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JerseyShop101 NBA Plays (S/F System)
I've been tracking this across the way with poster STLfan. Basically its taking the Statfox power ratings and comparing it to the spread.
Its been doing very well for the 6 days I've been tracking it.
Here's the stats:
Thru 6 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
NBA 26-15 63% / 16-9 64%
Favs 12-7 63% / 6-5 55%
Dogs 14-8 64% / 10-4 71%
Wrong team favored category is 3-0, with all 3 dogs winning outright!
DAY7
Monday's games, EDGE in BOLD:
Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
New Orleans Hornets 97
Orlando Magic -9.5 103 3.5
San Antonio Spurs +3.5 98 3.5
Los Angeles Lakers 105
Dallas Mavericks -4.5 95 3.5
Golden State Warriors 94
Thru 6 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
NBA 26-15 63% / 16-9 64%
Favs 12-7 63% / 6-5 55%
Dogs 14-8 64% / 10-4 71%
Lets cash tonight!
Went 1-2 on Monday.
Updated stats:
Thru 7 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
NBA 27-17 61% / 17-11 61%
Favs 13-8 62% / 7-6 54%
Dogs 14-9 61% / 10-5 67%
DAY 8
Tuesdays games, Picks in BLUE
Team/Power Rating/Line-Off Difference
New Jersey Nets +16 84 7
Cleveland Cavaliers 107
Washington Wizards 90
Charlotte Bobcats -8.5 98 0.5
Minnesota Timberwolves 92
Philadelphia 76ers -7 98 1
Chicago Bulls 95
Indiana Pacers -2 96 1
Houston Rockets 96
Miami Heat -5 100 1
Sacramento Kings +5.5 91 0.5
New York Knicks 97
Atlanta Hawks -1 97 1
Memphis Grizzlies 97
Detroit Pistons +8 86 8
Milwaukee Bucks 102
Dallas Mavericks +7 96 1
Denver Nuggets 104
Oklahoma City Thunder -1.5 101 0.5
Portland Trail Blazers 100
Utah 104
Los Angeles Clippers +5 92 7
Last edited by JerseyShop101; 02-09-10 at 03:17 PM. Reason: Made mistake on Indiana power rating.
DAY 8 Results:
7-4
Tuesdays games, Picks in BLUE
Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
New Jersey Nets +16 84 7 WINNER
Cleveland Cavaliers 107
Washington Wizards 90
Charlotte Bobcats -8.5 98 0.5 LOST
Minnesota Timberwolves 92
Philadelphia 76ers -7 98 1 WINNER
Chicago Bulls 95
Indiana Pacers -2 96 1 LOST
Houston Rockets 96
Miami Heat -5 100 1 WINNER
Sacramento Kings +5.5 91 0.5 WINNER
New York Knicks 97
Atlanta Hawks -1 97 1 WINNER
Memphis Grizzlies 97
Detroit Pistons +8 86 8 WINNER
Milwaukee Bucks 102
Dallas Mavericks +7 96 1 LOST
Denver Nuggets 104
Oklahoma City Thunder -1.5 101 0.5 WINNER
Portland Trail Blazers 100
Utah 104
Los Angeles Clippers +5 92 7 LOST
Another good NBA day! 7-4
Thru 8 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
NBA 34-21 62% / 19-12 61%
Favs 17-10 63% / 7-6 54%
Dogs 17-11 61% / 12-6 67%
DAY 9:
2/10 Wednesday games, Picks in BLUE
Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
Miami Heat 99
Atlanta Hawks -7 101 5
Philadelphia 76ers 96
Toronto Raptors -6 97 5
Milwaukee Bucks 97
New Jersey Nets +5 88 4
***Sacramento Kings +4.5 92 5.5
Detroit Pistons 91
Orlando Magic -4.5 100 3.5
Chicago Bulls 99
Boston Celtics 96
***New Orleans Hornets +4.5 100 8.5
Charlotte Bobcats 97
Minnesota Timberwolves +2 94 1
Los Angeles Lakers 102
Utah Jazz -5 107 0
Portland Trail Blazers 96
Phoenix Suns -9 102 3
Los Angeles Clippers 89
***Golden State Warriors +1.5 93 5.5
***Wrong team favored games
DAY 9 Results:
6-3
2/10 Wednesday games, Picks in BLUE
Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
Miami Heat 99
Atlanta Hawks -7 101 5 LOST
Philadelphia 76ers 96
Toronto Raptors -6 97 5 WINNER
Milwaukee Bucks 97
New Jersey Nets +5 88 4 LOST
***Sacramento Kings +4.5 92 5.5 WINNER OUTRIGHT 103-97
Detroit Pistons 91
Orlando Magic -4.5 100 3.5 WINNER
Chicago Bulls 99
Boston Celtics 96
***New Orleans Hornets +4.5 100 8.5 WINNER OUTRIGHT 93-85
Charlotte Bobcats 97
Minnesota Timberwolves +2 94 1 WINNER
Los Angeles Lakers 102
Utah -5 107 0
Portland Trail Blazers 96
Phoenix Suns -9 102 3 LOST
Los Angeles Clippers 89
***Golden State Warriors +1.5 93 5.5 WINNER OUTRIGHT 132-102
***Wrong team favored games
Just cruising along, and hope it continues! 6-3 on Wednesday night! In the 9 days of doing this, we have had only 1 truly bad day of picking more losers than winners (we went 1-2 on 8Feb) and 2 days of losing juice!
