[Brp27345]

I broke down EVERY single game from the '08-'09 season and the '09-'10 season and came up with one single situation to bet when it happens going into the 2nd half on an NBA game...

I since then backtracked another season to see if the given trend... (which not only shows positive numbers, but also makes logical sense)... would continue back for another season... so I backtested the '07-'08 season so far... Here are the numbers I have gotten thus far...

2007 (47-25) 65.28%
2008 (34-26) 56.67%
2009 (45-21) 67.16%

These numbers total out over the course of 3 years to a combined record of...

Total '07-'09 (126-72) 63.64%

What my questions for all of you are...

1.) Is this game sample size close to big enough to make this worth betting???
2.) Even though the sample size is 200 games... is the fact that it is over the course of 3 seasons make it a more respectable sample size?
3.) If the answer is no to either of these questions, how many seasons should I go back to continue to do the backtesting? (Now that I know what I am looking for I can do an entire season in under 3 hours)
4.) If you have any other advice or opinions they would be greatly appreciated!!!

Thanks so much in advance... Brian

[sweetjones55]

I think a large enough sample size would be 500. Now with that being said those numbers do look good and the fact that they were the last 3 seasons makes it interesting. At 64% it is more than worth it to keep backtesting a few seasons, you may have landed something golden.

[Brp27345]

I think a large enough sample size would be 500. Now with that being said those numbers do look good and the fact that they were the last 3 seasons makes it interesting. At 64% it is more than worth it to keep backtesting a few seasons, you may have landed something golden.

Thanks man... so 500 is something to shoot for... sounds good... If I find the time today I might go through '06 while watching some football... hope I have found something golden myself... appreciate the support

[Brp27345]

To those of you that care... I completed another season... not great... but not bad either...

2006 (44-36) 55.00%

New 4 year total...

Total '06-'09 (170-108) 61.15%

Again thoughts and opinions appreciated...

[sweetjones55]

Wow, so far so good. Where do you find past 2nd half lines?

[Brp27345]

I completed another season... pretty good again...

2005 (45-33) 57.69%

New 5 year total...

Total '05-'09 (215-141) 60.39%

[Brp27345]

Wow, so far so good. Where do you find past 2nd half lines?

Find 'em at donbest... all you have to do is change the date and so far... back to the '05 season at least... they have historic game lines as well as half time lines...

I've looked at SOOOOOOO many of these at this point though that if u give me an opening line and tell me the half time score I can pretty much hit the half time line 90% of the time anyway... lmao...

Still going good... gonna keep on putting in the hours while I waste away my Sunday watching football...

[PoweRay]

good info here. thanks

[Wojo]

good job, Brp! It will be interesting to see how that goes during the season.

Wojo

[SolidDala]

Wow, so far so good. Where do you find past 2nd half lines?

Respect your capping a lot so here is a great link for you mate, check an attachment bottom of this page

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/handicappe...-data-nba.html

[sweetjones55]

Respect your capping a lot so here is a great link for you mate, check an attachment bottom of this page http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/handicappe...-data-nba.html

Appreciate that.