[unde0087]

The more I look at the card today, the more I like it. Hornets line moved a point over night so getting the Hornets yesterday was nice. Lets get this done and see if the home team run continues. I think it does as both the home teams are the better teams. Lets go get that 3-0 sweep and continue the great start to this week. Good luck everyone and have fun watching the games tonight.

[Illtakethoseodds]

gl to you too bud.. lets ride that trend! home team dominance!

[unde0087]

Rough ending to the Detroit game as that costs me a winning day. Nothing one can do about those, just have to go to the next day. Still 3-2 for the week as a positive.

Wednesday:

Cavs/Celtics under 177
(1H) Cavs/Celtics under 88

Cavs/Celtics under
I have been perfect thus far in totals for this series and I once again believe this one will stay well short of this posted total. Look both games in Boston, the Cavs could only score 72 and 73. Cavs struggle to shoot the ball and then when you add the Celtics tough home defense it adds up to low scores for the Cavs. Cavs also can play tough defense as Celtics haven't got into the 90's once in this series. I expect the defense on both sides to be fierce in this one again as 3 of 4 in this series have stayed under and 4 of 5 have stayed under the total going back to the regular season. Both games in Boston fell well short of the under with totals of 148 and 162. For the Cavs the under has been played in 7 of 8 when playing the Atlantic Division and an unbelievable 13 out of 15 in conference semifinal games. Boston is on a 5-1 under run at home in the playoffs and have played the under in 8 of the last 12 in the conference semifinals as well. Play the under as baskets should be hard to come by.

Good Luck All!

YTD in Hoops:
CBB: 11-6 (64.7%)
NBA: 48-37-2 (56.4%), NBA Playoffs 43-33-2 (56.5%)
Combined: 59-43-2 (57.8%)

[unde0087]

analysis available now

[unde0087]

I am back from vacation and ready to go see if we can't take some money from the bookies.

Friday:

Spurs/Lakers over 194
Lakers over 99.5

I like the over in this game. The first game was an unusually low scoring game in L.A. Lakers have went over 100 in 9 of their last 11 playoff games. I don't see them struggling to score two games in a row in their own building. Look for the pace to be alittle more up tempo as Lakers want to make this a track meet. In the end I think we will see Lakers win again 106-98.

Good Luck all and have fun watching the game. Its good to be back.


YTD in Hoops:
CBB: 11-6 (64.7%)
NBA: 48-39-2 (55.1%), NBA Playoffs 43-35-2 (55.8%)
Combined: 59-45-2 (56.7%)

[unde0087]

It is time to start a winning streak!

Saturday:

Celtics/Pistons under 176
Pistons -5

Celtics/Pistons under 176
Game 2 ended a 5 game under streak between these two teams and they have played the under in 8 out of the last 10 games. I think we will see that trend once again show itself tonight. Play the under.

Pistons
Now the road team has cashed in 8 of 10 in this rivalry and the Celtics have cashed in the last 4 trips to the Palace but I have to go with the home team here because despite those numbers Celtics have gone 0-6 SU and ATS on the road in their last 6 games. Add that to the fact that Celtics are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 overall. I just can't trust this Celtic team on the road until they can prove they are over this road funk they are in. I will lay the points even though the last time I was burned on Pistons with a last second layup in the Orlando series.

Good Luck All!

YTD in Hoops:
CBB: 11-6 (64.7%)
NBA: 49-40-2 (55%), NBA Playoffs 44-36-2 (55%)
Combined: 60-46-2 (56.6%)

[unde0087]

Thursday:

Spurs +8
Spurs/Lakers under 194

Spurs
Lakers are the better team and will probably win this game but I will take the generous points as Spurs face elimination. They hold the 5-3 ATS edge in this series this season and I just don't know if Lakers will be able to cover this number. The key numbers for me, Spurs are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 conference finals games and even more impressive is the fact that Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after a non-cover. This team is full of veterans and don't be suprised to see this one close to the end. I just think this is too many points.

