[keel44]

With the NBA betting being all about spot plays along with over/under valued teams, I feel that chasing is the way to go to capture some of these advantages.

You must chase wisely. I figure it like this. If you straight bet at 3.3% per play, which is not crazy by any means, your total chase loss should equal the amount would you have bet those game straight up. That means a 3 game chase loser should equal 9.9% of your total bank. You are therefore chasing to profit only 1.198% of your total bank.

Here are the total risk to win amounts I will be using based on -110 odds

2 game chase = 3.41 to 1
3 game chase = 8.26 to 1
4 game chase = 18.45 to 1

I'll start with $1000 and make the appropriate reads and we shall see what happens.

[keel44]

11/16

Chase #1 - Play on Knicks as double digit road dogs. 3 game chase. 9.9% of total bank risked

A: Knicks +11 @ Pelicans ($13.18 to win $11.98)



Chase #2 - Play on the Bulls next three. 3 game chase. 9.9% of total bank risked

A: Bulls +14.5 @ Bucks ($13.18 to win $11.98)



Chase #3 - Fade Kings next 3 three. 3 game chase. 9.9% total bank risked

A: Grizzlies -6.5 vs Kings ($13.18 to win $11.98)

[keel44]

11/16

Chase #1 - Play on Knicks as double digit road dogs. 3 game chase. 9.9% of total bank risked

A: Knicks

+11 @ Pelicans ($13.18 to win $11.98)



Chase #2 - Play on the Bulls next three. 3 game chase. 9.9% of total bank risked

A: Bulls

+14.5 @ Bucks ($13.18 to win $11.98)



Chase #3 - Fade Kings next 3 three. 3 game chase. 9.9% total bank risked

A: Grizzlies

-6.5 vs Kings ($13.18 to win $11.98)


1 chase pending.....I will recalculate the bankroll once all the chases conclude.

[keel44]

11/17

Chase #2 - Play on the Bulls next three. 3 game chase. 9.9% of total bank risked

B: Bulls +8 vs Raptors ($27.68 to win $25.16)