Originally Posted by
KeyElement
Knicks +11
I suppose a guy (and one probably will) could make a case for the Big Bad Wolf over Little Red Riding Hood or Goliath over David, but I have managed to ignore that and will continue to do so. Unfortunately what we do is neither a fairy tale nor a biblical story and laying 11 points in the NBA is seldom a wise thing to do. Double digit favorites do not have Sterling records and the Trailblazers are not exempt, being just 2-4 ATS in that category. The bettor should also be aware both covers were versus Minnesota very early in the season when the Timberwolves were 1-5 with their only win at home over New Jersey and 13 days later when the Timberwolves were 1-12 on their way to a 1-15 start with the only win being over New Jersey, on their way to a 1-18 start. Neither of those teams is that bad anymore but the evidence is clear that the Trailblazers caught extremely weak competition the two and only times they covered double digits. They failed to cover double digits, at home, versus Detroit New Jersey, Memphis and Washington. Those are teams the Knicks can play with any day of the week. At this time I rate the Knicks with a better probability of covering a spread, any spread, than I do the Trailblazers and anything over my stated personal line of 4 is a gift. We would look good at +10 but some guy with too much disposable income has again given us a bonus point at +11.