i am playing it as utah is .500 team (even though they are 3-3 now) and always play well on the road ats. they will be 10 point+ underdogs at miami and at orlando will cover one of these two games. i think it will be the first game at miami.
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11-08-10 09:32 AM #71
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11-08-10 10:20 AM #72
Yeah, to me the filter will be 500 and up, it it's exactly 500, it'll be a play on the road team. 499 or below, a play on the home team. So Utah's gonna be a play under the system.
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11-08-10 10:23 AM #73
For record keeping purposes, the lines have come out and I've placed my bets:
System 1:
(A)GS +5 (-170) $340 to win $200
(A)CHI ML (-155) **Against Denver** $310 to win $200
(A) DAL ML (-165) **Against Boston** $330 to win $200
System 2:
(B)GS +2 (-110) $220 to win $200Points Awarded:
thejanitor gave Seth 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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11-08-10 10:29 AM #74
Blast I am opposite side of all of these.... I guess there is 3 points on each where we both can win.
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11-08-10 03:50 PM #75
Clippers started a 3 road games series at denver on friday (they covered the spread with and without buying 3 pts), game B was at utah on saturday (they also covered with and without buying 3 pts), game C will be tomorrow at charlotte. Will you be playing on charlotte to cover game C because this also qualifyies as a reverse 3 game series?
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11-08-10 07:05 PM #76
Nope can't say that I will play on this one, it's a V3 under JM's system. I'll never touch these, straight or reverse. Too risky in my opinion.
Originally Posted by Mashaka
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11-08-10 07:23 PM #77
Let's make some money tonight Seth!!!!
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11-08-10 08:33 PM #78
Looking that way right now buddy! Originally Posted by dvb02
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11-08-10 08:40 PM #79
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11-08-10 08:40 PM #80
Getting tomorrow's bets in now as I think both of these lines are going to move against us:
System 2:
Utah: +10 (-110) 220 to win 200
Portland: -10.5 (-110) 220 to win 200 **AGAINST DETROIT**
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11-08-10 09:38 PM #81
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11-08-10 09:54 PM #82
Nice job tonight Seth!!
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11-09-10 02:18 AM #83
Great job to all who played the same plays I did tonight!! Here are my updated records, I've already posted the 2 plays for the 9th.
System 1 Record: (3-1) +$175
System 2 Record: (1-0) +$200
**Note the records and profit may not match up to what you have earned so far, but I am tracking this for myself, the one loss on system one was only played as a single game, so I didn't take the full 6.29 unit loss. Also, that first play was 425 to win 250, which lost, and now I've dropped my unit to 200.
Let's keep this going guys!
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11-09-10 05:43 AM #84
November 9th Overview:
System 1: Only Monitoring Today
UTAH +13 vs MIAMI -7
DETROIT +13.5 vs PORTLAND -7.5
System 2: 2 plays today
(A) UTAH +10 220 to win 200
(A) PORTLAND -10.5 220 to win 200
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11-09-10 10:12 AM #85
Nice picks last night. Here's hoping for a Portland win by 11 tonight!
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11-09-10 01:52 PM #86
Originally Posted by Seth
I'm kinda lost....what's the system 2? I've read some previous posts from u and dvb...but I'm still confused....
thx for the help
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11-09-10 01:57 PM #87
What I think on the system 2 it's that teams over.500 it's covering on their 2nd game on the road this year? I will watch tonight but if I'm correct the play will be Piston and Miami.
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11-09-10 08:48 PM #88
No problem I'll help you out. System 2 is simply this: It's another 2 game chase, no buying points. You look at the JM V1 schedule, and look at the road team that you'd be playing according to the JM system. If their record is over 500, you play on them for the first two games, only the first two games, no points. If their record is below 500, then you play against them for the first two games, no points. Originally Posted by joanapoker
I'm kinda lost....what's the system 2? I've read some previous posts from u and dvb...but I'm still confused....
thx for the help
I hope that helps, let me know if you're still unclear.Points Awarded:joanapoker gave Seth 10 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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11-09-10 09:30 PM #89
What a finish for Utah! Congratz to those on the play!
