[telespectatorul]

02.02.2011
Game: Denver Nuggets - Portland Trailblazers
Pick: Nuggets -8
Odds: 1.9
Confidence: 70%


Every guy that likes betting should be extremly happy when the Nuggies return in the Pepsi Center to play. This is their first home game after the 5 games road trip. In that span, they won the first 3 games and when we all thought that finally Denver decided to show up on the road, they lost the last 2. Unexpected huh? Now they will play against Portland, a team that scares the shit out of me. I just can't understand how they managed to win 26 games with all those injuries. LaMarcus Aldridge is a stud this season, and last night he beat San Antonio almost by himself. Now on a back to back in the high mountains up in Denver and I just can't see how could they possibly win this. Portland is almost as bead road team as Denver is, with just one victory over the Nuggets. Last time this two playd in Denver, Portland lost miserable against a Melo-less Denver, and scored just 77. Now Denver will have to play hard because a loss tonight could jeopardize the playoff spot. Altough -8 seems a little too much, Denver always played hard against the Blazers, especially at home. I would have extra confidence in this one, but since it's the first game after the road trip, I'd rather be careful.



Record: 1-0

[face]

i lost money on nuggets the other day against nets. i don't understand the nuggets, but i do know that their defense sucks.

[telespectatorul]

yeah, I lost money on them too on that ****** up game. Usually at home they take care of things, tonigh should be the same. hopefully.

[face]

i don't know did you see the blazers tonight? lamarcus aldridge could NOT miss, super acurate, and they can run ally-oops with him all night long because he's 8 feet tall. im teasing blazers, mavs, and pacers for as many points as i can.

[telespectatorul]

Yes, i saw that game. This is my view: Aldridge can score 40 tonight, Mathews 25..No biggie. Because there will be Melo, Billups, JR, Nene, Afflalo, TY, etc etc. Portland plays really good at home but away they are not that strong. I can see this a big let down fpt them after the last night game.

[ptall]

too close portland played well tonight

[face]

yea maybe ur right i could see it both ways, i'm not gonna play nuggets again though until i see some damn effort

[Pap45murF]

Teasing Nuggets -3.5 and Thunder -3 myself. 8 points was too much for a team like Denver. But at home, against a so-so team on a B2B... shouldn't be a problem.

And the date you have should be 02.02.2011

[THEGREAT30]

I want the mouth

[telespectatorul]

Teasing Nuggets -3.5 and Thunder -3 myself. 8 points was too much for a team like Denver. But at home, against a so-so team on a B2B... shouldn't be a problem.

And the date you have should be 02.02.2011

Thanks for the date thing
BOL with the plays

[xxdjstriderxx]

i like a small play on denver here, and the over as well. denver should be able to score well vs portland, given that they get some good looks that go in

[telespectatorul]

line now up to 8.5

[telespectatorul]

02.02.2011
game: Denver nuggets - portland trailblazers
pick: Nuggets -8
odds: 1.9
confidence: 70%

won 2-0

[telespectatorul]

03.01.2011
Game: Golden State Warriors - Milwaukee Bucks
Pick: Warriors -5 (buy the extra 2 points)
Odds: 1.61
Confidence: 70%

Interesting game here, between two completely different teams. Warriors are well known for their "run and gun" offence while the Bucks always try to slow down the pace, and they play extremly physical. The last time these two teams met, the Bucks won at home, 79-72 (just 72 points scored from the GSW) but those days David Lee wasn't playing, Stephen Curry was struggling to make something happen, and Monta Ellis was forced to carry the team all by himself. Now the Warriors are in an excelent spot here, with the Bucks playing the 3rd game in 4 days, the 3rd on the road, and a back to back game after the loss the other night @ Phoenix. Andrew Bogut will not play but Ilyasova is a decent player so Bogut's injury shouldn't be a big advantage for the Warriors. Also Jennings is back but the coach allows him to play limited minutes and I don't think he will play a lot tonight because it would be an unnecessary risk, especially in a road game against a non-divisional team. The line opened at -7 for the Warriors but I feel this is a little to high for me. I decided to buy 2 points and make it Warriors -5.

[enzofield]

Very nice presentation!!! ... congrats!!

