1. 02-25-10 10:51 PM #1
    HoulihansTX
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    Who else is betting GSW 2ndH tonite??

    Some idiot made a thread calling the Denver ATS cover 3 minutes into the game. Denver has a big lead, which they are sure to shit away. GSW has covered their last two 2ndH's when in this same situation.


    I'm just waiting for Halftime.

    Denver is a 70% play today, but all the reverse jinxes, and idiot mushers have sure screwed that up. *(sigh)*

    As I type the announcer says" Denver hasnt swept GSW since the '00-'01 season. Fuk me
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  2. 02-25-10 10:51 PM #2
    shoebox
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    check
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  3. 02-25-10 11:00 PM #3
    HoulihansTX
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    Denver is favored in the 2ndH, but they are already covering the game. Sure Fire trap.


    I'l wait for all the clowns to bet Denver, then I grab the value on the back end.
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  4. 02-25-10 11:01 PM #4
    camel
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    I'm contemplating to be a clown.
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  5. 02-25-10 11:02 PM #5
    bringdownthehous
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    haha me too..have had a pretty good night..cashed bucks and cavs...I have the nuggets and feel pretty confident in em to finish them off
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  6. 02-25-10 11:04 PM #6
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    Denver is favored in the 2ndH, but they are already covering the game. Sure Fire trap.


    I'l wait for all the clowns to bet Denver, then I grab the value on the back end.
    I don't know. I'm on GS, but not liking the way this game looks for the home squad.

    This is turning into a square's sort of night.
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  7. 02-25-10 11:04 PM #7
    HoulihansTX
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    I have Denver for the game, but they just are not into this game.
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  8. 02-25-10 11:05 PM #8
    rumple
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    Cant stomach GS, horrible squad.
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  9. 02-25-10 11:05 PM #9
    dannynoo
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    I put small bets on GS for 3rd quarter and the 2nd half.



    edit: the line changed to +1 as I did
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  10. 02-25-10 11:06 PM #10
    makemerich
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    i saw gsw at half and mayb under.
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  11. 02-25-10 11:06 PM #11
    BranGor
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    You could tell the Thuggets weren't even trying during the end of the second on the defensive end, there is no way they play like that in the second half. In addition Melo has been pretty passive so far, I see him being much more aggressive and getting to the line more often.

    DEN -1.5 is the play.
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  12. 02-25-10 11:06 PM #12
    camel
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    DONE. Let's go Nuggs 2nd half!
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  13. 02-25-10 11:08 PM #13
    shoebox
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    If you guys are taking Denver -1.5 you are taking -11 for the game for a 6 point spread, no value their guys, your just gambling at this point not capping..
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  14. 02-25-10 11:08 PM #14
    HenPrivilege
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    I'm on GSW solely because of that idiots thread. I took the Nuggets for the game but I'm hoping to middle.

    I think GSW +1.5 2H will work.
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  15. 02-25-10 11:09 PM #15
    HoulihansTX
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    Quote Originally Posted by shoebox View Post
    If you guys are taking Denver -1.5 you are taking -11 for the game for a 6 point spread, no value their guys, your just gambling at this point not capping..
    Thank you
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  16. 02-25-10 11:11 PM #16
    QUEST001
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    Dam this is a tuff one lean with dever this is a gamble shit!!!
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  17. 02-25-10 11:12 PM #17
    TheBet
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    GSW is a joke, drop a unit on the Nugs!
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  18. 02-25-10 11:14 PM #18
    QUEST001
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    ill put .75 unit on nug dam it!!
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  19. 02-25-10 11:15 PM #19
    Rbyrne
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    warriors SUCK!!!
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  20. 02-25-10 11:16 PM #20
    shoebox
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    Quote Originally Posted by shoebox View Post
    If you guys are taking Denver -1.5 you are taking -11 for the game for a 6 point spread, no value their guys, your just gambling at this point not capping..
    Adding to this Denver has not covered an 11 point spread in Oracle in over 5 years
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  21. 02-25-10 11:23 PM #21
    blackbox
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    took the over for second half-good Denver team-G. ST. will hustle to the end at home.
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  22. 02-26-10 12:29 AM #22
    BranGor
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    Sorry to disappoint, but the Warriors are fade material only.
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  23. 02-26-10 12:32 AM #23
    HoulihansTX
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    Quote Originally Posted by BranGor View Post
    Sorry to disappoint, but the Warriors are fade material only.
    I suck I know.
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  24. 02-26-10 12:47 AM #24
    NBAStats
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    Quote Originally Posted by shoebox View Post
    If you guys are taking Denver -1.5 you are taking -11 for the game for a 6 point spread, no value their guys, your just gambling at this point not capping..

    I see this posted over and over again by various posters, and I still can't make any sense of it. Trying to gauge value in a halftime bet in relation to what it compares to the original line makes no sense at all. If it was just as easy as comparing the sum of the current difference and the halftime spread to the original line then we would all be millionaires betting on sports.

    For example let's pretend the total of a game was 200. The teams scored 125 in the first half and the second half total was put out at 98. It just makes no sense to say "ZOMG if you bet the second half over you are betting over 223 for the game. Who in their right mind would bet over 223 for this game"

    A second half bet is just that, it's a second half bet. Trying to derive value from comparing it to the original line is just common gambler's fallacy.
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    nolaswede gave NBAStats 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  25. 02-26-10 12:51 AM #25
    tealish
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    Quote Originally Posted by NBAStats View Post
    I see this posted over and over again by various posters, and I still can't make any sense of it. Trying to gauge value in a halftime bet in relation to what it compares to the original line makes no sense at all. If it was just as easy as comparing the sum of the current difference and the halftime spread to the original line then we would all be millionaires betting on sports.

    For example let's pretend the total of a game was 200. The teams scored 125 in the first half and the second half total was put out at 98. It just makes no sense to say "ZOMG if you bet the second half over you are betting over 223 for the game. Who in their right mind would bet over 223 for this game"

    A second half bet is just that, it's a second half bet. Trying to derive value from comparing it to the original line is just common gambler's fallacy.
    ^Truth. In 0% disagreement with you, buddy.
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