1. #1
    LT Profits
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    Basketball Parlay of the Day Contest - Monday, 3/10/08

    Listen up, basketball experts. Starting Saturday (Mar 1) we will commence with the March Hoops Parlay Contest with the monthly grand prize a 22” widescreen LCD monitor. The rules are simple:

    1. Check in the NBA BASKETBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Posted spreads and totals are the only eligible plays for grading. Both NBA and NCAA games included.

    3. Two-game parlay picks, laying 10 to win 26. Post entire parlay at same time, no open parlays.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up, doesn’t have to be long, just a sentence or two about why you’re making your play. Here’s a THREAD from last year’s contest to be used for an example.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis for both games will be NO ACTION. Once your two-team parlay has been posted, you CANNOT change either play. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake (such as leaving out "Over" or "Under" or not clearly stating your selection), need to add analysis or wish to enter corrected lines, do so in a seperate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not tip off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not parlay selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts or congratulatory posts.

    6. And here’s the fine print:

    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per household and IP address.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one parlay pick per day, minimum 15 parlay plays needed to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker - Win % of individual parlay legs. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head parlay match until winner determined.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.
    • Residents outside the Continental US may be awarded the cash value prize instead of the monitor.



  2. #2
    LT Profits
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    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    Name            W       L       W/P     Units
    Deke101   	5	2	0	110.00
    beaneaters 	5	4	0	90.00
    20Four7     	4	3	1	83.00
    The HG      	4	4	0	64.00
    Wrigley     	4	4	0	64.00
    maestrobobcobb	4	5	0	54.00
    greek     	3	3	0	48.00
    msubulldog	2	1	0	42.00
    babaoriley 	3	4	0	38.00
    LLXC       	3	4	0	38.00
    thezbar      	3	4	0	38.00
    LT Profits	3	5	1	37.00
    seaborneq     	3	5	1	37.00
    Poker Beast	2	2	0	32.00
    regularguy  	3	5	0	28.00
    Peyton2Marvin	2	3	0	22.00
    ralquis       	2	3	0	22.00
    diogee    	3	6	0	18.00
    louisvillekid  	3	6	0	18.00
    rake922      	3	6	0	18.00
    Cabo        	1	1	0	16.00
    Mr KLC      	1	1	0	16.00
    myr10      	1	1	0	16.00
    harsh506    	2	4	0	12.00
    sharktank1  	2	4	0	12.00
    sir.civic   	2	4	0	12.00
    awhitejackson	1	2	0	6.00
    dannyt76 	2	5	0	2.00
    rugbybdyb  	2	5	0	2.00
    VBOMBER  	1	3	0	-4.00
    charlie64  	2	6	0	-8.00
    IHPuller   	2	6	0	-8.00
    turnip     	2	6	0	-8.00
    gzolling9783	0	1	0	-10.00
    imgv94       	0	1	0	-10.00
    indy62      	0	1	0	-10.00
    kkhimji2001	0	1	0	-10.00
    MadCapper 	0	1	0	-10.00
    OegNo    	0	1	0	-10.00
    stump      	0	1	0	-10.00
    dwaechte  	1	4	0	-14.00
    justdoingit 	1	4	0	-14.00
    goldengoat    	2	7	0	-18.00
    pavyracer    	2	7	0	-18.00
    gizmo2431  	0	2	0	-20.00
    louisvillekid1	0	2	0	-20.00
    picantel      	0	2	0	-20.00
    brock      	1	5	0	-24.00
    szaidi99    	1	5	0	-24.00
    pokernut9999	1	6	1	-25.00
    McRich      	0	3	0	-30.00
    Data         	0	4	0	-40.00
    junkman773	0	4	0	-40.00
    rjt721      	0	4	0	-40.00
    mundane   	1	7	0	-44.00
    Dark Horse	0	5	0	-50.00
    xyzky     	0	5	0	-50.00
    Wyndham 	0	7	0	-70.00
    Junkyard Dog	0	9	0	-90.00
    
