[SOLAMAN]

NBA PARLAY PARTNERSHIP

The Set-Up: The idea is to give this chase system width and depth with emphasis on the home team. This is accomplished by using 1/4 units instead of full units combined with a two game parlay. This is a partnership of three combinations of each parlay.

The Plan: This system is based on a two-game parlay with emphasis on the home team. We are betting the spread on three of the four possible combinations of each parlay. The plays are on each combination that has at least one home team so the combination with both visiting teams is NOT a play. The goal of each combination is to win one-quarter unit. This is a chase system with a goal to cover each combination at least once in 16 plays. Each day we are playing up to 4 parlays with a total of 12 wagers (3 wagers on each parlay) on days with 4 parlays. IMPORTANT...The last series of the season for each combination of the 4 parlays is when each has only 16 plays left. Then the idea is to start eliminating combinations of each parlay and when all 12 combinations have covered the season is finished.

NBA PARLAY PARTNERSHIP COMBINATIONS
(1/3) = visiting team gm 1 / visiting team gm 2 ( not a play)
(1/4) = visiting team gm 1 / HOME team gm 2
(2/3) = HOME team gm 1 / visiting team gm 2
(2/4) = home team gm 1 / HOME team gm 2

PARLAY PARTNERSHIP PROGRESSION (Based on -110 with a 2.6 payout)

16 step progression decimal x full unit size = size of bet to win 1/4 unit

Decimal progression : (1) .10 (2) .14 (3) .19 (4) .27 (5) .37 (6) .51 (7) .71 (8) .98 (9) .1.36
(10) 1.88 (11) 2.60 (12) 3.60 (13) 4.99 (14) 6.01 (15) 9.57 (16) 13.25

Example with full unit size of $40: The first play of the progression you would multiply .10 x $40 = $4.00 which is the size of the bet ($4.00 X 2.6 payout = $10.40 for 1/4 unit).

Example continued:
!st play ........... .10 x $40 = $4.00 wager to win $10......loss
2nd play.......... .14 x $40 = $5.60 wager to win $10 (net).......loss
3rd play............ .19 x $40 = $7.60 wager to win $10 (net).....win

Cover was made on the 3rd play for a profit of $10 for 1/4 unit won. This progression is used on each combination. You have the potential of winning 1 unit each day with 4 parlays.

I put this updated version on trial basis last nba season (2013-14). The system did not have a loss for 313 series and won 78.25 units. No series went to the last play but we had two series go to the next to last play. I used vegas insider with the first games listed with no cherry picking.

Example:

Parlay #1
NO / ORL AND CLE/ CHA (2/4 combination wins) with 2 pending series
Parlay #2
PHI / WAS AND TOR/ATL (1/4 combination wins)with 2 pending series
Parlay #3
MIL/BOS AND DAL/HOU (1/4 combination wins) with 2 pending series
Parlay #4
DET/MEM AND OKC/MIN (1/4 combination wins) with 2 pending series

Then on Nov 2 the winning combinations starts again on step 1 of the progression and the pending series goes to step 2 of the progression and etc. If the day does not have 4 parlays , then it is continued to the next day it is available.

Month by month results... (Nov 1 - Apr11) 2013-14

Nov... 60 wins and 0 losses with 9 series pending and 15 units won
Dec... 55 wins and 0 losses with 8 series pending and 13.75 units won
Jan... 71 wins and 0 losses with 10 series pending and 17.75 units won
Feb... 52 wins and 0 losses with 8 series pending and 13 units won
Mar... 71 wins and 0 losses with 4 series pending and 17.75 units won
Apr... 4 wins and 0 losses with 0 series pending and 1 unit won

You are chasing each combination until it covers and a win will profit you one-fourth unit plus cover all previous losses.

How should I choose the parlays? I used the first games listed on vegas insider with NO cherry picking for this test run but you can choose any games for your parlays but try to avoid as many pushes as possible by using half points. If you have a push repeat the same progression with your next parlay.

Confused ??? Just review this several times because it is really simple.

SUMMARY.... You have16 levels of progression compared to my NBA road system which had 6 levels and the risk is less. I wanted to research previous seasons with this updated version but I did not.
You will need at least 3 books and 150 to 200 units set aside for this system and have the mindset to chase until it covers.
This season starts on Oct 28 but I recommend to start on Oct 29 when you have 6 possible parlays to choose your 4 parlays.

