[Mcducky]

I'm just fishing for some thoughts here, but why is Miami favored by 3.5 tonight in Orlando? (I have my own ideas but I'm curious for others input)

[nktmpp]

I made a post earlier asking the exact same thing...i don't know why they are favored. my lean is orlando, but im staying away from the game

[Christopher1991]

They have covered the last four spreads at Orlando and with Dragic running the offence they have looked much improved.Its a game to stay away from imo,two teams who you cant trust.

[Mcducky]

I am more than likely staying away...

With that said Miami hasn't has only played one average-to-above average team after the All star break (New Orleans) which was only Dragic's first game, so the most recent game was against Philadelphia. As far as I'm concerned those 2 games are a wash as far as the useful data to be gained from either.


Orlando is 2-0 post all star break, Miami is 2-1... Orlando seems like the hotter team, but now that i look at it, they have played bums also (i'm slowly talking myself out of my Orlando lean).

I think Orlando has the advantage at 3 positions, except PG and either C/SF (you could argue Miami may better at one of the positions but not both). Also, taking into account a 70% healthy D-Wade, plus Chris Bosh is absent, who's a large chunk of their play calling and scoring.

So I think this should be maybe a pick em...? the absolute most I can see Miami being favored by is -1 1/2. I'm not saying they won't cover or Orlando is the better team, but -3.5 is too much in my opinion, we shall see (talked myself back into my Orlando lean, still staying away though.)

[Hollafront]

Cause of Dragic.