Thru 9 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
NBA 40-24 63% / 24-15 62%
Favs 19-12 61% / 9-8 53%
Dogs 21-12 64% / 15-7 68%
Wrong Team Favored Plays: 6-0 100% (All 6 won outright)
DAY 10
2/11 Thursday games, Picks in BLUE
Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
Orlando 102
Cleveland -6 106 2
San Antonio +5.5 98 2.5
Denver 106
Lets make some money!
interesting stuff thanks!!
1 down, 1 to go!Originally Posted by christyh7
And the Wins continue! 2-0 night!
Thru 10 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
NBA 42-24 64% / 26-15 63%
Favs 20-12 63% / 10-8 56%
Dogs 22-12 65% / 16-7 69%
Wrong Team Favored Plays: 6-0 100% (All 6 won outright)
Next NBA games are Tuesday, 16 Feb.
jersey what up.....havnt seen you in the college section in a minute....glad to see your doing good over here
Hi 2dabank!jersey what up.....havnt seen you in the college section in a minute....glad to see your doing good over here
Got caught up doing this basically Anti-Statfox System, and thankfully its working, at least for now
Wish we didn't have the break right now.
I hope all has been going good for you.
Just saw this and see you've been doing good so far, gl the rest of the season jersey
This is an Anti-Statfox system, with the exception of taking the dog when the dog has a higher Statfox rating (which I call our WTF- Wrong Team Favored plays). We look for differences in the spread of 2 or more. The whole basis is to question "Why does Pinnacle/Bookmaker have a line OFF by 2 or more points than what Statfox has? More times than not, the Bookmakers are correct and Statfox is wrong. These can be used as a foundation to your plays.
DAY 11
Tuesday, 2/16
PLAYS IN BLUE and RED
Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
New Jersey Nets +11 84 5
Charlotte Bobcats 100
***Miami Heat +2 101 5
Philadelphia 76ers 98
Minnesota Timberwolves 91
Detroit Pistons -5.5 91 5.5
Dallas Mavericks +4.5 94 6.5
Oklahoma City Thunder 105
Phoenix Suns PK 98 2
Memphis Grizzlies 96
New York Knicks 93
Chicago Bulls -6.5 97 3.5
Utah 102
Houston Rockets +3 97 2
Los Angeles Clippers +7 87 6
Portland Trail Blazers 100
Boston Celtics -5.5 96 4.5
Sacramento Kings 95
Golden State Warriors 92
Los Angeles Lakers -13 107 2
***Wrong team favored play
Phoenix was almost a WTF play but the line moved against it (MEM opened up at -1, but now its a pick).
Thru 10 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
NBA 42-24 64% / 26-15 63%
Favs 20-12 63% / 10-8 56%
Dogs 22-12 65% / 16-7 69%
Wrong Team Favored Plays: 6-0 100% (All 6 won outright)
Good luck tonight!
Last edited by JerseyShop101; 02-16-10 at 05:04 PM.
Miami kicking azz! WTF dog plays going for 7-0 straight up!
Woohoo!
6-4 on Tuesday night.
Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays now at unreal 7-0. Phoenix could of been considered a WTF play when they were +1 in overnight, morning and afternoon, but the line had moved to a pick.
Updated Stats Thru 11 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
NBA 48-28 63% / 32-19 63%
Favs 22-13 63% / 12-9 57%
Dogs 26-15 63% / 20-10 67%
Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 7-0 100% (All 7 won outright)
(4 Feb) Portland +2 against San Antonio (Port won 96-93)
(5 Feb) Milwaukee +2 against New York (Milw won 114-107)
(7 Feb) Orlando +2.5 against Boston (Orl won 96-89)
(10Feb) Sacramento +4.5 against Detroit (Sac won 103-97)
(10Feb) New Orleans +4.5 against Boston (NO won 93-85)
(10Feb) Golden State +1.5 against LA Clippers (GS won 132-102)
(16Feb) Miami Heat +2 against Philadelphia (Miami won 105-78)
Not bad last night Jersey, tailed you on 3 games all winnersGl today bro.
Thank yo!
Hoping it continues, especially with our 7-0 record on the line for the WTF "Wrong Team Favored" plays.
It could of been 8-0 but Phoenix moved from +1 to a pick.
