[No coincidences]

Take it, run, and never look back. I know the Nuggets will be favored, but they're really struggling right now (obviously) and in their first game back from a road trip, they're going to be big-time fade material.

Grab the points with confidence, and sprinkle a little on the ML.

[beerman2619]

Great post couldn't agree more.

[PAULYPOKER]

I hate to use this but fukk it Denver sucks Portland ML is a

[frostno98]

I like my odds with Denver at home. They ain't 30-6 at home for no freaking reason. It will be Lawson 2nd game, and he'll be a huge contributor at home. Plus George Karl will be back. He's a huge upgrade, since Adrian Dantley has no idea when to call timeouts and stop the other team from gaining momentum.

[migz]

I;m afraid DEN might win this time and cover...

[syn^]

You'd be crazy to bet against the nuggets at home, but you would also be crazy for betting on denver right now period... im staying away from this one.

[No coincidences]

I like my odds with Denver at home. They ain't 30-6 at home for no freaking reason. It will be Lawson 2nd game, and he'll be a huge contributor at home. Plus George Karl will be back. He's a huge upgrade, since Adrian Dantley has no idea when to call timeouts and stop the other team from gaining momentum.

Karl will be back for sure?

[frostno98]

Karl will be back for sure?

Actually Denver Post just reported he won't be back no earlier than mid April. Hopefully the Nugz will be favored by 5 or less points. I still like how this teams and Jr Smith catches fire at home. That with then itself makes it dangerous to go against the Nugz at home for me.

[tavinator13]

Actually Denver Post just reported he won't be back no earlier than mid April. Hopefully the Nugz will be favored by 5 or less points. I still like how this teams and Jr Smith catches fire at home. That with then itself makes it dangerous to go against the Nugz at home for me.

Portland is 13-3 their last 16 games, just won two in a row B2B on the road, and this will be Denver's first home game after their road trip...trust me the line will be 5 or less.

[Goat Milk]

Billups vs. Andre Miller the Key matchup here. Denver will win this game. You have to love Aaron Affallo on Brandon Roy. He really should be 2nd or 3rd team all defense this year. Batum= no chance against Carmello.

[PAULYPOKER]

[t-wizzle]

Be careful on this play...

[letitburn]

good luck

[Broncos9798]

Two days rest and a small line(which we dont know yet). If the nuggets are -6 or or less im going huge on them(cause im in vegas)

[No coincidences]

Bump.

I'm taking both the road teams and the points Thursday.

Magic/Blazers for me.

[No coincidences]

My hope is that it's +5/5.5 by gametime.

[PAULYPOKER]

For jinx purposes this was only a joke in my previous post

[mundane]

portland ats 0 day rest = 14-3

[No coincidences]

portland ats 0 day rest = 14-3

Yep, saw that too.

Now my only hope is that the public pounds Denver. They've been struggling lately so some may be leery, but I'm still predicting squares will see that small number in Denver and be drooling all over it.

[PAULYPOKER]

Yep, saw that too. Now my only hope is that the public pounds Denver. They've been struggling lately so some may be leery, but I'm still predicting squares will see that small number in Denver and be drooling all over it.

Public is on Denver at 52% right now which isn't looking good for this cause the public always bets early by majority

[No coincidences]

Public is on Denver at 52% right now which isn't looking good for this cause the public always bets early by majority

Yeah, Portland's hot lately and Denver's ice-cold. Unfortunately, that will probably keep the public around 50-50. Good news, though: that means any significant line movement you see is pointing to the right play.

[PAULYPOKER]

However most of the $ tomorrow will be tied up in the NCAA B.Ball meaning NBA will be petty cash compared to this fact

[HotStreak]

Teams on the second leg of a back to back, coming into Denver do not fair well. Denver for me!

[No coincidences]

Teams on the second leg of a back to back, coming into Denver do not fair well. Denver for me!

New Orleans and Milwaukee are the last two that come to mind. Oh wait a minute -- the Hornets covered and the Bucks won SU.

[suicidekings]

Public is on Denver at 52% right now which isn't looking good for this cause the public always bets early by majority

What?

Public bets on overnight lines are meaningless. The bets that matter are the early ones, within a couple of hours of the line's release, and the late ones, in the last hour or so before tip-off. I expect this game to be balanced as DEN -4.5 is just about right for these teams under normal circumstances.

[PAULYPOKER]

What? Public bets on overnight lines are meaningless. The bets that matter are the early ones, within a couple of hours of the line's release, and the late ones, in the last hour or so before tip-off. I expect this game to be balanced as DEN -4.5 is just about right for these teams under normal circumstances.

No need to argue you believe what you believe and I do the same

[art_pogi]

hard play...denver is a strong team but playing like a crap lately...i will go to ptb lightly...

[lyon804]

What?

Public bets on overnight lines are meaningless. The bets that matter are the early ones, within a couple of hours of the line's release, and the late ones, in the last hour or so before tip-off. I expect this game to be balanced as DEN -4.5 is just about right for these teams under normal circumstances.

LOL!!! I was wandering the same damn thing and thinking the public doesn't even bet early lines. The real joe blow action comes in around 5-6pm EST. Right when joe gets off work Joe is sleeping right now and doesn't even know who is playing tommorow.

[mundane]

im joe.. and yes im about to hit the bed! goodnight!

[Jive]

Normally you fade teams on their first game back after a long road trip, of course. But this is a desperate game for Denver. They are looking at sliding all the way down to the 5th spot in the West, meaning no home court advantage in the first round and the Lakers waiting in the 2nd round if they get that far. This is no a typical first game back, IMO.

[PAULYPOKER]

Normally you fade teams on their first game back after a long road trip, of course. But this is a desperate game for Denver. They are looking at sliding all the way down to the 5th spot in the West, meaning no home court advantage in the first round and the Lakers waiting in the 2nd round if they get that far. This is no a typical first game back, IMO.

Nevermind I got side tracked time to go to bed

[tavinator13]

Normally you fade teams on their first game back after a long road trip, of course. But this is a desperate game for Denver. They are looking at sliding all the way down to the 5th spot in the West, meaning no home court advantage in the first round and the Lakers waiting in the 2nd round if they get that far. This is no a typical first game back, IMO.

Haven't we been saying dever is desperate for like the last however many games? IF they couldn't show up for Dallas who they're jockeying for playoff spots with then why would you believe they'd show up for this one with such desperation?

[Lakers714]

Haven't we been saying dever is desperate for like the last however many games? IF they couldn't show up for Dallas who they're jockeying for playoff spots with then why would you believe they'd show up for this one with such desperation?

Den is an entirely different team at home compared to on the road. I don't have a lean for the game yet but just some info that should be STRONGLY considered before choosing a side.

[tavinator13]

Den is an entirely different team at home compared to on the road. I don't have a lean for the game yet but just some info that should be STRONGLY considered before choosing a side.

true, but I thought this whole meltdown started at home. To be honest I think they are a different team with Kmart and Karl , and I think they will struggle until they get them back.

[Lakers714]

I agree den is not the same without KMart and Karl, but they might be getting a blazers team at the perfect spot tomorrow. The blazers will be on a B2B going into the altitude. I'm pretty sure Den will win, just don't know if they cover.