1. 04-28-19 11:44 AM #36
    LT Profits
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    1 NBA Play Sunday

    SUNDAY, 4/28
    Bucks -8 -105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 175-154-6, +14.85

    Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
    Playoffs: 13-10, +2.53
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  2. 04-28-19 02:31 PM #37
    44 Mag
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    I had Bucks TT. They looked terrible. A.G. was horrid. All that time off??? Did them no good.
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  3. 05-06-19 05:10 PM #38
    LT Profits
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    1 NBA Play Monday

    MONDAY, 5/6
    Warriors +102 ML (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 175-155-6, +13.80

    Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
    Playoffs: 13-11, +1.48
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  4. 05-08-19 09:30 AM #39
    LT Profits
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    1 NBA Play Wednesday

    WEDNESDAY, 5/8
    Rockets / Warriors UNDER 219.5 -105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 175-156-6, +12.80

    Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
    Playoffs: 13-12, +0.48
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  5. 05-15-19 09:43 AM #40
    LT Profits
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    1 NBA Play Wednesday

    WEDNESDAY, 5/15
    Bucks -6.5 -103 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 176-156-6, +13.80

    Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
    Playoffs: 14-12, +1.48
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  6. 05-16-19 11:55 AM #41
    LT Profits
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    NBA Side & Total Thursday

    THURSDAY, 5/16
    Blazers +7 -105 (Heritage)
    Blazers / Warriors OVER 219 -103 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 177-156-6, +14.80

    Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
    Playoffs: 15-12, +2.48
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  7. 05-16-19 12:02 PM #42
    funnyb25
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    Great work!
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  8. 05-16-19 11:05 PM #43
    Mike Huntertz
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    Double!
    Beauty!
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  9. 05-17-19 05:03 PM #44
    LT Profits
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    1 NBA Play Friday

    FRIDAY, 5/17
    Raptors +6.5 -103 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 179-156-6, +16.80

    Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
    Playoffs: 17-12, +4.48
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  10. 05-19-19 10:09 AM #45
    LT Profits
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    1 NBA Play Sunday

    SUNDAY, 5/19
    Bucks +2.5 -105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 179-157-6, +15.77

    Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
    Playoffs: 17-13, +3.45
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  11. 05-19-19 10:15 AM #46
    blackHIPPY
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    Bucks first hal only lt
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  12. 05-19-19 10:34 AM #47
    jjgold
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    Strong season
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  13. 05-19-19 10:52 AM #48
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by blackHIPPY View Post
    Bucks first hal only lt
    More likely Raptors first half, they fall into that great home team down 0-2 First Half angle. But I think better talent will prevail in second half, identical situation to Blazers/Warriors last night.
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  14. 05-19-19 10:58 AM #49
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    More likely Raptors first half, they fall into that great home team down 0-2 First Half angle. But I think better talent will prevail in second half, identical situation to Blazers/Warriors last night.
    Speaking of which, most books have -2 full game and -2.5 first half!

    To the surprise of nobody, books have smartened up to the angle.
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  15. 05-30-19 10:14 AM #50
    LT Profits
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    1 NBA Play Thursday

    THURSDAY, 5/30
    Raptors -1 -105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 179-158-6, +14.72

    Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
    Playoffs: 17-14, +2.40
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  16. 06-02-19 10:31 AM #51
    LT Profits
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    NBA Side & Total Sunday

    SUNDAY, 6/2
    Raptors -2 -105 (Heritage)
    Warriors / Raptors UNDER 213,5 -105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 180-158-6, +15.72

    Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
    Playoffs: 18-14, +3.40
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  17. 06-02-19 10:58 AM #52
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    SUNDAY, 6/2
    Raptors -2 -105 (Heritage)
    Warriors / Raptors UNDER 213,5 -105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 180-158-6, +15.72

    Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
    Playoffs: 18-14, +3.40
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  18. 06-02-19 02:17 PM #53
    stackz125
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    What spread do you have?
    Thanks
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  19. 06-02-19 02:54 PM #54
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    Quote Originally Posted by stackz125 View Post
    What spread do you have?
    Thanks
    Raps -3.92 with Cousins not starting, I get that there is a chance that he might start, but I am still assuming limited minutes which would make him close to bench player.
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  20. 06-05-19 10:28 AM #55
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    NBA Triple Play Wednesday

    WEDNESDAY, 6/5
    Raptors +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Raptors +2 +100 (First Half) (5 Dimes)
    Raptors +1.5 -105 (First Quarter) (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 181-159-6, +15.67

    Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
    Playoffs: 19-15, +3.35
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  21. 06-05-19 03:18 PM #56
    stackz125
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    Raps come out firing huh? Lol
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  22. 06-05-19 04:01 PM #57
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    WEDNESDAY, 6/5
    Raptors +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Raptors +2 +100 (First Half) (5 Dimes)
    Raptors +1.5 -105 (First Quarter) (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 181-159-6, +15.67

    Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
    Playoffs: 19-15, +3.35
    Okay now I'm confused. Before game 1 you took Tor and said you wouldn't be surprised if they won game 1 and lost next 4. Since then all you have done is bet on them game 2 and now all these plays in this game. Please explain without talk about the model sir.
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  23. 06-05-19 04:48 PM #58
    stackz125
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Okay now I'm confused. Before game 1 you took Tor and said you wouldn't be surprised if they won game 1 and lost next 4. Since then all you have done is bet on them game 2 and now all these plays in this game. Please explain without talk about the model sir.
    Warriors banged up
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  24. 06-05-19 05:32 PM #59
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Okay now I'm confused. Before game 1 you took Tor and said you wouldn't be surprised if they won game 1 and lost next 4. Since then all you have done is bet on them game 2 and now all these plays in this game. Please explain without talk about the model sir.
    Yeah, basically I thought model would adjust with Cousins and Durant coming back. Model did adjust but only by about 1.2 points with Cousins starting and playing normal minutes, and Durant may now be done. So with only 1.2 point adjustment since Game 1, I end up with Warriors just -2.96 here, and that assumes normal Cousins which we may not see.
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  25. 06-05-19 05:33 PM #60
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    NBA 4-Play Wednesday

    Raptors +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Raptors +2 +100 (First Half) (5 Dimes)
    Raptors +1.5 -105 (First Quarter) (5 Dimes)
    Raptors / Warriors UNDER 213.5 -102 (5 Dimes)
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  26. 06-05-19 05:42 PM #61
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Raptors +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Raptors +2 +100 (First Half) (5 Dimes)
    Raptors +1.5 -105 (First Quarter) (5 Dimes)
    Raptors / Warriors UNDER 213.5 -102 (5 Dimes)
    Would you have been interested in Toronto even if clay was healthy?? Just curious. Gl buddy
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  27. 06-05-19 06:49 PM #62
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Would you have been interested in Toronto even if clay was healthy?? Just curious. Gl buddy
    Yes since I have him in and model assumes full health.
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  28. 06-05-19 07:11 PM #63
    hubie69
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    Great #'s there LT, you got it before the market popped!!

    No value left in either to take a shot on the under or Raps for me. Good Luck tonight!
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  29. 06-05-19 07:54 PM #64
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    Quote Originally Posted by hubie69 View Post
    Great #'s there LT, you got it before the market popped!!

    No value left in either to take a shot on the under or Raps for me. Good Luck tonight!
    Klay is OUT, so yes that helps my CLV across the board, even the total.
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  30. 06-05-19 07:56 PM #65
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Yes since I have him in and model assumes full health.
    If he plays but he is 75% and scores 30 points what does the model say.
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  31. 06-05-19 07:57 PM #66
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    If he plays but he is 75% and scores 30 points what does the model say.
    He is out.
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  32. 06-05-19 08:00 PM #67
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    He is out.
    I know he is out. I wanted to know if your model has input for players that are not fully healthy but play and have good games. It's not always play or not play. Sometimes they play but not 100%.
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  33. 06-05-19 08:06 PM #68
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I know he is out. I wanted to know if your model has input for players that are not fully healthy but play and have good games. It's not always play or not play. Sometimes they play but not 100%.
    Ah I got ya. No, as I have said several times, model always assumes full health, i.e., full stats. Any adjustment would be subjective. I prefer it that way, can't get too tricky because model is working well and I don't want to tinker with anything right now.
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  34. 06-07-19 10:45 AM #69
    LT Profits
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    2 NBA Plays Friday

    FRIDAY, 6/7
    Raptors +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Raptors / Warriors UNDER 215.5 -105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 184-160-6, +17.65

    Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
    Playoffs: 22-16, +5.33
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  35. 06-13-19 10:01 AM #70
    LT Profits
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    1 NBA Play Thursday

    THURSDAY, 6/13
    Raptors +3 -110 (Bookmaker)


    YTD: 186-160-6, +19.65

    Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
    Playoffs: 24-16, +7.33
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