DAY 12
Wednesday 2/17
PLAYS IN BLUE and RED
Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
Memphis Grizzlies 92
Toronto Raptors -7 98 1
Minnesota Timberwolves 89
Washington Wizards -5 94 0
San Antonio Spurs -5 100 0
Indiana Pacers 95
Detroit Pistons +11 90 4
Orlando Magic 105
***Chicago Bulls +2.5 96 4.5
New York Knicks 94
Miami Heat 103
New Jersey Nets +7 89 7
Houston Rockets +5.5 94 1.5
Milwaukee Bucks 101
Utah Jazz -4 102 2
New Orleans Hornets 100
***Phoenix Suns +4 99 6
Dallas Mavericks 97
Sacramento Kings 92
Golden State Warriors -4.5 95 1.5
Atlanta Hawks 96
Los Angeles Clippers +6 89 1
Updated Stats Thru 11 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
NBA 48-28 63% / 32-19 63%
Favs 22-13 63% / 12-9 57%
Dogs 26-15 63% / 20-10 67%
***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 7-0 100% (All 7 won outright)
Good luck tonight!
Good luck shop hoping to see you MLB
5-4 not bad still a plus
5-4 on Wednesday night.
Updated Stats Thru 12 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
NBA 53-32 62% / 35-21 63%
Favs 24-14 63% / 13-9 59%
Dogs 29-18 62% / 22-12 65%
***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 8-1 89% (The 8 wins won outright)
Thursday games:
Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
Denver 101
Cleveland -6.5 106 1.5
Boston +3 96 8
LA Lakers 107
1-1 on Thursday night.
Boston was the win, which was the Dog and also was the only Diff Off 2&Up play. (The two categories which have a better win %)
Updated Stats Thru 13 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
NBA 54-33 62% / 36-21 63%
Favs 24-15 62% / 13-9 59%
Dogs 30-18 63% / 23-12 66%
***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 8-1 89% (The 8 wins won outright)
Jerz i need you help got crushed in cbsk now im sticking with nba i hope this crushes so i can win some money back
We've all been there, thats for sure. CBB got me this year also. I hope you can make a nice bounce back through this weekend.
Thanks Pac and everyone!
DAY 14
Friday 2/19:
PLAYS IN BLUE and RED
Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
DEN NUGGETS 102
WAS WIZARDS +6 94 2
CLE CAVALIERS -4.5 102 0.5
CHA BOBCATS 98
SA SPURS 100
PHI 76`ERS +3 96 1
MIL BUCKS 95
DET PISTONS +1 92 2
DAL MAVERICKS +7 95 4
ORL MAGIC 106
IND PACERS +4.5 92 3.5
NO HORNETS 100
CHI BULLS 96
MIN T`WOLVES +1 92 3
TOR RAPTORS 94
NJ NETS +2.5 90 1.5
***MIA HEAT +6.5 102 12.5
MEM GRIZZLIES 96
ATL HAWKS 97
PHO SUNS -4 101 0
UTAH -5 102 0
GS WARRIORS 97
BOS CELTICS +3 97 1
POR TRAIL BLAZERS 101
Be careful with Miami tonight (even though its a wrong team favored situation) because Wade is out and this is also the biggest amount of pts we have seen for this situation.
Good luck tonight!
Updated Stats Thru 13 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
NBA 54-33 62% / 36-21 63%
Favs 24-15 62% / 13-9 59%
Dogs 30-18 63% / 23-12 66%
***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 8-1 89% (The 8 wins won outright)
5-5 for Friday, but WTF play winning continues!
Updated Stats Thru 14 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
NBA 59-38 61% / 39-24 62%
Favs 24-16 60% / 13-9 59%
Dogs 35-22 61% / 26-15 63%
***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 9-1 90% (The 9 wins have all won outright)
(4 Feb) Portland +2 against San Antonio (Port won outright 96-93)
(5 Feb) Milwaukee +2 against New York (Milw won outright 114-107)
(7 Feb) Orlando +2.5 against Boston (Orl won outright 96-89)
(10Feb) Sacramento +4.5 against Detroit (Sac won outright 103-97)
(10Feb) New Orleans +4.5 against Boston (NO won outright 93-85)
(10Feb) Golden State +1.5 against LA Clippers (GS won outright 132-102)
(16Feb) Miami Heat +2 against Philadelphia (Miami won outright 105-78)
(17Feb) Chicago +2.5 against New York (Chicago won outright 115-109)
(17Feb) Phoenix +4 against Dallas (Phoenix LOST 97-107)
(19Feb) Miami +6.5 against Memphis (Miami won outright 87-84)
DAY 15
Saturday, 2/19
PLAYS IN BLUE and RED
Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
WAS WIZARDS 93
TOR RAPTORS -6.5 98 1.5
OKL THUNDER 102
NY KNICKS +5 94 3
PHI 76`ERS +4.5 94 0.5
CHI BULLS 99
***MIA HEAT +10.5 103 13.5
DAL MAVERICKS 100
IND PACERS +7.5 92 0.5
HOU ROCKETS 100
CHA BOBCATS 97
MIL BUCKS -3 98 2
SAC KINGS 90
LA CLIPPERS +1 88 1
WTF Play Miami +10.5!!!
The +480 Moneyline is almost too much too resist, well almost, lol.
Much safer with the points and lot less stress.
Updated Stats Thru 14 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
NBA 59-38 61% / 39-24 62%
Favs 24-16 60% / 13-9 59%
Dogs 35-22 61% / 26-15 63%
***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 9-1 90% (The 9 wins have all won outright)
i never seen this before but whatever your doing keep doing it
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