Vegas telling us to take ATL on Monday

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Vegas telling us to take ATL on Monday
    Bucks were favored by 1 at home in Game 3, they won going away, and now they're 1.5 point dogs for Game 4.



    I'm also going to be on Charlotte at +4. Look for them to pull a Miami and avoid the sweep. I have a slight lean toward Phoenix -6 at the moment as well.

  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #2
    Miami still scares me because of their perennial road struggles in the playoffs. If you're taking Charlotte, go ML. They'll either win SU or lose by at least 5 points.
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Originally posted by Wilforth
      Miami still scares me because of their perennial road struggles in the playoffs. If you're taking Charlotte, go ML. They'll either win SU or lose by at least 5 points.
      I just don't think the Bobcats will continue to shoot as poorly as they have been in this series.

      I don't see a Larry Brown-coached team crawling into a corner and going quietly while being swept away at home. I think they at least get 1.
      Comment
      • goduke
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-17-10
        • 11580

        #4
        i absolutely agree with you I think charlotte wins su, atl wins, phx wins but portland covers +6. The last two days I've been 3-1 with my picks, the lakers cost me saturday and nuggets today. I didnt post but I'm hoping that since theres only 3 picks ill go undefeated
        Comment
        • Weaz
          SBR Sharp
          • 01-24-10
          • 391

          #5
          Ill be on the Bucks. The Bradley center was rockin last game and the hawks are a horrible road team. no reason why the bucks shouldnt win this game
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by Weaz
            Ill be on the Bucks. The Bradley center was rockin last game and the hawks are a horrible road team. no reason why the bucks shouldnt win this game
            So why are they 1.5 point 'dogs after being 1 point faves and routing ATL on Saturday?

            Makes no sense.
            Comment
            • lyon804
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 11-02-09
              • 6526

              #7
              Originally posted by No coincidences
              I just don't think the Bobcats will continue to shoot as poorly as they have been in this series.

              I don't see a Larry Brown-coached team crawling into a corner and going quietly while being swept away at home. I think they at least get 1.

              I usually would think the same about a Larry Brown coached team but I think the prisoners run the institution there. Did you notice when they were down on 2 pts with in 3 minutes and Howard was fouled out they started jacking up 3's.

              If there was ever a time to get mad and show some heart that was then. No Howard at the cup and 22% jump shooters heaving up shit. I really have no clue but If I was them i would have been forcing the issue with Howard out of the game. IF I was a player somebody would have to have stopped me.


              They may not go quietly but there opportunity to pull out a W was golden Saturday. That game was up for grabs. They were at home, Howard was gone, Jordan is in the front roll and 22% jump shooter are heaving up shit.


              Pass for me.

              Like Wilforth said..only value here is Charlotte ML imo. They most likely have to win this game to cover here although 4 pts is some cushion but I am not interested because Bobcats are useless...Larry Brown are not.
              Comment
              • initialX
                SBR Hustler
                • 04-22-10
                • 76

                #8
                I like Bucks and Cats too.
                Comment
                • Weaz
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-24-10
                  • 391

                  #9
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  So why are they 1.5 point 'dogs after being 1 point faves and routing ATL on Saturday?

                  Makes no sense.
                  Look i dunno but the Bucks have played well against the hawks all year even without bogut. I think the Bucks feed off of there home crowd kind of like the thunder do. If the Bradley Center is rockin like it was on saturday the bucks tie up this series. Thats my oppinion and thats where my money is goin.
                  Comment
                  • Zubi
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 12-26-09
                    • 357

                    #10
                    Miami never does anything right!
                    Comment
                    • Crnjak
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-11-09
                      • 588

                      #11
                      bucks for me!
                      Comment
                      • PAULYPOKER
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-06-08
                        • 36581

                        #12
                        You heard it from me first boys, MIAMI is going to win the Bauston series
                        Comment
                        • Cuse0323
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-09-09
                          • 30169

                          #13
                          Both these games scream stay away. Hopefully I will, but I really like the Bucks and Orlando.
                          Comment
                          • SparJMU
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-18-10
                            • 1648

                            #14
                            Nocoincidences, you are smart to notice the line difference between game 3 and 4, but you are looking at it the wrong way. In general, when a favored opponent opens up a 2-0 lead (CLE, LA, ORL etc) the home team in game 3 will open as a favorite by a few points or a much lesser underdog. Even after that home team wins game 3, no matter what Vegas will lower that line to favor the away team. It happens in every series as the fans are more likely to back the away team to adjust after their recent loss.

                            Game 3 CLE -3.5 Chicago wins. Game 4 CLE -5 moved to -6
                            Game 3 OKC -2. OKC wins. Game 4 OKC -2 moves to -1.
                            Game 3 ATL -1. MIL wins. Game 4 ATL -1.5

                            In each case, despite losing game 3, Vegas makes the away team a heavier favorite in game 3. It's just the way things work.
                            Comment
                            • sweethook
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-21-07
                              • 12667

                              #15
                              i see that a lot
                              Comment
                              • shari91
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-23-10
                                • 32661

                                #16
                                ORL and MIL for me.

