Good Luck Laker.
At this point everything is so inflated with the recent game results that a lot of the numbers seem out of line.
My forecasts have had OKC winning the last few games and, even though GSW is at home and motivations seem high, I still get OKC winning the game by nearly ten points in about a 222 point game.
It's not unusual for my lines to vary from the market, sometimes by a lot (not always of course). I can understand why my line varies so much this time but even taking a level of regressed playoff factors into account, I still get OKC winning the game.
Less sophisticated and non predictive numbers that are relying on irrelevant (or only slightly less relevant) statistics still arrive at a GSW win and, combined with the public playing them we see a bit of a balance around 7 or 8.
This line should be lower and is only this high because of a bit of what we used to call in the equity world irrational exuberance...the pressure on GSW to win at home.
In my opinion, win or lose, there is value in your play LB.