[lakerboy]

Interesting.

Mia is +270 to win game 7.

I guess some things have to come an end right?

Or not?

[Mackballs]

It's interesting.

Celtics will either become the first team to ever come back from 0-3 down, or they wont.

Fascinating stuff.

[lakerboy]

It's interesting.

Celtics will either become the first team to ever come back from 0-3 down, or they wont.

Fascinating stuff.

Truly is bro.

I'm guessing you have over?

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Interesting.

Mia is +270 to win game 7.

I guess some things have to come an end right?

Or not?

Laker, just one question: *Did anything change internally after the Celtics lost Gm3?

I found the post-game comments after Gm3 to be telling. Mazzulla sounded clueless. Horford is the one who took accountability, but he sounded hopeful.

The Heat shot perfectly in Gm3, which triggered the route. Like a lot of times in sports-betting, people over-reacted to the Gm3 result.

I would really like to know if the Celtic players rallied around Horford and tuned Mazzulla out. In the first three games, Mazzulla was getting torched by Spoelstra.

[stevenash]

Celtics are winning in spite of Mazz.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Celtics are winning in spite of Mazz.

That's what I think, nash.

At 3-0, Spoelstra was on the brink of STEALING a series with inferior personnel. Very interesting game 7. Maybe pressure is back on the Celtics...in a way that they get tight (??).

If you asked the veterans like Horford/Brown about Mazzulla in a private conversation, I think they realize that he's a weak-link. I really think they decided to tune him out.

[d2bets]

How many times has it gone to 3-3 from 0-3?

[lakerboy]

How many times has it gone to 3-3 from 0-3?

3 times I believe.

[gauchojake]

Heat free money.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Heat free money.

Wow. That's one hell of an opinion.

[stevenash]

I think game seven goes the way game six did.
C's win, Heat cover.

[pavyracer]

History means nothing. This event has the same probability to happen as previous events are not relevant. If books based the odds on the previous series then Miami would have been a big favorite on Game 7.

[lakerboy]

History means nothing. This event has the same probability to happen as previous events are not relevant. If books based the odds on the previous series then Miami would have been a big favorite on Game 7.

History means nothing? So you bet on every team down 3-0 150 times and won how many?

[pavyracer]

History means nothing? So you bet on every team down 3-0 150 times and won how many?

It does not mean anything mathematically. Take a statistics class. Odds are not set on history but on probabilities.

[lakerboy]

It does not mean anything mathematically. Take a statistics class. Odds are not set on history but on probabilities.

You telling me to take a class lol. Boston was+800 down 3-0. How often do +800 bets win?

The answer isn't 1 out of 8..

[gauchojake]

Wow. That's one hell of an opinion.

If people start agreeing with it I am going to get nervous lol

[goduke]

It does not mean anything mathematically. Take a statistics class. Odds are not set on history but on probabilities.

Ummm what?

What are probabilities based off of? Data
And where does data come from? History

That being said your statement that odds are set on probabilities is not fully true. Odds are also affected by public perception.

[mjsuax13]

History means nothing. This event has the same probability to happen as previous events are not relevant. If books based the odds on the previous series then Miami would have been a big favorite on Game 7.

What’s the play?

[goduke]

What’s the play?

There is no play in my opinion. Celtics have the momentum but they play such an undisciplined basketball game that they can lose momentum at any moment. They could kill it or not cover depending on how they wake up in the morning
As for the heat this is the nba where it is very very hard to win a game 7 on the road. So if you take a stab at Miami ml are you getting good enough odds for what is stacked against them? In my opinion no.
Then Miami spread…..if you are considering that as a big play I think it’s a sign of degeneracy.

You don’t have to bet every big game so in my opinion pre tip there’s nothing. Maybe live at best but for me I won’t play game 7 at all. There’s nothing there.