                                Best of luck today NoC!!
                                Last edited by shari91; 04-26-10, 08:03 AM.
                                Comment
                                • Diesel79
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-27-08
                                  • 1001

                                  #17
                                  Milwaukee ..... last game Atlanta was playing like it was preseason game or something
                                  Comment
                                  • poker_dummy101
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-03-08
                                    • 6395

                                    #18
                                    im on hawks
                                    Comment
                                    • xxxvince
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-17-07
                                      • 2567

                                      #19
                                      bucks and under
                                      Comment
                                      • napalmrain
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 02-13-09
                                        • 183

                                        #20
                                        Bucks win tonight
                                        Comment
                                        • quick$
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 03-15-10
                                          • 281

                                          #21
                                          Goodpoint WilForth. I am kinda feeling no sweep will occur in the first round of this playoff.
                                          Makes sense to go ML on Charlotte then. But just on the fence since Orl just dominates them.
                                          Being a pretty good square bettor that I am, my first thought of Orl will blow charl and sweep
                                          them today.....so I will do reverse psych on my own thoughts and take Charl....of course I still
                                          have 8hrs to change my mind.....GL this week.
                                          Comment
                                          • FireMedic1614
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-05-10
                                            • 1255

                                            #22
                                            orlando 1q and 1h
                                            Comment
                                            • jaymac82980
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-08-09
                                              • 3416

                                              #23
                                              Hawks and Magic tonight with ease.

                                              The Bobcats are done. I thought it was hilarious when they showed the look on larry browns face when orlando was warming up and joking around. and his quote about them taking the 'cats so serious that they took off practice the day before. haha. Howard has barely played in this series due to foul trouble and the Magic are still winning. Game over tonight.

                                              Atlanta may not be the best road team, but they destroyed the bucks a couple weeks ago in Milwaukee - so they are capable of the road win there. The Buck stops here. <--lame attempt at a pun I know.
                                              Comment
                                              • Weaz
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 01-24-10
                                                • 391

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by jaymac82980
                                                Hawks and Magic tonight with ease.

                                                The Bobcats are done. I thought it was hilarious when they showed the look on larry browns face when orlando was warming up and joking around. and his quote about them taking the 'cats so serious that they took off practice the day before. haha. Howard has barely played in this series due to foul trouble and the Magic are still winning. Game over tonight.

                                                Atlanta may not be the best road team, but they destroyed the bucks a couple weeks ago in Milwaukee - so they are capable of the road win there. The Buck stops here. <--lame attempt at a pun I know.
                                                They did not destory the bucks. I believe that was milwaukees last home game and they knew they would be playing each other in the playoffs. dont quote me on that one. But i dont think alot of the starters got alot of minutes for either team so i wouldnt go off of that game
                                                Comment
                                                • iceminers26
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-13-08
                                                  • 15600

                                                  #25
                                                  good luck tonight NC, some interesting lines tonight
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #26
                                                    Adding Phoenix 1st half -4, Phoenix TT 103.5 and PHO/POR over 204.5 to this card.

                                                    Also, ORL/CHA over 184.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pokerpro44
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-20-07
                                                      • 3138

                                                      #27
                                                      im all over the bucks.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Kinder
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 04-19-10
                                                        • 88

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by pokerpro44
                                                        im all over the bucks.
                                                        ? why? I don't get why people are so strong on MIL, they played one good game, ATL layed an egg, what are the odds they play horriblely two games in a row.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • sjm5122
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-22-08
                                                          • 4213

                                                          #29
                                                          I took atlanta and charlotte tonight, also took the under in the suns/blazers game, seems like everyone is on the over in that one
                                                          Comment
                                                          • rvfrank
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 03-30-10
                                                            • 227

                                                            #30
                                                            the line is low to invite the favored team money they know they are going to lose thats why the lines are low, this will be another big time blowout by mil
                                                            Comment
                                                            • dmiles1021
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-10-07
                                                              • 1412

                                                              #31
                                                              yeah idk about this game line seems too fishy for me ill have to pass
                                                              Comment
                                                              • spider1usa
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 04-22-10
                                                                • 17

                                                                #32
                                                                hope atl takes this game serious i went with them
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ikamoku
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 03-24-10
                                                                  • 263

                                                                  #33
                                                                  im with vegas then!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RiverRaid
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-19-07
                                                                    • 2279

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Bucks at home.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Weaz
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 01-24-10
                                                                      • 391

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Kinder
                                                                      ? why? I don't get why people are so strong on MIL, they played one good game, ATL layed an egg, what are the odds they play horriblely two games in a row.
                                                                      Actually 62% of the public bets are on atlanta so not everyone is on the bucks. I like them because there at home and because of Brandon Jennings. This guy feasts off of the home crowd. He has the Bucks on his back right now. If he comes to play like i think he will Bucks get a w and send it back to atl 2-2
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...