Spurs/Lakers under
I am not even going to start with the under streaks coming in for both teams because I will be here all night. Fact is, when these two teams meet it is a battle. Both teams are championship caliber teams and I expect that defense will once again be an the order. Lakers have scored in bunches at home this season but Spurs have kept this series at their pace, knowing that is there only chance. This is an elimination game so it might be close but I feel the under is the play.

Good Luck and have a good time watching this game

YTD in Hoops:
CBB: 11-6 (64.7%)
NBA: 49-42-2 (53.8%), NBA Playoffs 44-38-2 (53.6%)
Combined: 60-48-2 (55.5%)

[unde0087]

Thursday 1-0-1, winner on the under and Spurs had the cover for all but a couple minutes in this game and end up just getting the push. I guess it could have been worse.

Friday:

Celtics/Pistons over 174.5
The under has been the play between these two this season (with 3-0 under in Detroit and the under being played in 10 of the last 13 between them) but with how low this over/under is I like the over in this elimination situation. If this game get drawn out at all it will go over the total. As long as one team doesn't get ahead by too many points this over has a great chance. Although I don't expect both teams to score as many points as last game, I like the over.

Good Luck All!

YTD in Hoops:
CBB: 11-6 (64.7%)
NBA: 50-42-3 (54.3%), NBA Playoffs 45-38-3 (54.2%)
Combined: 61-48-3 (55.9%)

[unde0087]

Game 1 Winner

Thursday:

Lakers +2.5

Lakers
Boston did take both games from the regular season but I don't believe that means anything. Both those games were played before the trade for Gasol and before the Lakers finished up the season on the run they have. As I have said many times before in numerous threads, Lakers are the team to beat. The way Kobe has been playing they will be fine in Boston. He is on a mission and the fact that the Lakers are on a 15-3-1 ATS tear in games they are a underdog of less than 7 points doesn't make me feel any worse. I will take the points with what I believe is the better team.

Good Luck!

YTD in Hoops:
CBB: 11-6 (64.7%)
NBA: 50-43-3 (53.7%), NBA Playoffs 45-39-3 (53.5%)
Combined: 61-49-3 (55.4%)

[Wilforth]

Game 1 Winner

Thursday:

Lakers +2.5

Lakers
Boston did take both games from the regular season but I don't believe that means anything. Both those games were played before the trade for Gasol and before the Lakers finished up the season on the run they have. As I have said many times before in numerous threads, Lakers are the team to beat. The way Kobe has been playing they will be fine in Boston. He is on a mission and the fact that the Lakers are on a 15-3-1 ATS tear in games they are a underdog of less than 7 points doesn't make me feel any worse. I will take the points with what I believe is the better team.

Good Luck!

YTD in Hoops:
CBB: 11-6 (64.7%)
NBA: 50-43-3 (53.7%), NBA Playoffs 45-39-3 (53.5%)
Combined: 61-49-3 (55.4%)

The Lakers' record in games they are <7 pts underdog will be altered today whichever way. It could go 16-3-1 in your favor or 15-3-2. One thing that is so clear about Boston is that in the playoffs, their play has been improving as the opposition got tougher. They struggled against Hawks and Cavaliers and yet finished off the Pistons in style. It's hard to imagine Boston losing their first home game of this series. Lakers could have been dumped out by the Spurs if not for Spurs' offensive lukewarmness. Spurs squandered a 20-point lead twice against this Lakers. Don't expect Boston to squander a significant lead in this one. Boston is likely to end the first half with a significant lead, which will be improved upon or at least maintained in the second half. I see Boston winning this comfortably, in spite of how many points Kobe and Co. will get. Go Boston! Nuff said.