    
    GAME-BY-GAME 
    Name            W       L       P        Pct
    msubulldog	5	1	0	83.3%
    Deke101   	11	3	0	78.6%
    Cabo        	3	1	0	75.0%
    Mr KLC      	3	1	0	75.0%
    20Four7     	11	4	1	73.3%
    beaneaters 	13	5	0	72.2%
    babaoriley 	10	4	0	71.4%
    Peyton2Marvin	7	3	0	70.0%
    The HG      	11	5	0	68.8%
    Wrigley     	11	5	0	68.8%
    greek     	8	4	0	66.7%
    LT Profits	11	6	1	64.7%
    seaborneq     	11	6	1	64.7%
    dannyt76 	9	5	0	64.3%
    regularguy  	10	6	0	62.5%
    Poker Beast	5	3	0	62.5%
    VBOMBER  	5	3	0	62.5%
    thezbar      	8	5	1	61.5%
    diogee    	11	7	0	61.1%
    ralquis       	6	4	0	60.0%
    harsh506    	7	5	0	58.3%
    sharktank1  	7	5	0	58.3%
    sir.civic   	7	5	0	58.3%
    LLXC       	8	6	0	57.1%
    turnip     	9	7	0	56.3%
    louisvillekid  	10	8	0	55.6%
    pavyracer    	10	8	0	55.6%
    rake922      	10	8	0	55.6%
    rugbybdyb  	7	6	1	53.8%
    maestrobobcobb	9	9	0	50.0%
    mundane   	8	8	0	50.0%
    brock      	6	6	0	50.0%
    gizmo2431  	2	2	0	50.0%
    myr10      	2	2	0	50.0%
    gzolling9783	1	1	0	50.0%
    imgv94       	1	1	0	50.0%
    indy62      	1	1	0	50.0%
    kkhimji2001	1	1	0	50.0%
    OegNo    	1	1	0	50.0%
    stump      	1	1	0	50.0%
    goldengoat    	8	9	1	47.1%
    pokernut9999	7	8	1	46.7%
    charlie64  	7	9	0	43.8%
    IHPuller   	7	9	0	43.8%
    Dark Horse	4	6	0	40.0%
    dwaechte  	4	6	0	40.0%
    justdoingit 	4	6	0	40.0%
    junkman773	3	5	0	37.5%
    rjt721      	3	5	0	37.5%
    Junkyard Dog	6	12	0	33.3%
    awhitejackson	2	4	0	33.3%
    szaidi99    	3	9	0	25.0%
    picantel      	1	3	0	25.0%
    Wyndham 	3	10	1	23.1%
    xyzky     	2	8	0	20.0%
    Data         	0	8	0	0.0%
    louisvillekid1	0	4	0	0.0%
    MadCapper 	0	2	0	0.0%
    McRich      	0	6	0	0.0%

  3. #3
    LT Profits
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    NBA Basketball

    Mon 3/10 501 Atlanta Hawks +10 Over 209˝
    7:05PM (EST) 502 Orlando Magic -10 Under 209˝

    Mon 3/10 503 Portland Trailblazers +5 Over 188
    7:05PM (EST) 504 Cleveland Cavaliers -5 Under 188

    Mon 3/10 505 Boston Celtics -5˝ Over 196
    7:05PM (EST) 506 Philadelphia 76ers +5˝ Under 196

    Mon 3/10 507 Los Angeles Clippers +1 Over 188˝
    7:35PM (EST) 508 Miami Heat -1 Under 188˝

    Mon 3/10 509 New York Knicks +14 Over 201
    8:35PM (EST) 510 Dallas Mavericks -14 Under 201

    Mon 3/10 511 Denver Nuggets +7 Over 201
    8:35PM (EST) 512 San Antonio Spurs -7 Under 201

    Mon 3/10 513 New Jersey Nets +11˝ Over 191
    8:35PM (EST) 514 Houston Rockets -11˝ Under 191


