[bankjob]

Celtics last 7 ROAD closeout games in the playoffs.

Boston Celtics 100@ Atlanta Hawks 103
Boston Celtics 69@ Cleveland Cavaliers 74
Boston Celtics 89@ Detroit Pistons 81
Boston Celtics 127@ Chicago Bulls 128
Boston Celtics 75@ Orlando Magic 83
Boston Celtics 92@ Miami Heat 101
Boston Celtics 92@ Orlando Magic 113

The C's are 1-6 their last 7 in closeout situation on the road the past 3 years including this playoffs. I use the last 3 years because it's the same lineup they have had with the Big 4 (Rondo, Pierce, G-nett, and Allen).

What stands out to me is that the first 4 times in this situation they actually were pretty close, BUT the last 3 have been 8,9, and 21 points. Looks like 6.5 is right on the money here in Game 6, right on the money based on the law of averages.

It's safe to say this series goes to 7 games, guaranteed. However, calling the spread in this game is absolutely a risk based on past performance. This could easily be a >5 or <8 point game, which explains the spread we see here.

[tmorton]

Good to know... thanks for that! Love the Lakers even more now!