnership progression. Each combination has made it to the last step of the progression but only one failed to cover for the only loss.
PLAN: Because of the above results I plan to make a few adjustments. I plan to increase the number of parlays from one to four and use 1/4 units instead of full units. This will give me 4 more steps in the progression. This will give 16 steps in the progression instead of 12. No series has gone 16 steps in the progression after 2 seasons of data. I have also included what I call....partnership rescue.. if a series goes this far.
I plan to apply this experiment to the MLB for a trial run.
I just completed the NBA parlay partnership for 2010-11 season on 4/3 when the last pending parlay combination covered.
TOTAL NUMBERS PARLAYS................................ 154
TOTAL NUMBER OF PARLAY COMBINATIONS.......... 608
TOTAL PARLAY COMBINATION SERIES LOST............1
TOTAL UNITS WON..................................... ......103
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