[mjsuax13]

There is no play in my opinion. Celtics have the momentum but they play such an undisciplined basketball game that they can lose momentum at any moment. They could kill it or not cover depending on how they wake up in the morning
As for the heat this is the nba where it is very very hard to win a game 7 on the road. So if you take a stab at Miami ml are you getting good enough odds for what is stacked against them? In my opinion no.
Then Miami spread…..if you are considering that as a big play I think it’s a sign of degeneracy.

You don’t have to bet every big game so in my opinion pre tip there’s nothing. Maybe live at best but for me I won’t play game 7 at all. There’s nothing there.

I don’t plan to bet this at all. All the opportunities in this series are long gone.

[hehfest]

History means nothing? So you bet on every team down 3-0 150 times and won how many?

But, but, but, Laker they are a 2 seed....and duh and duh.....they are at home against an 8 seed. So, I knew the other 150 times it wouldn't happen but this one I did (I'm being sarcastic throughout of course).

[Otters27]

Can the heat continue to count on martin and company to shoot a high perecentage and no turnovers. Because butler has to score 40+ or heat will have to hit 3s.

[OldBill]

if and thats a big if celtics win this then shame on heat for not finishing thier run

[homie1975]

it is the first in NBA history that team down 0-3 has forced a Game 7 at HOME

the celtics are the first team in NBA history to come back and host the Game 7.

they've already made history by forcing the Game 7 at home. any other time it happened, the Team down 0-3 forced a G7 on the ROAD.

more history tomorrow: CELTICS EASY

[homie1975]

How many times has it gone to 3-3 from 0-3?

very few, like 4 or 5 times i believe.

and every time, the G7 was hosted by the team who started the series 3-0, so the Lower Seeded team was the one who won 3 in a row to tie it 3-3, then had to play that G7 on the ROAD

boston flipped that script.

Boston will advance.

[hehfest]

Can the heat continue to count on martin and company to shoot a high perecentage and no turnovers. Because butler has to score 40+ or heat will have to hit 3s.

The only chance they really have is to play the best defense they have all series. Box-out, contest every shot, have Zeller take all 6 fouls in the 1st half if need be, etc. They won't win this game allowing Tatum, Brown, and Smart to drive to the bucket with no contest over and over again like they have in games 4-6. If Boston hits a few more 3's then so be it, but you can't keep getting beat to the basket like this.

[homie1975]

The only chance they really have is to play the best defense they have all series. Box-out, contest every shot, have Zeller take all 6 fouls in the 1st half if need be, etc. They won't win this game allowing Tatum, Brown, and Smart to drive to the bucket with no contest over and over again like they have in games 4-6. If Boston hits a few more 3's then so be it, but you can't keep getting beat to the basket like this.

celtics have been spacing them out with strong 3 point shooting the last 3 games and that has cleared the lane for the Isos where Tatum has been going to the hoop.

if Miami cheats with a second defender then Tatum will kick it out to Smart, White, Brown, pick your poison - they will hit at least 40% of their threes.

the Heat have no answers the last 3 games because the talent has taken over.

[Snowball]

I want to say one thing which is different about this.

3 times in NBA history has a team come back down 3 to force Game 7 and lost.

all 3 of them were played on the road.

so, this is a first.

[johnnyvegas13]

Way to steal my thread laker …

[lakerboy]

Way to steal my thread laker …

Post one ticket. Just one.

[pavyracer]

What’s the play?

I posted the play in another thread.

[19th Hole]

This is a wonderful situation for Mr. Silver and the mostly unwatchable NBA.

[d2bets]

You telling me to take a class lol. Boston was+800 down 3-0. How often do +800 bets win?

The answer isn't 1 out of 8..

Around 1 out of 12, depending on vig.

[mjsuax13]

I posted the play in another thread.

Shit man, I missed it. Thanks.

[d2bets]

very few, like 4 or 5 times i believe.

and every time, the G7 was hosted by the team who started the series 3-0, so the Lower Seeded team was the one who won 3 in a row to tie it 3-3, then had to play that G7 on the ROAD

boston flipped that script.

Boston will advance.

Good info. Also, out of the 150 0-3's, how many were more than -500 faves pre-series? Any? 0-3 is usually the far worse team.