November 10 is looking like this so far, this isn't final:
System 1:
(A) Orlando (no line yet) **AGAINST UTAH**
**Pending play depending how Portland's game turns out**
Monitoring:
Houston ML vs Washington +5.5
Philadelphia vs OKC (no line yet)
System 2:
**Pending play on Portland if they don't cover today**
(A)Washington +2.5
(A)OKC (no line yet)Points Awarded:JawboneBuddha gave Seth 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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11-09-10 11:14 PM #90
Loving the way system 2 is performing!! 2-0 tonight!! Here are my updated records:
System 1 Record: (3-1) +$175
System 2 Record: (3-0) +$600
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11-09-10 11:19 PM #91
Alright now that the Portland game is decided I have a full card for tomorrow, some lines are still not posted:
System 1:
10/10 (A) Orlando (no line yet + 3 points) **AGAINST UTAH** $340 to win $200
10/12 (A) Detroit (no line yet + 3 points)
Monitoring:
Houston ML vs Washington +5.5
Philadelphia vs OKC (no line yet)
System 2:
(A)Washington +2.5 $220 to win $200
(A)OKC (no line yet) $220 to win $200Last edited by Seth; 11-09-10 at 11:23 PM.
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11-10-10 06:09 AM #92
Thx Seth for the help!
nice to see the systems are running good!
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11-10-10 06:18 AM #93
I'm guessing that the ORL line will open anywhere between -7 and -9
Also the UNDER there could be a good idea....
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11-10-10 06:20 AM #94
where are u playing Seth? Lines for WAS are at +3 almost everywhere Originally Posted by Seth
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11-10-10 07:56 AM #95
I'm only putting +2.5 because that's where it opened, I know it moved quickly to +3, which is where I got it at. I should change that, thanks. I just put that to see how the system works using opening lines. Btw I use bookmaker and phoenix, at bookmaker you can only buy 2 points so i use phoenix for 3. Originally Posted by joanapoker
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11-10-10 08:05 AM #96
Seth, how much does Phoenix charge to buy 3 pts?
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11-10-10 08:07 AM #97
Seth,
I read the entire thread and thanks to you and others for all the work. Just so I completely understand this the systems are as follows:
System 1
Sit back and watch the A game, no wager on it whatsoever.
Whichever bet covers, play the B bet (A bet for us) on the side that didn't cover, either road or home, always buying 3 points as the system states.
If that A bet loses, we move onto the B bet, if it wins, we take the unit profit, and if it loses, we lose a total of 6.29 units.
That's the beauty of this at -170 odds, only playing a 2 game chase takes 6.29 units, as opposed to the roughly 18 units you would lose playing a regular 3 game chase.
System 2
It's a 2 game chase, no buying points.
You look at the JM V1 schedule, and look at the road team that you'd be playing according to the JM system.
If their record is over .500, you play on them for the first two games, only the first two games, no points.
If their record is below 500, then you play against them for the first two games, no points.
thanks in advance for the time.
ps
i don't think philly/okc is a morrison play b/c philly won the first game of their in-conference road trip by more than 3 points ats.Last edited by cmdyrds; 11-10-10 at 08:18 AM.
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11-10-10 08:17 AM #98
cmdyrds, Sounds like you got it. FYI, on System 1, if they both cover on the JM A game, then you pass on the series.
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11-10-10 08:19 AM #99
Best anywhere I've seen, -170. Sometimes it can drop to the -160 to -165 range, it's just 60 cents added to the original ATS line. Originally Posted by dvb02
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11-10-10 08:20 AM #100
Looks like dvb answered it for ya, you're right on the money amigo. Originally Posted by cmdyrds
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11-10-10 08:27 AM #101
thanks for the quick answers guys. nice to see people willing to help out and not always rip on people. GL tonight all, happy vets day tomorrow.
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11-10-10 09:45 AM #102
Lines finally came out..here are the plays for tomorrow:
System 1:
11/10 (A) Orlando (-7.5) **AGAINST UTAH** $340 to win $200
11/12 (A) Detroit (no line yet + 3 points)
Monitoring:
Houston ML vs Washington +5.5
Philadelphia +12.5 vs OKC -6.5
System 2:
(A)Washington +3 $220 to win $200
(A)OKC -9 $220 to win $200Last edited by Seth; 11-10-10 at 10:37 AM.
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11-10-10 09:51 AM #103
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11-10-10 10:14 AM #104
Seth u have the dates wrong!! the month is 11
cheers
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11-10-10 10:22 AM #105
Did the line move a shitton for Magic, or did you buy?
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