Fade teams that are starting a road trip of 3 or more games. If more than 3 games, start the chase on the last 3 games. Bets are on the home team to win the first half ATS, if losses bet the second half, if loses carry on to the next game betting the first half. If more than 2 days separates any game, series is a pass.
Also fading road team on the game spread, for a three bet chase.
UTH @ DET (10/28), PHI (10/30), IND (10/31)… WIN (2/6)… WIN (1/3)
ORL @ CHI (11/01), NOR (11/03), HOU (11/04)… WIN (1/6)… LOSS
SAS @ BOS (11/01), NYK (11/02), WAS (11/04)… WIN (2/6)… WIN (3/3)
MEM @ POR (11/05), UTH (11/07), LAC (11/09)… WIN (1/6)… WIN (1/3)
LAL @ MIA (11/10), ORL (11/11), DAL (11/13)… WIN (2/6)… WIN (1/3)
NO @ ATL (11/11), TOR (11/13), NYK (11/15)… WIN (2/6)… WIN (2/3)
BKN @ HOU (11/11), SAC (11/13), GSW (11/14) push bet 4. LOSE ON BOTH
UTH @ MIA (11/12), ORL (11/13), ATL (11/15)…. WIN (3/6)… WIN (2/3)
POR @ MEM (11/13), CHA (11/15), SAS (11/16)… WIN (3/6)… WIN (1/3)
DAL @ HOU (11/14), PHI (11/16), BOS (11/18)… WIN (2/6)…. WIN (2/3)
MIL @ WAS (11/17), CLE (11/19), IND (11/21)… WIN (1/6)…. WIN (1/3)
TOR @ UTA (11/18), LAL (11/20), LAC (11/22)… WIN (2/6)... PUSH GM 1... PENDING
YTD Halves YTD Game Spread
A Bet, 3-9 A Bet 5-6
B Bet, 6-3 B Bet 3-3
C Bet, 2-1 C Bet 1-2
D Bet, 0-0-1
E Bet, 0-1
F Bet, 0-0
PHO @ DEN (11/20), NOR (11/22), SAS (11/23)…
NY @ HOU (11/21), MIA (11/23), ORL (11/25)…
SAC @ ORL (11/21), CHA (11/23), MIL (11/23)…
DAL @ OKC (11/22), MEM (11/24), SAN (11/25)…
I use a Labby not a standard chase. The standard chase gets too expensive when a loss comes.
A Bet, 1.10 to win 1
B Bet, 2.31 to win 2.10 if lose -3.31u
C Bet, 4.85 to win 4.41 if lose -8.26u
D Bet, 10.18 to win 9.26 if lose -18.44u
E Bet, 21.49 to win 19.54 if lose -39.93u
F Bet, 45.03 to win 41.03 if lose 84.96u total loss OUCH, killed me last year!!!
The labby system I am using this year has worked out well. Toronto losing the second half last night left me with just a unit and a half left to clear from the Nets series loss.
We'll see what happens going forward??
Fade, tail, ignore or bash..... I dont care, but thought I would share the results here if anyone's interested.
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