You may want to do your own test run before you go live.


SOLAMAN / TONY1

[keel44]

If you use a 100 unit bank, each full unit would be 1% of that bank. Am I correct in saying that?

[SOLAMAN]

If you use a 100 unit bank, each full unit would be 1% of that bank. Am I correct in saying that?

The answer is 10% on level one of the progression.

[SOLAMAN]

The season starts soon and I know this chase system seems a little extreme but this system gives width and depth with less risk. The key is to match your parlays with half-points. This is not possible for every parlay but try match as many as possible to avoid pushes.



Remember you are using 1/4 units instead of full units and with two game parlays.


Comparsion to my NBA road system that I posted here for years. I played the road system for 9 years and never had a losing season. Others have continued the run some version of it the last 2 years.


This system has 16 levels of progression compared to the road system which had 6.
This system uses full games not halves.
You can choose any games for your parlays, just match as many as possible with half-points.


This is an updated version from the version that I posted a couple years ago. I mentioned in the first post that I ran a test run last season and did not lose a series (see the first post for details). The record was 313 series won and 0 series lost for a total units of 78.25.

IMPORTANT: You must follow this system exactly as mentioned in my first post.

You can post your results as the season moves along if you plan to give it a try.

GOOD LUCK!

[olamide]

The plays are on each combination that has at least one home team so the combination with both visiting teams is NOT a play

Pls can you explain the above sentence better?

[SOLAMAN]

[QUOTE=olamide;22857773]The plays are on each combination that has at least one home team so the combination with both visiting teams is NOT a play

Pls can you explain the above sentence better? [/QUOTE

]NBA PARLAY PARTNERSHIP COMBINATIONS
(1/3) = visiting team gm 1 / visiting team gm 2 ( not a play)
(1/4) = visiting team gm 1 / HOME team gm 2
(2/3) = HOME team gm 1 / visiting team gm 2
(2/4) = home team gm 1 / HOME team gm 2

Each parlay has 4 possible combinations and we are playing 3 of 4. We are not playing the (1/3) combination.

[olamide]

If we are playing 3 of 4, i guess we play all the outcome at same time. Right?
1/4, 2/3, 2/4 play has to be same time since it's between 2 teams which means same stake.
But in the example you gave.............Example continued:
!st play ........... .10 x $40 = $4.00 wager to win $10......loss
2nd play.......... .14 x $40 = $5.60 wager to win $10 (net).......loss
3rd play............ .19 x $40 = $7.60 wager to win $10 (net).....win

it's different. Pls explain the staking plan better

[SOLAMAN]

If we are playing 3 of 4, i guess we play all the outcome at same time. Right?
1/4, 2/3, 2/4 play has to be same time since it's between 2 teams which means same stake.
But in the example you gave.............Example continued:
!st play ........... .10 x $40 = $4.00 wager to win $10......loss
2nd play.......... .14 x $40 = $5.60 wager to win $10 (net).......loss
3rd play............ .19 x $40 = $7.60 wager to win $10 (net).....win

it's different. Pls explain the staking plan better

You are chasing each combination with the above example. I will try to explain more with my next post.

[SOLAMAN]

I do not plan to post plays of the day because you can choose any games for your parlays. The plan is just to use games with half-points as much as possible. I would like to use this post to get you started if interested in this system.



The first day of the season starts today with 4 parlays but tomorrow you will have only 2 parlays (parlay #1 and parlay#2).


You are betting 3 combinations of each parlay so today you have 12 bets. You will have a minimum of 2 pending combinations on each parlay each day and sometimes there will be 3. You will start eliminating combinations when each has 16 plays left for the season.


EXAMPLE / DAY #1
PARLAY #1
ATL / TOR -4.5

BKN / BOS +3.5


PARLAY#2
WAS / MIA -4.5
GSW / SAC +4.5


PARLAY #3
LAL / PHO -10.5
PHI / IND -6.5


PARLAY #4
CHI / NYK +4.5
HOU / UT +3.5


You are betting combinations (1/4) (2/3) (2/4) of each parlay as explained in post#1 of this thread. Tomorrow, you will have only 2 parlays so there will only be 6 bets. Parlay #3 and #4 will continue the next time plays are available.


