I won big last NBA season by using the following guidelines:
1 - NBA underdog plays from BaseballFormula.com
2 - Player statistics from Basketball Reference.com. If a key starting player has been cold in recent games (shooting pct.), I am careful laying cash on that team.
3 - Reviewing daily injury reports.
4 - Waiting until each team played 15-20 games before starting to lay cash…it takes discipline, but it’s worth it. In years past, I got burned jumping in too early. Give it time for the statistics to populate.
5 - Parlaying 2 hot underdogs. This can rake in serious cash over the course of a season. Check the NBA stats sites to see which dogs have been hot lately.
6 - I never play dogs with a line over +10 ATS on the moneyline.
7 - I avoid teams that have lost several games (usually 5+) in a row that are dogs. NBA teams can be very streaky (hello Philadelphia 76ers).