[telespectatorul]

Very nice presentation!!! ... congrats!!

thank you, and warriors won by 6

[Pap45murF]

Strangely I would've went Bucks +7.5 and we both would've won.

[telespectatorul]

it would've been great to win both on that game.

[HawkEye]

Im liking this thread

[telespectatorul]

Im liking this thread

[telespectatorul]

04.01.2011
Game: Atlanta Hawks - LA Clippers
Pick: Hawks over 101,5
Odds: 1.87
Confidence: 60%

I have one BIG reason to play this one: Clippers played 18 road games so far in this season. Do you know in how many of them they received 100 or more? in 17!!! They are awful on the road, kind of overestimated know but in fact they play hard only at home.Atlanta scored at least 100 12 times in 22 games at home. But those 10 times they failed to reach the century were against teams like Bobcats, Dallas, Celtics, Magic. The problem is that against teams like Pistons, Cavaliers or Wizards they failed to score at least 100. But against the Clippers I think they will reach ~108 or something like that. Clippers have no defense at all, and are really bad even at the free throw line. Altough I am playing this pick, I won't go big on it.

[telespectatorul]

leaning thunder but not pulled the trigger yet.

[5ammy]

Nice layout on the posts!

[telespectatorul]

thank you, appreciate it.

[telespectatorul]

strange line for the over/under at raptors...218 seems A LOT...

[telespectatorul]

04.01.2011
Game: Atlanta Hawks - LA Clippers
Pick: Hawks over 101,5
Odds: 1.87
Confidence: 60%

101-100...

[Pap45murF]

Your dates are off again.

04.01.2011 is either April 1st or Jan 4th... neither of which are right.

Yeah. You miss by half a point and I miss by a point and a half. Hawks let everyone down tonight.

[telespectatorul]

yeah, think that was bad luck..

[Demoneyes]

just wanted to say telespectatorul you have a great thread... any leans tonight sir.

[telespectatorul]

back again



Date: 07.02.2011
Game: Charlotte Bobcats - Boston Celtics
Pick: Celtics -4.5
Odds: 1.9
Confidence: 55%

The confidence is a little smaller here just because the Celtics are on a back to back after a great win in the Garden against Orlando. But I really can't pass this game. I do realize that Bobcats can cover in this one, and maybe win SU, but I'm going with my guts. DJ Augustin is playing some good ball lately but he will have his hands full in this one against Rajon and Nate, two very fast mofos. I also like the matchups here (well, what's not to like). Kwame/Nazr against Perkins/Baby and sometimes KG. IMO Celtics can win here just with their talent. I am also aware of the look ahead angle for the C's, who will play the Lakers in a couple of days. I might lose this one easily, and if the C's were playing against a non-divisional team I would skip this one, but @ Charlotte, Celtics always play serious. I'm just going with the better team here.

Record: 6-1 (3-1 posted in the "rape" threads + 3-0 in the last 2 days in the points contest threads made by me, oklahoma 2 days ago @ jazz and celtics + knicks ML last night in a parlay)

[telespectatorul]

moving on here.

[telespectatorul]

Date: 08.02.2011
Game: Miami Heat - Indiana Pacers
Pick: under 198.5
Odds: 1.9
Confidence: 60%

Revenge game for Miami. After they got blown out in late November in AA Arena, 77-93, I really think they will show up and shut down the Pacers. Both teams are on a hot streak right now, with Miami having 6 in a row, and Pacers 4 in a row. With those 4 W's, Indiana is not in 8th place in East, over Charlotte Bobcats, and will have to play hard in order to remain there. This over/under line seems a little over inflated to me. I mean, after that loss, Miami I think will play good D (like they always do), and i really can't see Indiana scoring over 90-92. Just can't see it. And Miami will surely not try to win by 15+, they have to remain healthy for the 13th Feb game @ Boston. They wouldn't care less about this game. They have to win and that's it, they don't need to score 110, and Indiana will try and play good D also, because if Miami will take a confortable lead early, the game is over.


Record: 6-2

[telespectatorul]

Adding Rockets -8.5

[Zuriken]

very quiet here... No picks for tonight?

[telespectatorul]

i'm having a hard time recovering and finding a winner these days.

Not much time for analysis tonight:

Dallas Mavericks -5
Chicago Bulls +1
Detroit Pistons +1.5
Nets under 184.5