1. #1
    MaxEMillion
    MaxEMillion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-09
    Posts: 495
    Betpoints: 1866

    Somebody knows something.....Heat -1.5

    I am on the heat and the under as well. Lets take a look at it from an honest vegas perspective remove the teams and the players. The game started as a pick. 66% of the money has come in on Boston according to vegasinsider who I consider a fairly reliable source. Now that this money has come in Boston is +1.5???? If anything it should be the opposite, basically 66% is on Boston and vegas is trying to get that number up to around 75-80%.

    I have seen this two other cases so far this playoffs. The first was game 2 in the spurs series when the spurs came out and whacked the mavs(I missed it here somehow). The second was yesterday when the bucks shocked the world and smoked the hawks. The third is today and I am rolling with the heat.

    As one of my favorites, Lee Corso, always says "Somebody knows something................and I am with somebody"

    Heat -1.5

  2. #2
    pokerpro44
    Update your status
    pokerpro44's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-20-07
    Posts: 3,134
    Betpoints: 1014

    im all over the heat today.

  3. #3
    mehow
    mehow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 698
    Betpoints: 727

    it's called reverse line movement, and it's available for everyone at bettracker.

  4. #4
    jgiun1
    jgiun1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 2,559
    Betpoints: 54

    I would still take the ML to be safe..........a little more juice, but avoid the -1.5 for the home team.

  5. #5
    MaxEMillion
    MaxEMillion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-09
    Posts: 495
    Betpoints: 1866

    Reverse line movement I will have to add that to my vocabulary lol...............along with a new term I learned called fading the public!!! You combine them together and it creates a potion that kills any book.

  6. #6
    superjeff24
    superjeff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-17-10
    Posts: 1,078
    Betpoints: 66

    or you guys are getting tricked by odds designed to put squares on miami
    this will be a sweep. still cant believe miami's stupid coach didn't foul pierce.
    hey pierce want a free look at a buzzer beater? here ya go!

  7. #7
    illcrushem
    illcrushem's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-20-10
    Posts: 291
    Betpoints: 1837

    I'm gonna have to go with the celts...the miami d-wades are done

  8. #8
    MaxEMillion
    MaxEMillion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-09
    Posts: 495
    Betpoints: 1866

    I know that was unreal. In all honesty if the coaching were better for Miami this series could be 2-1 heat. Miami had a decent chance in game one but they insisted on forcing beasley rather than going to their hot bench players.

  9. #9
    wallyjones2009
    wallyjones2009's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-03-09
    Posts: 280

    Heat are going to win today, Boston take it at home.

  10. #10
    tanner40
    tanner40's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 2,129
    Betpoints: 8060

    At sbrodds it say they money is pretty much split (51% on Miami). Which site is normally more reliable?

  11. #11
    Otters27
    Otters27's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-14-07
    Posts: 30,688
    Betpoints: 410

    There is always potential for a team to give up at this point. Try to think of it from a players perspective.

  12. #12
    BigMama
    BigMama's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-10
    Posts: 439

    Good luck

  13. #13
    tanner40
    tanner40's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 2,129
    Betpoints: 8060

    Quote Originally Posted by Otters27 View Post
    There is always potential for a team to give up at this point. Try to think of it from a players perspective.
    That is they way I am leaning. I do not see this Miami team playing with much heart or trying to put up a fight.

    Under is the play for me, still deciding whether a side will be in play or not.

  14. #14
    cornhuskfan
    cornhuskfan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-22-10
    Posts: 163

    best of lock

  15. #15
    MaxEMillion
    MaxEMillion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-09
    Posts: 495
    Betpoints: 1866

    I am putting 2 units on heat and one on under.

  16. #16
    big joe 1212
    big joe 1212's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-01-08
    Posts: 19,376
    Betpoints: 5365

    Heat have shown nothing so far!

  17. #17
    jmiezie
    jmiezie's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-12-09
    Posts: 312
    Betpoints: 15466

    I just took Heat first quarter.. I think they come out strong today

  18. #18
    aman86
    aman86's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-29-09
    Posts: 3,115
    Betpoints: 150

    Quote Originally Posted by tanner40 View Post
    That is they way I am leaning. I do not see this Miami team playing with much heart or trying to put up a fight.

    Under is the play for me, still deciding whether a side will be in play or not.
    if that's the case wouldn't you like the over, they didn't play much D last game and this could be worse... anyway over and celts for me gl

  19. #19
    Mac4Lyfe
    Mac4Lyfe's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-04-09
    Posts: 46,517
    Betpoints: 11139

    I like the under as well. Both teams have shown problems scoring the ball. Boston's defense has looked much better of late.

  20. #20
    whatsgood5
    Let's fuckin' do it
    whatsgood5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-13-09
    Posts: 15,359

    On the Heat too, good luck fellas

  21. #21
    genius
    genius's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-03-10
    Posts: 549

    good write up max dont forget when cleveland was only -3 favorites in game 3 but i feel boston will in either close like last time or by 8

Top