1. #1
    allnighter
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    NBA 2017-2018 Total Points Over/Under

    Now that the teams have a few games under the belt, it's time to bet ! (hopefully I won't go bust by mid-season)Only Over/Under Total points, pre-match, straight-bets, flat stake: 1u is 1% of bankroll.Wil try to post each game-day but wih NBA you have to be slave of the game so I might miss some games.For today:Charlotte Hornets - Houston Rockets - Under 211.5 @1.9New York Knicks - Brooklyn Nets - Under 220.5 @1.92

  2. #2
    bjb7223
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    you using a formula?

  3. #3
    allnighter
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    It's not really a formula.
    I look at recent PACE and total points scored in the last games

  4. #4
    allnighter
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    W 2
    L 0
    P 0
    Units 1.82
    Hitrate 100.0%

  5. #5
    allnighter
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    For today:

    New Orleans Pelicans - Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 217.5 @1.89
    Chicago Bulls - Oklahoma City Thunder - Over 204.5 @1.96
    Memphis Grizzlies - Houston Rockets - Under 205.5 @1.87

    Miami Heat Boston Celtics - Under 206.5 @1.87
    Utah Jazz - Los Angeles Lakers - Under 202.5 @1.87

    Los Angeles Clippers - Detroit Pistons - Under 206.5@1.95

  6. #6
    allnighter
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    New Orleans Pelicans - Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 217.5 @1.89
    Chicago Bulls - Oklahoma City Thunder - Over 204.5 @1.96

    Memphis Grizzlies - Houston Rockets - Under 205.5 @1.87

    Miami Heat Boston Celtics - Under 206.5 @1.87
    Utah Jazz - Los Angeles Lakers - Under 202.5 @1.87

    Los Angeles Clippers - Detroit Pistons - Under 206.5@1.95

    W 6L 2P 0Units Won 3.38Hitrate 75.0%

  7. #7
    allnighter
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    For today:

    Atlanta Hawks - Milwaukee Bucks - Under 201.5 @ 1.93

    Charlotte Hornets - Orlando Magic - Under 209.5 @ 1.92

    Cleveland Cavaliers - New York Knicks - Over 209.5 @ 1.95

    Golden State Warriors - Detroit Pistons - Under 222.5 @ 1.93

  8. #8
    allnighter
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    Atlanta Hawks - Milwaukee Bucks - Under 201.5 @ 1.93

    Charlotte Hornets - Orlando Magic - Under 209.5 @ 1.92

    Cleveland Cavaliers - New York Knicks - Over 209.5 @ 1.95


    Golden State Warriors - Detroit Pistons - Under 222.5 @ 1.93



    W 7
    L 5
    P 0
    Units Won 1.31

    Hitrate 58.3%

  9. #9
    allnighter
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    For today:

    Miami Heat - Minnesota Timberwolves - Over 215.5 @1.88

    New York Knicks - Denver Nuggets - Under 208.5 @1.96

    New Orleans Pelicans - Orlando Magic - Under 225.5 @1.94

    Utah Jazz - Dallas Mavericks - Over 191.5 @1.87

    Portland Trail Blazers - Toronto Raptors - Under 214.5 @1.95

    Los Angeles Clippers - Golden State Warriors - Under 220.5 @1.96

  10. #10
    allnighter
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    Miami Heat - Minnesota Timberwolves - Over 215.5 @1.88

    New York Knicks - Denver Nuggets - Under 208.5 @1.96

    New Orleans Pelicans - Orlando Magic - Under 225.5 @1.94

    Utah Jazz - Dallas Mavericks - Over 191.5 @1.87

    Portland Trail Blazers - Toronto Raptors - Under 214.5 @1.95


    Los Angeles Clippers - Golden State Warriors - Under 220.5 @1.96

    W 11L 7P 0Units Won 2.95Hitrate 61.1%

  11. #11
    allnighter
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    For today:

    Los Angeles Lakers - Detroit Pistons - Under 207.5 @1.96

  12. #12
    allnighter
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    Los Angeles Lakers - Detroit Pistons - Under 207.5 @1.96

    W 12
    L 7
    P 0
    Units Won 3.91
    Hitrate 63.2%

  13. #13
    gopolks
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    nice win/ loss ratio!!

  14. #14
    allnighter
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    thanks ! I'm sure this will go down as we go deep in the season. But hey, one can only hope
    Quote Originally Posted by gopolks View Post
    nice win/ loss ratio!!

  15. #15
    allnighter
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    For today:

    Philadelphia 76ers - Atlanta Hawks - Over 209.5 @1.87

    Boston Celtics - Sacramento Kings - Under 199.5 @1.87

    Miami Heat - Chicago Bulls - - Under 200.5 @1.91

    New Orleans Pelicans - Minnesota Timberwolves - Under 223.5 @1.94

    New York Knicks - Houston Rockets - Under 212.5 @1.96

    Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks - Over 204.5 @1.94

  16. #16
    allnighter
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    Philadelphia 76ers - Atlanta Hawks - Over 209.5 @1.87
    Boston Celtics - Sacramento Kings - Under 199.5 @1.87
    Miami Heat - Chicago Bulls - - Under 200.5 @1.91
    New Orleans Pelicans - Minnesota Timberwolves - Under 223.5 @1.94
    New York Knicks - Houston Rockets - Under 212.5 @1.96
    Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks - Over 204.5 @1.94
    W 17
    L 8
    P 0
    Units Won 7.44
    Hitrate 68.0%

  17. #17
    allnighter
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    No plays for today

  18. #18
    allnighter
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    For today:

    Philadelphia 76ers - Indiana Pacers - Under 219.5 @1.87
    Washington Wizards - Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 222.5 @1.9
    New York Knicks - Phoenix Suns - Over 220.5 @1.89
    Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Pelicans - Over 210.5 @1.91
    San Antonio Spurs - Charlotte Hornets - Over 198.5 @1.96
    Oklahoma City Thunder - Boston Celtics - under 204.5 @1.95
    Orlando Magic - Chicago Bulls - under 204.5 @1.91

  19. #19
    allnighter
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    Philadelphia 76ers - Indiana Pacers - Under 219.5 @1.87
    Washington Wizards - Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 222.5 @1.9
    New York Knicks - Phoenix Suns - Over 220.5 @1.89
    Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Pelicans - Over 210.5 @1.91
    San Antonio Spurs - Charlotte Hornets - Over 198.5 @1.96
    Oklahoma City Thunder - Boston Celtics - under 204.5 @1.95
    Orlando Magic - Chicago Bulls - under 204.5 @1.91
    W 21
    L 11
    P 0
    Units Won 8.15
    Hitrate 65.6%

  20. #20
    allnighter
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    For today:

    Detroit Pistons - Sacramento Kings - Over 195.5 @1.96
    Denver Nuggets - Golden State Warriors - Under 227.5 @1.97
    Points Awarded:

    J.M. Disciple gave allnighter 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  21. #21
    allnighter
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    Detroit Pistons - Sacramento Kings - Over 195.5 @1.96
    Denver Nuggets - Golden State Warriors - Under 227.5 @1.97

    W 22
    L 12
    P 0
    Units Won 8.11
    Hitrate 64.7%

  22. #22
    allnighter
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    For today:

    Cleveland Cavaliers - Atlanta Hawks - Over 219.5 @1.94
    Orlando Magic - Boston Celtics - Under 207.5 @1.96
    Houston Rockets - Utah Jazz - Over 203.5 @1.96
    Portland Trail Blazers - Oklahoma City Thunder - Under 209.5 @1.91
    Points Awarded:

    J.M. Disciple gave allnighter 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  23. #23
    allnighter
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    Cleveland Cavaliers - Atlanta Hawks - Over 219.5 @1.94
    Orlando Magic - Boston Celtics - Under 207.5 @1.96
    Houston Rockets - Utah Jazz - Over 203.5 @1.96
    Portland Trail Blazers - Oklahoma City Thunder - Under 209.5 @1.91
    W 26
    L 12
    P 0
    Units Won 11.88
    Hitrate 68.4%

  24. #24
    allnighter
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    For today:

    Atlanta Hawks - Boston Celtics - Over 204.5 @1.91
    Points Awarded:

    J.M. Disciple gave allnighter 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  25. #25
    J.M. Disciple
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    Thanks for posting. Only been following for a few days but hopefully season stays 60%+

  26. #26
    allnighter
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    I'm not that optimistic. I expect somewhere around the 55 - 54 mark
    Quote Originally Posted by J.M. Disciple View Post
    Thanks for posting. Only been following for a few days but hopefully season stays 60%+

  27. #27
    allnighter
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    Atlanta Hawks - Boston Celtics - Over 204.5 @1.91

    W 27
    L 12
    P 0
    Units Won 12.79
    Hitrate 69.2%

  28. #28
    allnighter
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    For today:

    Cleveland Cavaliers - Milwaukee Bucks - Over 219.5 @1.91
    Washington Wizards - Dallas Mavericks - Over 213.5 @1.91
    New York Knicks - Charlotte Hornets - Over 210.5 @1.95
    Toronto Raptors - Chicago Bulls - Under 202.5 @1.91
    Points Awarded:

    J.M. Disciple gave allnighter 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  29. #29
    J.M. Disciple
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    Do you use your system (formula) for other sports or only for NBA?

    What factors are you looking at for averages? Last 3, 5, 10 games? Guessing you have a cushion for your totals combined vs spread Vegas gives. Please share more details if you can.

  30. #30
    allnighter
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    Only NBA. I donít really use a formula. But you are correct Ė one of my major factors is the last 3 games total points averages. Then I look at the PACE of the teams and based on these two factors, I make my pick. I donít use a point limit / cushion anymore compared to Vegas lines because, my experience is that if I limit my number of plays then I donít spread the risk enough and Iíll end-up having a nice win % with a relatively mediocre ROI BUT open to risk. Therefore I bet on every game I think I have edge on (can even be 0.5 points) and rely on the large sample size of bets andÖobviously LUCK 
    Quote Originally Posted by J.M. Disciple View Post
    Do you use your system (formula) for other sports or only for NBA?

    What factors are you looking at for averages? Last 3, 5, 10 games? Guessing you have a cushion for your totals combined vs spread Vegas gives. Please share more details if you can.
    Last edited by allnighter; 11-08-17 at 09:41 AM.

  31. #31
    allnighter
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    Cleveland Cavaliers - Milwaukee Bucks - Over 219.5 @1.91
    Washington Wizards - Dallas Mavericks - Over 213.5 @1.91
    New York Knicks - Charlotte Hornets - Over 210.5 @1.95
    Toronto Raptors - Chicago Bulls - Under 202.5 @1.91
    W 29
    L 14
    P 0
    Units Won 12.65
    Hitrate 67.4%

  32. #32
    allnighter
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    I have no plays for today

  33. #33
    awon23
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    Good stuff though allnighter

  34. #34
    allnighter
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    Quote Originally Posted by awon23 View Post


    Good stuff though allnighter
    thanks man

  35. #35
    allnighter
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    For today

    Toronto Raptors - New Orleans Pelicans - Under 214.5 @1.91
    Sacramento Kings - Philadelphia 76ers - Over 206.5 @1.96
    Denver Nuggets - Oklahoma City Thunder - Under 213.5 @1.93

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