    NCAA Basketball

    Mon 3/10 515 William & Mary +8˝ Over 116˝
    7:00PM (EST) 516 George Mason -8˝ Under 116˝

    Mon 3/10 517 Middle Tenn State +11 Over 133
    7:30PM (EST) 518 South Alabama -11 Under 133

    Mon 3/10 519 Western Kentucky -9 Over 128˝
    10:00PM (EST) 520 Arkansas Little Rock +9 Under 128˝

    Mon 3/10 521 Gonzaga -7 Over 127
    9:00PM (EST) 522 San Diego +7 Under 127

    Mon 3/10 523 Rider +3 Over 148
    7:00PM (EST) 524 Siena -3 Under 148

    Mon 3/10 525 Elon +16˝ Over 129˝
    9:00PM (EST) 526 Davidson -16˝ Under 129˝

  4. #4
    dannyt76
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    LAC +1: Wade, Haslem, and Banks out tonight. Miami was bad with those guys in the lineup and without them I seriously doubt Marion will be able to keep his team in it. Like the Clips to roll in this one.

    PHI +6: 6ers playing on fire right now. They are a young, athletic team and they should be fired up tonight as the play the Celts. I wouldn't be surprised if they win this one outright.

  5. #5
    thezbar
    .lent
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    Heat - Under 188.5 Two bad teams man, two bad ------ teams
    San Diego +7 History says this should be competitive. I'll take the seven point head start.

  6. #6
    shantystar
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    Atlanta Hawks +10 ,i like this play for today as they are improving from last 3 matches and i hope today they cover their spread .
    Elon +16˝ ,nice team to back at this huge spread ,

  7. #7
    mundane
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    Cleveland Cavaliers -5
    hoping for the lbj take over to happen against roy and his young squad.

    San Antonio Spurs -7
    tough losses lately and this one in particular will be a revenge game against the nuggs.

  8. #8
    turnip
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    San Diego +7 The Toreros did not make that great comeback and win in double OT just to get blown out by the Zags, did they?

    Western Kentucky/Arkansas Little Rock Under 128˝ Little Rock is going to have to emphasize defense and avoid giving up fast breaks in order to have a chance.

  9. #9
    Junkyard Dog
    Get up and Get it
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    505 Boston Celtics -5˝ - philly gets a dose of reality tonite after their nice run

    522 San Diego +7 - they will have the crowd behind them to keep it close

  10. #10
    The HG
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    Rider/Siena under 148 - Even though these two went much higher in the regular season, for this one I think they will be tired and competitive, and the scoring will be moderate.

    Nets/Houston over 191 - Hosuton has been scoring a lot on their post-Yao winning streak, and the Nets have been scoring more since losing Kidd as well. I think these trends will continue and this one should get into the 190s.

  11. #11
    kkhimji2001
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    Cavs - 5
    CLEVELAND is 2-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons at home

    Hawks + 10
    The Hawks have actually won three straight SU and ATS as well as four of the last five between these clubs.

  12. #12
    louisvillekid
    slummin it
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    #505 Bos. -5.5 : the Celtics are 10-1 ATS vs. division opponents this year and 5-0 ATS vs. Philly on the road.

    #517 Mid Tenn St. +11 : MTSU beat S.Ala. by 3 in last years Sun Belt tourney.

  13. #13
    Wyndham
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    My best bets are consistently cashing and my underdogs have been hugely profitable, but I just can't catch a break hitting two picks in one parlay here!

    Cavs -5: Too good for Portland. They'll probably win by four after choking away a 15-point lead.
    Spurs -7: Too good at home for Denver, and they'll want revenge. They'll probably win by six after leading by 20 throughout.

  14. #14
    awhitejackson
    Slappin troubles away with the SlapChop
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    Gonzaga -7...SD with a nice Double OT win last nite...They were outclassed last nite despite the win and will be again tonite..Gonzaga just has too many weapons
    Rider +3 ...MAAC's toughest team all year has had a few slipups and shady games lately but tonite will roll...Better talent, scoring, rebounding...

