1. #1
    TGoat
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    Never Bet on a Road Fav after They've Won as a SU Road Dog

    This bromide was mentioned in one of the Wash/Den theads from yesterday.

    Never Bet on a Road Fav after They've Won as a SU Road Dog.

    For the past 15 years this has gone:

    234-209-11 (52.82%) +3.94U

    If you add B2B games to the equation you get:

    74-67-3 (52.48%) +.34U

    Versus the spread it had 8 winning years and 7 losing years.
    Attached Images  

  2. #2
    doublec
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    So, essentially statistically insignificant. Would this be because of excellent linemakers, or just that it doesn't really matter? It seems to me that a large percentage of these winning "trends" are going to be picked up on by the pros (as in the linemakers, not the gamblers.)

    On a side note, TGoat, let's keep the vocabulary to a level to where, say, anybody within two positive standard deviations of the IQ mean can comprehend. Maybe I'm just stupid, but I can't ever remember needing a dictionary to cruise the forums before. Bromide...

  3. #3
    hhsilver
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    bromide ---- wow --- that alone almost makes the post nomination worthy

  4. #4
    xxxvince
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    dumb stats

  5. #5
    whatsgood5
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    Quote Originally Posted by xxxvince View Post
    dumb stats
    Agreed. No offense goat, but I find them meaningless.

  6. #6
    doublec
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    I think that's his point exactly. Winning SU as a road dog has essentially no effect on your ability to cover as a road favorite the next game.

  7. #7
    texhooper
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    yes i believe the title of the post is the bromide itself, not a command from tgoat.

    but i still don't know what a bromide is, just using context clues here.

  8. #8
    ericc
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    that's some fancy figurin'

  9. #9
    SportNut
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    Lol

  10. #10
    HoulihansTX
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    3. a platitude or trite saying.

    Had to hit up Google in order to read the rest of the thread.

  11. #11
    BernardMadoff
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    No offense but why would you put up a stat thats almost break even.

  12. #12
    HoulihansTX
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    In other words TGoat is explaining that the lack of Statistical significance makes the statement....

    Never Bet on a Road Fav after They've Won as a SU Road Dog.

    A gamblers fallacy.

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