1. #1
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,346
    Betpoints: 32775

    T-Wolves / Heat OVER 188.5 -107 (8pm start)

    Using the same angle as yesterday:

    T-Wolves can not play a lick of defense, and is one of the worst defending teams I have seen in years.
    Take a look at the right hand column, Minny gives up an ungodly 109 points per 100 possessions a game.
    (Heat ain't much better) and the Wolves are a much better shooting team now with K-Mart back at 2 guars.

    This 109 + number is as bad as it gets.
    What we got here on the right column is one bad defending team, and one *very special* kind of bad defense.

    Hollinger Stats - Defensive Efficiency
    RK TEAM PACE AST TO ORR DRR REBR EFF FG% TS% OFF EFF DEF EFF
    1 Minnesota 97.5 16.6 13.7 27.5 72.6 48.8 46.4 50.9 98.8 109.5
    2 LA Lakers 97.0 15.7 12.0 25.1 74.7 49.1 47.3 51.6 101.4 107.9
    3 New York 92.8 17.1 14.0 25.3 72.0 48.2 48.5 51.8 99.2 107.6
    4 Utah 92.9 16.2 14.5 28.7 75.6 52.2 49.6 53.6 103.1 106.2
    5 Sacramento 97.4 15.0 15.0 27.1 75.9 52.6 48.7 54.3 102.5 106.1
    6 Orlando 96.2 16.2 14.2 21.0 76.6 48.3 49.7 52.9 99.4 105.9
    7 New Orleans 94.1 16.6 12.1 28.4 75.7 51.9 49.6 53.5 106.1 105.1
    8 Denver 98.4 16.2 12.8 26.3 75.8 50.4 47.6 51.6 101.0 105.0
    Cleveland 94.6 16.8 12.9 27.4 74.2 50.9 50.7 54.7 106.8 105.0
    10 Brooklyn 94.4 16.3 13.6 22.9 74.1 48.7 48.7 52.5 99.9 104.4
    11 Miami 91.8 16.6 14.5 22.1 73.5 48.3 50.1 54.2 101.2 104.3


    What I really, really like about this game tonight is the Kevin Martin factor, a) Wolves defense is so much better now he's back, b) he's been shooting well, c) he should torch the hell out of Super Mario Chalmers.
    Wiggy will get his.

    No Wade for Miami, doesn't really matter, you think Denver sucks on 'D', Wolves suck worse.
    Bosh will get his.
    Mr. Brightside in the middle is the biggest surprise of the year, Hassan Whiteside will get a double - double here, as long as Mr. Brightside (sorry, have to get that Killers reference in there) doesn't keep committting those dopey fouls.

    2 piss poor defenses, a Wolf team that is better on offense with Martin = an over 188.5

    Looking for this game to go to 202 or so.

    I like over's with shitty teams, what can I tell ya, it's been working for me.
    (not always, but usually)

    Best of luck

  2. #2
    BIGDAY
    angelman.org
    BIGDAY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 48,241
    Betpoints: 24854

    Easy win.

  3. #3
    Smoke
    Smoke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-09
    Posts: 48,111
    Betpoints: 1510

    Nash a hero to all

  4. #4
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,346
    Betpoints: 32775

    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    Nash a hero to all
    I'm just flesh and blood.

    K-Mart rang the bell for 30 by the way.
    (just saying)

  5. #5
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Nashy we are all tired of losing money and burnt out a little from gambling

    NASH MONEY

  6. #6
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,346
    Betpoints: 32775

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Looking for this game to go to 202 or so.
    102-101
    (just saying)

  7. #7
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,346
    Betpoints: 32775

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Nashy we are all tired of losing money and burnt out a little from gambling

    NASH MONEY
    I'm just flesh and blood.
    (and number crunching geek)

  8. #8
    cburland10
    cburland10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-13
    Posts: 798
    Betpoints: 758

    Nash you have been hot

    good work!

  9. #9
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,346
    Betpoints: 32775

    Quote Originally Posted by cburland10 View Post
    Nash you have been hot

    good work!
    Thank you sir.
    Books are sloppy when setting total lines.
    I am here to exploit that.

  10. #10
    oldscho0led
    home dogs
    oldscho0led's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-11
    Posts: 1,407
    Betpoints: 5503

    Nashy, missed the pick. Looking forward for tomorrow. GL buddy

  11. #11
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,346
    Betpoints: 32775

    Quote Originally Posted by oldscho0led View Post
    Nashy, missed the pick. Looking forward for tomorrow. GL buddy
    Weak schedule tomorrow, might not be anything there.

  12. #12
    Mike Huntertz
    Mike Huntertz's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-19-09
    Posts: 11,165
    Betpoints: 22524

    Laugher, nice pick.

  13. #13
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,346
    Betpoints: 32775

    Quote Originally Posted by Mike Huntertz View Post
    Laugher, nice pick.
    Thank you sir.
    Like I said, books set stupid totals, I own the totals.

  14. #14
    ZetaPsi808
    July 2011 Poster of the Month
    ZetaPsi808's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-08
    Posts: 12,119
    Betpoints: 1982

    Looking for this game to go to 202 or so.

    and they scored 203 total. its scary how good you are

  15. #15
    MickeyMan
    MickeyMan's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-20-09
    Posts: 5,091
    Betpoints: 14295

    Stevenash,

    So hot right now

  16. #16
    GUMMO77
    Many bags of soup. Many.
    GUMMO77's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-10
    Posts: 9,294
    Betpoints: 1726

    Nasherrrrrrr!!!!!!!

  17. #17
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,346
    Betpoints: 32775

    Quote Originally Posted by ZetaPsi808 View Post
    Looking for this game to go to 202 or so.

    and they scored 203 total. its scary how good you are
    Thank you sir, my thing is really baseball though.

  18. #18
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,346
    Betpoints: 32775

    Quote Originally Posted by gummo77 View Post
    nasherrrrrrr!!!!!!!
    gummmmmo !!!!!!!!!!!!!

  19. #19
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Nice call.

    Why was this total set so low?


  20. #20
    ZetaPsi808
    July 2011 Poster of the Month
    ZetaPsi808's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-08
    Posts: 12,119
    Betpoints: 1982

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Nice call.

    Why was this total set so low?

    i think bc the heat and wolves struggle to score so much.

  21. #21
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by ZetaPsi808 View Post
    i think bc the heat and wolves struggle to score so much.
    Maybe, but as nasher pointed out, the T'Wolves play literally zero defense.

  22. #22
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,346
    Betpoints: 32775

    ^
    And K-Mart is back, I knew he was going to go off.
    (I had a lot of money on that last night too, looking back to last night I just said to myself, "don't do that again", had it for 6*)

Top