  15. #15
    LT Profits
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    PHILADELPHIA 76ERS +5.5: The Celtics have the best record in the NBA, but Philadelphia is a tough venue to be a road favorite right now. The Sixers have won eight straight games at home by an incredible average of +18.9 points per game, and they are now in position for double revenge after losing twice to the Celtics this season.

    SAN DIEGO +7: San Diego came back from 17 down to win in double overtime last night, and they have already shown they can compete with Gonzaga in this building this year, covering the number in a 59-55 loss last month. With a berth in the Big Dance on the line, look for a huge effort by the Toreros on their home floor.

  16. #16
    harsh506
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    Hawks +10
    Clips +1

    No wade=no win
    orlando is iffy sometimes, and a 10 point head start dosnt hurt

  17. #17
    13th Street
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    First Entry into this Contest.

    OVER 191 (Houston vs NJ)
    UNDER 201 (SA vs Den)

    Houston is scoring quick. They are averaging over 100 pts a game right now. I believe they will score about 102-110 pts tonight. So, hopefully, NJ will score 90pts.

    SA really slows down the game to a snail's pace. Hard to watch. Denver sucks on the road. I think both the UNDER and SA are good plays tonight.

    GL
    Last edited by 13th Street; 03-10-08 at 02:55 PM.

  18. #18
    13th Street
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    Quote Originally Posted by 13th Street View Post
    First Entry into this Contest.

    OVER 191 (Houston vs NJ)
    UNDER 201 (SA vs Den)

    Houston is scoring quick. They are averaging over 100 pts a game right now. I believe they will score about 102-110 pts tonight. So, hopefully, NJ will score 90pts.

    SA really slows down the game to a snail's pace. Hard to watch. Denver sucks on the road. I think both the UNDER and SA are good plays tonight.

    GL
    OK, I just read the rules.
    I edited my original post. Sorry.

    My offical plays are the same.

    OVER 191 HOU vs NJ
    UNDER 201 SA vs DEN

    I hope this will count.

  19. #19
    myr10
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    Rockets -11.5

    Nets 1-5 ats as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points.
    Nets 1-6 ats against Southwest opponents
    Rockets 10-0 ats since all-star break.

    Boston/Philly Over 196

    Boston and Philly have been puttin up points in bunchs, so im expecting this to go over easy.

  20. #20
    justdoingit
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    Celts -5.5 85% on celtics but line moving torward philly. Seems like BOS should have no problems tonight.

    Cavs-5 83% on cavs but line is going the other way go king james!

  21. #21
    rake922
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    New York Knicks/Dallas Mavericks Under 201
    Under is 5-1-1 in Mavericks last 7 games following a SU win of more than 10 points
    Under is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

    Denver Nuggets/San Antonio Spurs Under 201
    Under is 23-5-1 in Nuggets last 29 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record
    Under is 19-3 in Spurs last 22 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record
    Under is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in San Antonio

  22. #22
    IHPuller
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    Clippers +1: The Heat are pathetic...and with Wade out they are on complete tank mode.

    San Diego +7: Gonzo didnt impress me vs San Diego last night and SD has been my cash cow a lot this year.

  23. #23
    maestrobobcobb
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    Monday Parlay of the Day Selections:

    Disappointing weekend hoping for better luck tonite:

    Western Kentucky/ Arkansas Little Rock under 128.5:
    both teams have played "under" more often than "over" Arkansas LR 4 out of 5 "unders" last 5 games. last meeting final was 71-47 well below today's posted total


    Rider/Siena over 148: Both previous meetings this year were over the posted total and over last 3 seasons 5 out of 6 games have gone over posted total. Teams look evenly matched always having chance for OT

  24. #24
    Deke101
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    Better judgment says to pass today. But it's still early in the contest and there are a few picks that I am leaning towards.

