Today:
Heat @ Thunder Under 201,5 @1,9
Predicted score: 93 - 100
Heat L5 on the road all against west teams:
98 - 95 - Nuggets
90 - 104 - Clippers
103 - 111 - Warriors very high pace
83 - 98 - Jazz
103 - 95 - Suns
Thunder L5 home against defensive slow tempo teams:
112 - 94
96 - 96 OT
103 - 87
90 - 93
98 - 103
HEAT Trends:
Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 vs. NBA Northwest.
Under is 21-7-1 in Heat last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 12-4 in Heat last 16 Sunday games.
THUNDER Trends:
Under is 10-2 in Thunder last 12 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 10-3 in Thunder last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
Under is 10-3 in Thunder last 13 games following a ATS win.
HEAT vs. THUNDER
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Heat are 4 - 12 O/U on the road with 93,3 - 94,2 points
Thunder are 9 - 15 O/U home with 107,9 - 99 points
Expect a Miami style slow pace game with Whiteside defending inside and chasing away thunder players from driving, which is very important for under. Thunder also plays home with very good Deff efficency @99,1, Heat with 100,8 Deff eff on the road, combine that with slower pace and we should be hitting under with ease.
Miami beat the Thunder at home 97-95 on Dec. 3 with Whiteside patrolling the lane, but he didn't force them to the perimeter. Oklahoma City did miss 12 from 3-point range, but its 16 attempts were more than five below its season average and it owned a 44-35 rebounding advantage while scoring 50 points inside.
For Heat, Dwyane Wade (shoulders) is a game-time call vs. the Thunder on Sunday, Dragic is OUT, that means less points for Heat, I expect score around 101 - 90 for OKC...
Bet Amount: 2 Units