1. 04-16-19 05:33 PM #1
    eaglesfan371
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    Danshan or another analytic lover, help finding this stat on possible correlation?

    Saw a parlay on Nitrogen while in chat last night. Guy had Clippers ATS + over total.

    From watching a lot of NBA, I have this theory that the 4Q generally does not have a ton of points when fav is up a ton. However playoffs could very well be different. Would like to see analytics on this.

    I am interested in knowing if there is a correlation between dog ATS + over and/or favorite ATS + under.

    How often does the over/under hit when the fav covers? Dog covers?

    NBA playoffs past 5-20 years (however long possible).

    Thank you for this.
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  2. 04-16-19 05:37 PM #2
    Louisvillekid1
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    Are you talking playoffs , if so

    Not my area

    but would think you’d wanna have 2 separate #’s

    one for elimination games

    I can pretty much promise there will be a different finding
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  3. 04-16-19 05:39 PM #3
    eaglesfan371
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    Are you talking playoffs , if so

    Not my area

    but would think you’d wanna have 2 separate #’s

    one for elimination games

    I can pretty much promise there will be a different finding
    Good note. I also would be interested in knowing how often over/under hits for elimination games. Would imagine the public would hammer overs for such games.
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  4. 04-16-19 09:35 PM #4
    eaglesfan371
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    Bump.

    The exact scenario happened tonight. Raptors, the fav, covered and was up a ton, leading to a low scoring 4Q. Fav + under...there are a few books that allow these parlays which is why I ask...
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  5. 04-16-19 09:42 PM #5
    rm18
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    Everyone allows this parlay, a few books will give better odds like 2.8+
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  6. 04-16-19 10:14 PM #6
    danshan11
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    FW
    SU: 20443-0 (12.00, 100.0%)
    ATS: 14502-5365-576 (5.22, 73.0%) avg line: -6.8
    O/U: 10025-10026-392 (0.37, 50.0%) avg total: 197.8


    DW
    SU: 8755-0 (8.57, 100.0%)
    ATS: 8755-0-0 (13.33, 100.0%) avg line: 4.8
    O/U: 4246-4336-173 (0.43, 49.5%) avg total: 197.2
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  7. 04-16-19 10:15 PM #7
    danshan11
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    DW and series game = 7
    SU: 13-0 (9.85, 100.0%)
    ATS: 13-0-0 (13.77, 100.0%) avg line: 3.9
    O/U: 5-8-0 (-2.58, 38.5%) avg total: 189.8
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  8. 04-16-19 10:16 PM #8
    danshan11
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    FW and series game = 7
    SU: 37-0 (14.49, 100.0%)
    ATS: 30-7-0 (7.99, 81.1%) avg line: -6.5
    O/U: 16-21-0 (-2.68, 43.2%) avg total: 191.5
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    eaglesfan371 gave danshan11 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  9. 04-16-19 10:17 PM #9
    eaglesfan371
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    Thank you for that. Surprising on the total result but good to know that there is no trend.
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