    William & Mary +8.5: Yeah, they are the cinerella story within their conference tourney. They don't have an explosive offense, and most of their games go under. However, they are playing with a lot of heart, and tonight they have a chance to get into the tourney for the first time in school history. The last meeting between W&M and George Mason ended in a 54-60 GM win. GM shot %50 from the field, and W&M shot %39.6. W&M also only made 4 free throws, and GM made 16. With these stats, I couldn't figure out how W&M only lost by 6, and this game was at George Mason's home court? I think W&M is pumped up for tonight's game on a neutral court playing for the conference championship, and getting 8.5 points is much more than it seems it should be.

    William & Mary vs. George Mason Over 116.5: This counters my argument that W&M produces a lot of Under's, which they do. But with this being the conference championship, and each team averages into the 60's for scoring, and allowing, I think that this total is set a little low. The reason for it being that George Mason is supposed to win 62-54. I don't see this score happening. I think this game will be much closer than 9 points and each team will score 56+ as well as free throws at the end to prolong the losing teams season.

  25. #25
    babaoriley
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wyndham View Post
    My best bets are consistently cashing and my underdogs have been hugely profitable, but I just can't catch a break hitting two picks in one parlay here!

    Cavs -5: Too good for Portland. They'll probably win by four after choking away a 15-point lead.
    Spurs -7: Too good at home for Denver, and they'll want revenge. They'll probably win by six after leading by 20 throughout.
    LOL... We think alike, apparently.

  26. #26
    Mr KLC
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    Rockets -11 1/2

    7 of the last 8 losses the Nets have suffered on the road have been double digit losses. The Rockets are beating everyone in double digits lately.

    Nets/Rockets Over 191

    Oh yeah. Did I mention that the Nets have allowed triple digits in 7 of their last 8 road losses also? The Rockets have scored 100+ in 8 of their last 9 games.

  27. #27
    ralquis
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    Los Angeles Clippers +1 Miami too many injuries
    Philadelphia 76ers +5˝ Philly on a roll, we'll see how good they are

  28. #28
    beaneaters
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    Denver/San Antonio under 201. Under is 16-4 in last 20 meetings, and only twice has the total topped 200.

    Orlando -10. Magic stinging from a home loss to Golden State two days ago, and were also upset at home at Atlanta earlier this year. Should be ready this time.

  29. #29
    charlie64
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    Basketball parlay of the day contest Monday 3/10/08

    Sandiego+7 over Gonzaga

    Sandiego comes into the game tonight on kind of a roll.They have covered every game between Gonzaga and St.Marys also they are 20-9 against the spread,and have covered every conference game but 4.

    Houston-11.5 over Nets

    Houston is on fire,they have won 15 games in a row,anhave covered 10 in a row.They have also won 19 out of their last 20.I'm gonna ride it out.

  30. #30
    dwaechte
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    Orlando -10
    Will and Mary +8.5

    Orlando still playing hard for that 3rd seed, too much talent for the hawks at home.

    Will & Mary just a hope since it's such a good story.

  31. #31
    pavyracer
    MOLON LABE
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    Siena -3 I'm picking the better overall team to win based on better shooting percentage.

    William & Mary +8.5 Too many points for a championship game. CAA finals are always tight.

  32. #32
    Wrigley
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    516 George Mason -8˝
    Will and Mary got their big upset win yesterday look for george mason to blow thenm out today

    522 San Diego +7
    This game is in san Diego even though it is the conference tourney I think SD wins outright or losses a close one.

  33. #33
    rugbybdyb
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    hawks/magic under 209 1/2 -- Way below this on the last meeting

    Clippers +1 --- Miami could actually screw me on this one, but I think the clipps win this one....

  34. #34
    diogee
    fadeable flamingo
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    Clippers +1 Heat have several players out including Wade.

    Den/SA U 201 Spurs blew a good sized lead last match-up and that game went over. Spurs slow this game down and try to take control.

  35. #35
    greek
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    philly by the points/ san antoinio by the other points=== san ant. wants revenge / philly been winning will stay close

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