[jjgold]

Based on history, the Bucks and Mavericks will be going home on Sunday. Since the 2011 postseason (not including the bubble) home teams are 22-10 straight up in Game 7's, a staggering 68% hit rate. With that in mind, home teams are just 16-16 against the spread, as the series goes longer and the number becomes more defined, there's no edge betting the spread.

However, favorites of 5 or more (which the Celtics and Suns both are at WynnBET Sportsbook) are 14-10 against the spread, slightly above average and are 19-5 straight up.

There is definitely some evidence that the home teams benefit from their home court in a Game 7, but that number has been trending down lately

[Getch13]

Both totals in today’s Game 7s have been bet down…

209 —> 206 in Boston
207 —> 205 in Phoenix

Game 7 Unders: 61%
Game 7 Unders when total moves down: 66%

[Easy-Rider 66]

Both totals in today’s Game 7s have been bet down…

209 —> 206 in Boston
207 —> 205 in Phoenix

Game 7 Unders: 61%
Game 7 Unders when total moves down: 66%

solid info getch

[KVB]

Based on history, the Bucks and Mavericks will be going home on Sunday. Since the 2011 postseason (not including the bubble) home teams are 22-10 straight up in Game 7's, a staggering 68% hit rate...

This wasn't profitable to the bettor though.

While it hit at 68% the average line was about -238, which requires a 70.4% win rate just to break even.

Betting the same unit on all 32 home team moneylines cited in the original post did not yield a profit.

In fact, it's resulted in less than even units the last 4 years, depending on the moneyline the bettor was able to get.

The best year there would have been in 2015, where less than +2 units would have been won.

[Getch13]

If you like the dog Bucks here's a strong trend I posted earlier after game one: Game 1 has decided 95% of Celtics series the last 20+ years.

[jjgold]

Remember Boston should’ve won easy the last home game it was a fluke Milwaukee stole that game it won’t happen again

[KVB]

I'm on both UNDERS tonight, probably going 1-1 there.

[KVB]

Remember Boston should’ve won easy the last home game it was a fluke Milwaukee stole that game it won’t happen again

The result is in, period.

No excuses, no flukes, nothing. That's all noise.

[KiDBaZkiT]

I'm on both UNDERS tonight, probably going 1-1 there.

I see 2-0

[goduke]

Probably going to go celts and Mavs based on this

[goduke]

Remember when game 7s actually were games until the end? Now this years playoffs these games all seem to be over at halftime.
Celts second half is -1.5 which means the rest of the game is just going to be these two teams dancing around that number with no real chance for the bucks to win.
Nice throw job on the first quarter by the celts though. Man this is WWE at its finest in this big game

[209 Life]

Too many fouls. Whistle for everything

[KiDBaZkiT]

Too many fouls. Whistle for everything

The FLOPSton Celtics. Smart tries to create a whistle on every play he’s involved in offense or defense. Was a good game until this third quarter.

[lakerboy]

NBA is a joke league.

[jjgold]

Pound Suns next ML

easy cash

[goduke]

NBA is a joke league.

I shut the game off at halftime. Only way to show this stupid league that people dont appreciate their rigged games.

[jjgold]

Duke pound Phoenix

[goduke]

Suns looking good. Paul is a born loser

[goduke]

The Suns performance today might be the worse showing ever in a Game 7 in the history of the nba. If I was the fans I would have walked out

[lakerboy]

The Suns performance today might be the worse showing ever in a Game 7 in the history of the nba. If I was the fans I would have walked out

Despicable man. Imagine paying for this?

[Mac4Lyfe]

The Suns performance today might be the worse showing ever in a Game 7 in the history of the nba. If I was the fans I would have walked out

They finally scored 40 points with 5 minutes to go in the 3rd quarter. 5 minutes to go in the 3rd quarter. My AAU team put up 40 points in our first 8 minutes of the game today.

[JIBBBY]

Suns with the most embarrassing loss in a game 7 at home in NBA history. Feel bad for the Suns fans that paid to see this garbage. Lol..

I would have left at half time to avoid traffic if I went to this game.

Good for the Mavs!!

[goduke]

Despicable man. Imagine paying for this?

I was thinking that. These athletes are always bitching that the fans are mean to them but in this situation I think it would be ok. If I went to work and delivered a performance like this someone would be chewing me out

[KVB]

As far as a home team loss in a game 7 I had to go back to 2005 to find one more than 19 points. Indiana beat Boston 97-70 for 27 points.

There have been bigger game 7 blowouts, but it's the home team winning.

In 1948 the Philadelphia Warriors beat the St. Louis Bombers in St Louis by 39 points, 85-46, in a game 7.

Otherwise this could the biggest game 7 home loss, so I guess it's number 2 all time.