Mavs minus 4 @ GS. Dallas has lost 4 of the past ten and just lost on the road to Portland. Golden State a solid home team 16-21. Usually don't get upset at home and put up a good fight.

However, Dallas just has too much size for GS to handle. Tolliver at the PF against Dirk is going to get crushed. Dampier/Haywood down low against Hunter- rebounding mismatch (advantage dallas) Marion gaurding Maggette-

Dallas can go with a smaller lineup here throughout the game, which favors them greatly. With Terry, Butler, and Kidd all in the game, GS will have to pick their poison.

Why I think Dallas will win?
- Dirk will get back on track to his MVP ways (averaging 23 against GS for career)
- Dallas was embarrassed on TV few days ago
- Butler plays better on the road (28, 10 boards last game against GS--10 BOARDS)
- Fast paced game favors players like Kidd and Terry who love to get out in transition
- Terry 36 pts, 6 boards, 9 dimes last win over GS
- Dallas will win the rebounding game, easily
- Dallas will clog the paint with its bigger players, hard for Ellis and Curry to penetrate
if they do, Butler and Marion great perimeter defenders.
- Dallas can get exposed by tougher teams like Portland who don't mind roughing up Dirk and trapping Kidd and getting physical- GS is the furthest team from physical

Can Golden State win?
Ellis 25 points in last gm vs. Dallas. A bit over 20 for career against them.
Curry 16 pts average in 3 games vs Dallas this year- ONLY 1 3 pointer made per game
Maggette did not play in last games vs Dallas (I think), he's there second best scorer.
Golden State can win if they don't turn the ball over much and shoot 57 plus percent from the field.

Thoughts?