Dallas doesn't have a solid win in a while so they will be extra hungry to do it against a good opponent they know they can beat (they won December 27th). Denver just beat LA, so they are still basking in their glory. Beating LA is incredibly overrated when Denver does it. Denver thinks of themselves as the 2 seed behind LA, and LA has nothing to prove.
If Denver underrates Dallas, and Dallas gets off to a good start, then Denver won't be able to come back against a team that has a tall shooter. They didn't see a guy like this in LA, so they will not be prepared. Even if Denver wakes up and comes back, they will not win by 7.
Remember, these two teams are about equal. Denver might be a little better, but not 7 points better. That's about the same spread as Toronto over Philadelphia, and Phoenix over Portland.
I know Dallas is in a slump, but slumps are not magical and they do not transcend talent and strategy. New Orleans was in a slump and they won the super bowl. Slumps are simple acts of chance.
The injury report favors Dallas as well.
I don't have time to elaborate anymore. I put all my SBR points on other games until I saw how good this one was.
If you disagree with me, please make a wager with me and respond to this post. Give me the betpoints and I will give you Denver -7 for +110. You can give me Dallas +7 for even odds. For this to count, you have to GIVE ME THE betpoints VISIBLY IN THIS POST.