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ConleyPicks 2022-23 NBA/NCAAB Selections
I am still going to be active on my NFL (will try to get more of those out) and NCAAF (most active now) threads but I will this year start up my thread for the 2022-23 season of NBA and NCAAB which the NBA kicks off tomorrow night and the NCAAB kicks off November 7th!
Good luck to everyone and I hope to bring you all winning plays here!
NBA 10/18
Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
100* Alt Total: Phi 76ers/Bos Celtics Under 220.5 -160
3 of my models are projecting totals of 207.89 195.77 and 212.39 so the UNDER play looks very solid!
Good luck everyone!
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People who nominated: hunt3rtheone
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I wanted to go with the UNDER as well, 220.5 looks very good here, the only thing is that it's the first match and I was afraid that they score will be higher but defo a very good pick here Conley... good luck!
ps: I went with Philadelphia +6,5
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People who nominated: ConleyPicks
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Thank you sir! Yea that was my only thought about this pick was "Do I sit out for the first night?" And I said no way let's get a play out of the way! Good luck with your selection tonight too!Originally Posted by hunt3rtheone
I added one more bet with the UNDER 221.5 points. we are not sitting this out, let's cash in... speak after the results, all the best
LET'S GO!!!
At 3-4 minutes left in the 4Q it was sitting at 219 for a while but then the points kept on coming to get 243 total points in the game 22 more points that we didn't need anyways let's shake this one off and look forward to winning our next game!NBA 10/18
Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
100* Alt Total: Phi 76ers/Bos Celtics Under 220.5 -160 LOSS-160
3 of my models are projecting totals of 207.89 195.77 and 212.39 so the UNDER play looks very solid!
Good luck everyone!
New record: 0-1-0 -160
NBA 10/21
Current Record: 0-1-0 -160
Lean Play- New Orleans/Charlotte Over 229
The 3 models all have the total pts in game being 243.93
*Leans are not official plays but they will be accounted for in a separate record*
The lean play ended up winning easily in the 4th quarter as both teams played well to get over the total of 229NBA 10/21
Current Record: 0-1-0 -160
Lean Play- New Orleans/Charlotte Over 229 WON+100
The 3 models all have the total pts in game being 243.93
*Leans are not official plays but they will be accounted for in a separate record*
Would have been nice to have that as a real official play but just didn't have enough data (for backing up model) to make it one
New Record: 0-1-0 -160
New Lean Record: 1-0-0 +100
NBA 10/25
Current Record: 0-1-0 -160
Current Lean Record: 1-0-0 +100
Lean Play- Dallas/New Orleans Over 220.5
The models have 3 projected totals of 227.25 239.48 and 234.58 so the Over looking pretty good!
Will try to have a graded play out sometime this week just don't feel like making this a wager rn
Waiting for your next pick Conley...
Great game last night between these 2 teams with scoring 224 points in the gameNBA 10/25
Current Record: 0-1-0 -160
Current Lean Record: 1-0-0 +100
Lean Play- Dallas/New Orleans Over 220.5 WON
The models have 3 projected totals of 227.25 239.48 and 234.58 so the Over looking pretty good!
Will try to have a graded play out sometime this week just don't feel like making this a wager rn
Another win on the Lean plays wish that went towards our record but a win is a win here!
New Record: 0-1-0 -160
New Lean Record: 2-0-0 +200
Thank you I will release a Official play sometime this week BE READY!
NBA 10/28
New Record: 0-1-0 -160
New Lean Record: 2-0-0 +200
100* Indiana/Washington Over 229 -110
1 model has 226.01 which is Under the total but the other 2 have 244.94 and 254.59
Favouring the Over in this game according to stats too so that boosts the confidence!
Good luck everyone!
One of our models got the exact projected pts in the game with 244! Yea!NBA 10/28
New Record: 0-1-0 -160
New Lean Record: 2-0-0 +200
100* Indiana/Washington Over 229 -110 WON
1 model has 226.01 which is Under the total but the other 2 have 244.94 and 254.59
Favouring the Over in this game according to stats too so that boosts the confidence!
