1. 06-08-16 03:46 PM #1
    LeahMichele
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    CAVS 1ST QUARTER PK -120 = Huge +EV

    This is a huge +EV play. The cavs pk -120 for first quarter only. They will come out strong. They have to build confidence early and get their crowd in it. This line is silly as the cavs have an 80% chance of winning quarter 1. This is the most +EV play of these finald. Im calling it cavs 31 GS 21 After 1. The ca s probably win the game but they will win 1st quarter. Im getting my money early.
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  2. 06-08-16 03:54 PM #2
    jjgold
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    risky Leah

    Curry gets hot your in trouble
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  3. 06-08-16 03:56 PM #3
    LeahMichele
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    Hes not bombing 3s in the first. Hes trying to get the rest involved to open up his shot later.
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  4. 06-08-16 03:56 PM #4
    LeahMichele
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    This play is winner
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  5. 06-08-16 03:58 PM #5
    jjgold
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    Leah call me

    I want to talk you off the play
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  6. 06-08-16 04:14 PM #6
    lakerboy
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    Explain how it is +ev from a math standpoint at -120?
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  7. 06-08-16 04:15 PM #7
    JayDr3am
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    it should be a slow methodical 1st quarter, i see the cavs getting a little bit of life coming out of the gate. GL with leah
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  8. 06-08-16 04:46 PM #8
    CanuckG
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Explain how it is +ev from a math standpoint at -120?
    because he said they have an 80% chance of winning.
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  9. 06-08-16 07:14 PM #9
    LeahMichele
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post
    it should be a slow methodical 1st quarter, i see the cavs getting a little bit of life coming out of the gate. GL with leah
    TY. This play will win. GL
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  10. 06-08-16 07:16 PM #10
    goduke
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Explain how it is +ev from a math standpoint at -120?
    It's not
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  11. 06-08-16 07:30 PM #11
    iloseagain
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    Leah this is my mindset as well.. My favorite play is cavs first team to 20 pts. Also love the 1q
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  12. 06-08-16 08:25 PM #12
    LeahMichele
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    17-4.
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  13. 06-08-16 08:26 PM #13
    intermission
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    Cheer, i got cav 1st qt @-140 and james over 7.5 1st quarter
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  14. 06-08-16 08:28 PM #14
    newguy
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    Nice call. Huge +ev is funny since this morning you said yo should only bet this game as a degen bet but good job either way
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  15. 06-08-16 08:30 PM #15
    jjgold
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    Leah unreal
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  16. 06-08-16 08:32 PM #16
    iloseagain
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    No offense to the OP, but how do you not see this game coming? This is so obvious and if you don't believe me then go check my thead for today
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  17. 06-08-16 08:32 PM #17
    themike78
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    Thanks. I did first quarter myself after reading post and thinking about it. Cavs will win by 10 this game. Only jerkoff took golden state. Who cares if they won the first 2 by 100 points even. Game 3 different.
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  18. 06-08-16 08:32 PM #18
    LeahMichele
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    Quote Originally Posted by iloseagain View Post
    Leah this is my mindset as well.. My favorite play is cavs first team to 20 pts. Also love the 1q
    Nice call iloseagain. This is just more proof that we can win gambling. This line was so stupid and soft. I don't know who wins but Cleveland coming out the game like that was so obvious. I got it at PK -120 a play that would win at least 70% and I think that's being conservative. Love the avatar as well.
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  19. 06-08-16 08:33 PM #19
    LeahMichele
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    Quote Originally Posted by iloseagain View Post
    No offense to the OP, but how do you not see this game coming? This is so obvious and if you don't believe me then go check my thead for today
    I totally agree it was obvious. Anyone who liked Clev should hav just been 1st Q
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  20. 06-08-16 08:34 PM #20
    Joe Sharp
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    Nice call LM!
    Easy cash on that one.
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  21. 06-08-16 08:35 PM #21
    LeahMichele
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    I would still like to see Cleveland win but its nice that we already got our win.
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  22. 06-08-16 08:36 PM #22
    JayDr3am
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    GREAT call leah. bravo
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  23. 06-08-16 08:36 PM #23
    LeahMichele
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    Quote Originally Posted by goduke View Post
    It's not
    BS. This play easily wins 55% of the time. Like others said – it was obvious.
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  24. 06-08-16 08:37 PM #24
    LeahMichele
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post
    GREAT call leah. bravo
    Thanks man. There are +EV plays out there but this was one of the best I have seen.
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  25. 06-08-16 08:38 PM #25
    LeahMichele
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Sharp View Post
    Nice call LM!
    Easy cash on that one.
    tks. I hope Clevland makes it 2-1. I would like a good series.
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  26. 06-08-16 08:38 PM #26
    tsty
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    ezy money
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  27. 06-08-16 08:38 PM #27
    JE
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    Good call, dubs still winning this game though.
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  28. 06-08-16 08:39 PM #28
    LeahMichele
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    I wouldn't doubt it
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  29. 06-08-16 08:44 PM #29
    Steamroller
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    Quote Originally Posted by JE View Post
    Good call, dubs still winning this game though.
    There's only one team playing tonight. They will win the next two don't worry.
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  30. 06-08-16 08:47 PM #30
    Hu$tle
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    Good pick OP i was too busy making taquitos to tail...hope u have a lock next game when im at the flamingo
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  31. 06-08-16 08:48 PM #31
    The Kraken
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    Nice

    Gambling is fun when its this easy
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  32. 06-08-16 08:53 PM #32
    Menses
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  33. 06-08-16 09:00 PM #33
    LeahMichele
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    wow down to 7 points already
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  34. 06-08-16 09:06 PM #34
    Hangoverblack
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    This ends badly for Cleveland. Line for game was less than 1h line.

    The second stanza starts... Now
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  35. 06-08-16 09:34 PM #35
    Al Masters
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    Quote Originally Posted by LeahMichele View Post
    This is a huge +EV play. The cavs pk -120 for first quarter only. They will come out strong. They have to build confidence early and get their crowd in it. This line is silly as the cavs have an 80% chance of winning quarter 1. This is the most +EV play of these finald. Im calling it cavs 31 GS 21 After 1. The ca s probably win the game but they will win 1st quarter. Im getting my money early.

    Super call...
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