1. #1
    Harry N. Lloyd
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    3 NBA Dogs To Consider

    Boyz,

    Last week I rode a bunch of favorites to the pay window. Tonight I'm going take the hounds out for a walk.

    DALLAS +5- at Charlotte. Charlotte's been red hot and the Mavs have been putrid. This line should be 8 or 9. I'll pay attention to the oddsmaker's wink and play the more desperate team.

    CHICAGO +9 at Toronto. It's got to be matchup issues but for some reason the Bulls have taken all 3 games against the Raptors this year. I don't see them getting the win tonight but they should keep it close.

    MEMPHIS +11- at Houston. The Rockets are simply not a team that blows people away. They play down the their competition. Another game where I will just be happy to see Memphis keep it close.

    As always, best of luck
    Harry

  2. #2
    ByAnYMe9n$
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    Quote Originally Posted by Harry N. Lloyd View Post
    Boyz,

    Last week I rode a bunch of favorites to the pay window. Tonight I'm going take the hounds out for a walk.

    DALLAS +5- at Charlotte. Charlotte's been red hot and the Mavs have been putrid. This line should be 8 or 9. I'll pay attention to the oddsmaker's wink and play the more desperate team.

    CHICAGO +9 at Toronto. It's got to be matchup issues but for some reason the Bulls have taken all 3 games against the Raptors this year. I don't see them getting the win tonight but they should keep it close.

    MEMPHIS +11- at Houston. The Rockets are simply not a team that blows people away. They play down the their competition. Another game where I will just be happy to see Memphis keep it close.

    As always, best of luck
    Harry
    No Gasol Butler minute limit and Rose doubtfuI I like the Raptors

  3. #3
    Killer2121
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    I really like the grizzlies

  4. #4
    KVB
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    Good Luck Harry.


  5. #5
    PatrickSarni
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    Don't like Memphis at all. they can barely fill out a roster.

  6. #6
    jz833
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    Detroit looks good
    They've been hot lately.

  7. #7
    SpreadSniper
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    Charlotte being 8/9 point fav's is laughable.

    Bulls/Butler have Raptors number - Rose doesn't matter here....

    Memphis is terrible but Houston is so fukkin dysfunctional its jekyl/hyde....

    Of the 3 I have to say I like the Bulls the most.

    Surprised Utah wasn't here?

  8. #8
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by SpreadSniper View Post
    Charlotte being 8/9 point fav's is laughable...
    Not sure the line ever broke 7.5 and is basically 5.5 or 6 points.


  9. #9
    NardVa
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    Quote Originally Posted by PatrickSarni View Post
    Don't like Memphis at all. they can barely fill out a roster.
    Memphis got 3 D League players on 10 day contracts with one being the starting PG. You figure if Houston shows up they should win easy.

  10. #10
    PorkChop
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Not sure the line ever broke 7.5 and is basically 5.5 or 6 points.

    I played it this morning at William & Hill for +7 (-120). Was listed at +6.5 at time. Dropped now to +5

  11. #11
    SpreadSniper
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Not sure the line ever broke 7.5 and is basically 5.5 or 6 points.

    was referring to the OP's comment that Charlotte 8/9 pt SHOULD be favs

  12. #12
    Harry N. Lloyd
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    Charlotte has won 7 straight, Dallas has lost 5 straight. Heck they give 5 points to the home team in the NBA. That's why I thought the Hornets should be favored by more. But I'm betting as a contrarian here anyway, going with Dallas.

  13. #13
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by SpreadSniper View Post
    was referring to the OP's comment that Charlotte 8/9 pt SHOULD be favs
    Got it. Actually, I can produce several forecasts ranging from Charlotte by 7 to Charlotte by 12 or 13 points. The lower number represents a more unsophisiticated, and even non-predictive line while the higher line would be considered more sophisticated and is indeed sharper.

    The reason the line didn't get to 8 or 9 is that there are groups that seek Dallas for a variety of reasons, not always related to the forecasts. The oddsmakers tried to protect the books from these groups by opening with a lower line but those groups seem to be winning the battle.

    Could be interesting.


  14. #14
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
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    Thanks to everyone in this thread who talked me into taking the Mavs.

  15. #15
    Harry N. Lloyd
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    Nice outright wins on Dallas and Chicago, a total misfire on Memphis. We'll take it.

  16. #16
    KVB
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    Good work Harry.


  17. #17
    iloseagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by QuantumLeap View Post
    Thanks to everyone in this thread who talked me into taking the Mavs.
    wish i saw this thread... this fits the TGTBT category

  18. #18
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
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    Quote Originally Posted by iloseagain View Post
    wish i saw this thread... this fits the TGTBT category
    Yep. It sure does.

  19. #19
    tshafer117
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    Good call

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