1. #1
    000
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    NBA Cleveland Cavaliers - Portland Trail Blazers

    NBA Cleveland Cavaliers - Portland Trail Blazers

    Recommendation: UNDER 200

    Odds: 1.917

    Bookmaker: Pinnaclesports / Sportmarket



    Cleveland should win this game of course but the spread is kinda steep, almost double digit. They can cover it but I’m always cautious with one man teams big spreads (unless this man is called Michael Jordan) as just so many things may go wrong!

    Portland are b2b after a hard match in Milwaukee yesterday. Some fatigue factor could come in play but more importantly their shooting percentage dropped quite significantly in the last few games. This is pretty normal, frankly speaking, as they rely heavily on their 2 stars Lillard and McCollum to carry the offensive load. Both are good shooters but too streaky and inconsistent, at least at this stage in their careers.

    Mo Williams got some knock in the last game but is expected to play tonight, so Cavs perimeter defense is looking decent with him and Dellavedova as backup. LeBron will take the attack calls in the 4th quarter as usual and this will slow the pace down a bit.

    Both meetings in the series went comfortably below this line so I’ve a reason to fully expect the same result today.


  2. #2
    PorkChop
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    I never get the "fatigue" factor. I always play opposite angle. Losing on a back to back, team USUALLY comes to play in game 2.

    Lakers last night on a B2B after losing. Came to play and covered.
    Suns last night on a B2B after losing, All i saw yesterday here was "tired legs" Bulls gonna roll them.. Got 5.5 points, won outright.

    Carefull sledding. I would be awfully surprised if Portland does not come to play tonight

  3. #3
    Git Lo
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    fatigue factor also shouldnt apply to young teams. I wouldn't doubt the Blazers have the youngest starting 5 in the league

  4. #4
    Amadeo-Picks
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    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    I never get the "fatigue" factor. I always play opposite angle. Losing on a back to back, team USUALLY comes to play in game 2.

    Lakers last night on a B2B after losing. Came to play and covered.
    Suns last night on a B2B after losing, All i saw yesterday here was "tired legs" Bulls gonna roll them.. Got 5.5 points, won outright.

    Carefull sledding. I would be awfully surprised if Portland does not come to play tonight
    suns were due for a win. There' team isn't bad. But most important here . It's the cavaliers and have lost 2 in a row. Lebron doesn't loose agen at home tonight . The cavs shouldn't be compared to the Bulls or anyone in the east. They are steps ahead of the rest. I'd parlay this with another game

  5. #5
    IBetYou
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    Nice write up, except for the mo.williams bit -he's a weak defender and an efficient scorer. Looks set to come off the bench again.

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