Good luck everyone!
Finally getting a victory in the win column here and couldn't be more happier right now for the way these 2 teams played!
New Record: 1-1-0 -60
New Lean Record: 2-0-0 +200
nice one Conley!!!
Thanks hunt3rtheone! Yea great pick last night hope you were on it!
Hi everyone sorry for the inactivity on the Football/Basketball selections I have been working a lot and have not been able to put out selections on the forum but I do have some time today to post a selection for opening night for NCAAB! Good luck
NCAAB 11/7
Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
Current Lean Record: 0-0-0 +0
Lean Play- Memphis/Vanderbilt Under 140
The model says 136.32 go easy here (that is why I put it as a Lean Play) as these are last years stats
This one was very close to actually going under the number but they ended up scoring 143 points argh!Hi everyone sorry for the inactivity on the Football/Basketball selections I have been working a lot and have not been able to put out selections on the forum but I do have some time today to post a selection for opening night for NCAAB! Good luck
NCAAB 11/7
Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
Current Lean Record: 0-0-0 +0
Lean Play- Memphis/Vanderbilt Under 140 LOSS
The model says 136.32 go easy here (that is why I put it as a Lean Play) as these are last years stats
Close on but we will try again tonight with a play I like
Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
Current Lean Record: 0-1-0 -100
NCAAB 11/11
Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
Current Lean Record: 0-1-0 -100
Lean Play- West Virginia/Pittsburgh Under 139.5
The model says 137.08 which is just under the total I have above
Going to be doing a few more lean plays until there is enough info from this year to make accurate predictions (using last years stats so far)
Liked this play earlier in the week when the line was at 139 1/2 but now I see 134 in all books so good thing I got a good number early!
Good luck all!
GL this season! Can you believe Vandy is on a 15-3 Over streak. S Miss is also on a 11-2 Over streak so I played Over 135.5 tonight. I realize Pippen Jr is gone for Vandy and why does a streak matter that goes back to last year with all the transfers, etc. My thinking is they always set such low numbers for S Miss totals and they actually got in a bunch of transfers that can score a little bit this year. Wonder what your model says?
Thanks Fred! The model is saying 144 points in that game so yes the over is looking (hopefully) good here!
Best of luck man! Let's win our games tonight!!!
I feel dumb looking back at this play because I said I have a "better line" at 139 1/2 with a projected total of 137 (which was RIGHT ON btw) even though the total yesterday was 134 so it would have been better to actually say "Over 134" than the "Under 139 1/2"NCAAB 11/11
Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
Current Lean Record: 0-1-0 -100
Lean Play- West Virginia/Pittsburgh Under 139.5 WON
The model says 137.08 which is just under the total I have above
Going to be doing a few more lean plays until there is enough info from this year to make accurate predictions (using last years stats so far)
Liked this play earlier in the week when the line was at 139 1/2 but now I see 134 in all books so good thing I got a good number early!
Good luck all!
Regardless of what line or play I would have done or should have done then they both won so congrats to everyone!
Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
Current Lean Record: 1-1-0 +0
Sorry Freddy that one was a stinker only 108 total points in the game they didn't have the scoring pace that I thought they would be having
Next time my friend if you have a play that you like I can run it through my model and hopefully it can CA$H!
NCAAB 11/12
Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
Current Lean Record: 1-1-0 +0
Lean Play- Washington St/Boise St Under 135
The model says 129.50 which is way below the 135 total I have above
Looking to get 1 more win on the Leans before our 1st Official play starting after this play so be ready! Good luck all!
Ring up the register!!! Another CBB winner!!! Was sweating this out the entire 2nd half and got very close to the 135 but they stopped before that at 132 for a nice Under win!!! Congratulations if you were on this play and once again thanks to everyone who views my threads!!!NCAAB 11/12
Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
Current Lean Record: 1-1-0 +0
Lean Play- Washington St/Boise St Under 135 WON
The model says 129.50 which is way below the 135 total I have above
Looking to get 1 more win on the Leans before our 1st Official play starting after this play so be ready! Good luck all!
Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100
NBA 11/13
Current Record: 1-1-0 -60
Current Lean Record: 2-0-0 +200
Lean Play- Golden State/Sacramento Over 233
2 models say Overs 240.52/235.81 and 1 says Under 231.34 so if all 3 were on Over than it would be an Official Play but since all 3 don't agree I won't push the play and take it as a Lean Play Good luck all!
Hey now! We are on a roll here with another basketball winner last night cashing in on the Over 233 and the gaming going to 237 total points!NBA 11/13
Current Record: 1-1-0 -60
Current Lean Record: 2-0-0 +200
Lean Play- Golden State/Sacramento Over 233 WON
2 models say Overs 240.52/235.81 and 1 says Under 231.34 so if all 3 were on Over than it would be an Official Play but since all 3 don't agree I won't push the play and take it as a Lean Play Good luck all!
I will try my best to continue this streak and actually have a "real" play over a Lean Play but still who can deny the winners regardless?
Congrats to all who were on this play last night and thank you to everyone who views my threads!!!
Current Record: 1-1-0 -60
Current Lean Record: 3-0-0 +300
NCAAB 11/17
Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100
100* Boise St/Charlotte Over 131 (-125)
The model says 131.97 which is pretty well 1 point above the total
This is our first "Official Play" so we are hoping to get out on the right track here! Good luck all!
Well not how I wanted to start off officially for the NCAAB season the 1H was downright embarrassing 28-11 Charlotte at that time but they got it rolling in the 2H only to see 96 points in the gameNCAAB 11/17
Current Record: 0-0-0 +0
Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100
100* Boise St/Charlotte Over 131 (-125) LOSS
The model says 131.97 which is pretty well 1 point above the total
This is our first "Official Play" so we are hoping to get out on the right track here! Good luck all!Bad loss but I will take the loss and look forward to the next play!
New Record: 0-1-0 -125
Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100
NCAAB 11/22
Current Record: 0-1-0 -125
Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100
100* San Diego St/Arizona Under 166 (-135)
The model says 125.82 which is way Under the total and lots of good angels leaning towards the Under too so I feel good about this one!
Good luck to all and let's make this our 1st winner of the year in CBB!
Hey getting the 1st win of the season for my plays feels great this morning! 157 total points in the game which was well Under the totalNCAAB 11/22
Current Record: 0-1-0 -125
Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100
100* San Diego St/Arizona Under 166 (-135) WON
The model says 125.82 which is way Under the total and lots of good angels leaning towards the Under too so I feel good about this one!
Good luck to all and let's make this our 1st winner of the year in CBB!
Trying to get a few more plays this weekend but depending on work (not this work lol) schedule I will let everyone know what is up
New Record: 1-1-0 -25
Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100
NCAAB 11/27
Current Record: 1-1-0 -25
Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100
100* 3-Way Line: Gonzaga-7 (-110)
I will still be doing totals for NBA and NCAAB but would like to start playing other markets as well such as moneylines or spreads
Gonzaga looks strong in this effort and the model says 7.88 pts for the win here. Good luck to all!
This one was a weird one to watch as Gonzaga was up 40-34 at half (6 pt lead) but then in the 2nd quarter it was a back and forth game with Xavier scoring one minute then Zaga the next; They were actually up by 7 at one point but only managed to squeak out a win for only 4 pointsNCAAB 11/27
Current Record: 1-1-0 -25
Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100
100* 3-Way Line: Gonzaga-7 (-110) LOSS
I will still be doing totals for NBA and NCAAB but would like to start playing other markets as well such as moneylines or spreads
Gonzaga looks strong in this effort and the model says 7.88 pts for the win here. Good luck to all!
88-84
Bad loss but we will live for another play sometime this week
New Record: 1-2-0 -135
Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100
NCAAB 12/1/2022
New Record: 1-2-0 -135
Current Lean Record: 2-1-0 +100
Lean Play- Alt Point Spread: Creighton+8.5
Both these teams are very solid and will possibly have to come down to the wire to decide this one out
Don't think that Texas can cover today so I'll take the dog in this one but using Alt spread just in case! Good luck!
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