With the Pelicans win last night this silly theory is YTD 26-21-1 ATS for a winning percentage of 55.21% Not great but every time it seems the idea is going south it goes on a nice win streak. As for all the splits and such, I didn't start a spread sheet from the beginning. The idea for me is the simplicity of the whole thing without going thru several filters, maybe there IS a simple strategy in betting NBA hoops which for me is the hardest sport to handicap.
Anyway
Tonight there is two games in the model
The Nets are +7.5 home dogs against the Celtics
The Nuggets are +7.5 in Utah
YTS 26-23-1 ATS
Three games fit the model
The Pistons are +7 home dogs against the Clips
The Sixers are +9.5 home dogs against the Bulls (No Embiid)
The Nets are +8 in Indiana
There's no way the Sixers cover with JoJo riding the bench tonight, I'm not thrilled about the Pistons chances, so that leaves the Nets as the only choice for me.