[unde0087]

Sunday:

Lakers/Celtics under 191


YTD in Hoops:
CBB: 11-6 (64.7%)
NBA: 50-44-3 (53.1%), NBA Playoffs 45-40-3 (52.9%)
Combined: 61-50-3 (54.9%)

[unde0087]

0-2 start to the finals and a tough run of late in the playoffs after an unbelievable run. Tonight look to get back on track. Good Luck to everyone.

Tuesday:

Celtics/Lakers over 195.5
Lakers team total over 102.5

In game two you saw Kobe start to get on his teammates. This is one of the reasons he was the MVP this season. He finally decided to take the leadership role and that helped this Laker team get to this point. I really beleive we see Kobe and the Lakers explode tonight. This Laker team scores boat loads of points at home and are 8-0 in their own building in these playoffs. Lakers will rain the 3's tonight and I think we see them post around 108 points. Lakers are backed into a corner and we all know Celtics don't play with near the intensity they do away from home. Add the fact that you have to expect the officials to give Lakers more calls after the shaft job of game two when free throws were about 3-1 in Celtics favor. Kobe will attack the rim and get more calls, I wouldn't be suprised to see him score 40, as he has not had one of his explosions yet and what better time then in L.A. in a must win situation. If Boston is going to have a chance to win tonight they are going to have to score and that is where we will see the over. Play the over in game 3.

YTD in Hoops:
CBB Tournament & NIT: 11-6 (64.7%)
NBA: 50-45-3 (52.6%), NBA Playoffs 45-41-3 (52.3%)
Combined: 61-51-3 (54.4%)

[unde0087]

Tough run in the finals, no doubt about it as I have started a rough 0-4. I am about as cold as a winter snow storm.

Thursday:

Today I will drop my first, NBA playoff Play of the Year Part 1. I normally don't rate any of my games I just put them on here for people to see but this play I like a great deal. So good luck everyone today and lets cash this big ticket.

Celtics/Lakers under 191.5


Here are 3 other bets I will be placing at half the weight as the top pick:

Celtics/Lakers under 95 (1H)
Boston under 45.5 (1H)
Lakers under 100 for game


YTD in Hoops:
CBB Tournament & NIT: 11-6 (64.7%)
NBA: 50-47-3 (51.5%), NBA Playoffs 45-43-3 (51.1%)
Combined: 61-53-3 (53.5%)

[unde0087]

Finally, Go 3-1 with my NBA playoff game of the year lands the under in game 4 and more importantly the big winning night.


YTD in Hoops:
CBB Tournament & NIT: 11-6 (64.7%)
NBA: 53-48-3 (52.4%), NBA Playoffs 48-44-3 (52.1%)
Combined: 64-54-3 (54.2%)

[unde0087]

Tuesday:

NBA Playoffs Game of the Year Part 1 (Winner - under 191.5 in Game 4)

NBA Playoffs Game of the Year Part 2
Lakers/Celtics under 191
I love the under once again as the series moves back to Boston. Lakers have struggled to score in Boston so far and Lakers have played the under in 7 out of their last 8 as an underdog. Lakers have also played the under in 8 out of their last 10 playoff games and the Celtics have played the under in 6 of their last 9 in the playoffs. I know it is an elimination game but I think we see the defense in this game just enough to see this game stay under the posted price. Play the under.

Also go with a smaller play:
Celtics -4
Even though in the back of my mind I think this series will go 7 games it is hard to go against the Celtics in their own building. Especially the way the Lakers have played in Boston this far. Going with the Celtics here.

Good Luck

YTD in Hoops:
CBB Tournament & NIT: 11-6 (64.7%)
NBA: 53-48-3 (52.4%), NBA Playoffs 48-44-3 (52.1%)
Combined: 64-54-3 (54.2%)

[unde0087]

So ends another year in basketball. See you all next season.


YTD in Hoops:
CBB Tournament & NIT: 11-6 (64.7%)
NBA: 54-49-3 (52.4%), NBA Playoffs 49-45-3 (52.1%)
Combined: 65-55-3 (54.1%)