1. #1
    000
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    NBA: Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets

    NBA: Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets

    Recommendation: Heat – 4

    Odds: 1.869

    Bookmaker: Pinnaclesports / Sportmarket



    My pick will hardly surprise you. I expected some 2-3 points bigger spread here and willingly take this one.

    Teams split season series 2-2, each winning one home and one road game. This is a play-off game though and as stated previously, experience makes a great deal of the winning process, not pure skills only. That’s exactly why Raptors failed again last night (go Pacers!) and I see Hornets’ in just the same situation. Kemba Walker had an excellent regular season but all the pressure is now on his shoulders and everybody expects him to lead his team. Easier said than done when you play against a future Hall of Famer in Dwayne and a pesky lightning like Goran The Dragon J Raptors analogy again, DeRozan and Kyle Lowry failed to accept that mental challenge yesterday, and they’re both better players than Kemba (talking of pure skillset).

    Batum will play through a twisted ankle and I hope this will slow him down on the offensive end. Charlotte really need his boost from 3-point line and his smooth passing abilities. Heat should definitely win the war in the paint too, Hassan / Amare have clear advantage over Zeller / Jefferson on both ends of the floor.

    All in all, Heat just need Dwayne plus at least one among Dragic / Joe Johnson to bring their average numbers in scoring in order to secure the win. Great probability to happen actually because of the experience we’ve been talking about. Actually this is the main reason I decided to skip trying UNDER 200 points as a second bet here. They’ve passed this line only once in the four regular season games and it really seems a bit high for the opening game of the series. I guess oddsmakers are cautious with Heat catching fire and/or Goran – Kemba start outrunning each other.

    The prop bets, Dwayne to score over 20.5 points at around 2.10 looks like a nice thing. Dwayne will get Spoelstra’s confidence to shoot all the clutch possessions and will probably receive quite a few trips to the foul line too

  2. #2
    Sixla
    Faith, Focus, Finish
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    Well said...looks like $ coming in on Hornets. I grabbed it -4.5, Heat down to -4.

  3. #3
    IBetYou
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    I've bet the HEAT for a different reason than you two (in a word, Whiteside). Otherwise we're on the same page.

  4. #4
    IBetYou
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    Happy to be betting against this Hornets team for once. I had them to win the SE this season so I had to endure this garbage for weeks. Weak team. TERRIBLE bet!

  5. #5
    IBetYou
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    Their defense is sooo soft!

  6. #6
    spargament
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    They won't win this game, but they'll come out like a bat out of hell in the second half.

  7. #7
    stevenash
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    I'm on record as saying the Heat are more than quite capable of coming out of the east.

    To the OP, very nice write up and all the best.

  8. #8
    IBetYou
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    Well done lads

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