I hope this helps. Review post #1 for the explanation. Remember that you are chasing each combination until it covers and you stop chasing when the last series covers at the end of the season as explained.

[SOLAMAN]

NBA Parlay Partnership
Parlays for 10/29
Parlay #1 ATL / TOR -4.5 & BKN / BOS + 3.5
(1/4)...(1/16) L
(2/3)...(1/16) L
(2/4)...(1/16) WIN
Parlay #2 WAS / MIA -4.5 & GSW / SAC +4.5
(1/4)..(1/16) L
(2/3)...(1/16)WIN
(2/4)...(1/16)L
Parlay #3 LAL / PHO -10.5 & PHI / IND -6.5
(1/4)...(1/16) L
(2/3)...(1/16) L
(2/4)...(1/16) WIN
Parlay #4 CHI / NYK +4.5 & HOU / UTH +3.5
(1/4)... (1/16) L
(2/3)... (1/16) L
(2/4)... (1/16) L

** (X/16) STEP OF THE PROGRESSION

Total units won...0.75
series wins ........ 3
series losses ......0
series pending.....9

(NOTE: I will post for a couple days or so to help you understand how the system works)

[SOLAMAN]

NBA PARLAY PARTNERSHIP

Parlays for 10/30
Parlay #1...WAS / ORL +3.5 & NYK / CLE -11.5

(1/4).....(2/16)
(2/3).....(2/16)
(2/4).....(1/16)
Parlay #2...DET / MN -4.5 & UTH / DAL -10.5
(1/4).....(2/16)
(2/3).....(1/16)
(2/4)....(2/16)
Parlay #3 N/A

(1/4)....(2/16)
(2/3)....(2/16)
(2/4)...(1/16)
Parlay #4 N/A

(1/4)....(2/16)
(2/3)....(2/16)
(2/4)....(2/16)


**N/A ...NO PARLAYS AVAILABLE FOR THE DAY
**(X/16) STEP OF THE PROGRESSION

Total units won.... 0.75
series wins ..........3
series losses........0
series pending......9

[olamide]

I understand how the system works. What i don't understand is the staking plan.

[SOLAMAN]

NBA PARLAY PARTNERSHIP
Parlays for 10/30
Parlay #1...WAS / ORL +3.5 & NYK / CLE -11.5
(1/4).....(2/16)...L
(2/3).....(2/16)...L
(2/4).....(1/16)...L
Parlay #2...DET / MN -4.5 & UTH / DAL -10.5
(1/4).....(2/16)...L
(2/3).....(1/16)...L
(2/4)....(2/16)...WIN
Parlay #3 N/A
(1/4)....(2/16)
(2/3)....(2/16)
(2/4)...(1/16)
Parlay #4 N/A
(1/4)....(2/16)
(2/3)....(2/16)
(2/4)....(2/16)

**N/A ...NO PARLAYS AVAILABLE FOR THE DAY
**(X/16) STEP OF THE PROGRESSION

Total units won.... 1.0
series wins ..........4
series losses........0
series pending......10

SUMMARY: You will have from 8 - 12 pending series every day until the end of the season when you start eliminating combinations with covers. This is one of the key factors of this system that you must understand.

[drfunkmaster]

holy crap. what is going on in this thread.
why do ppl make it so complicated, Just fade the cavs and lakers. keep it simple.

[SOLAMAN]

NBA PARLAY PARTNERSHIP
Parlays for 10/31
Parlay #1..MEM/IND +6.5 / CLE/CHI -4.5
(1/4).....(3/16)
(2/3).....(3/16)
(2/4).....(2/16)
Parlay #2...PHI/MIL -9.5 / POR/SAC +5.5
(1/4).....(3/16)
(2/3).....(2/16)
(2/4)....(1/16)
Parlay #3 ...SAS/PHO +1.5 / LAC/LAL +11.5
(1/4)....(2/16)
(2/3)....(2/16)
(2/4)...(1/16)
Parlay #4 N/A
(1/4)....(2/16)
(2/3)....(2/16)
(2/4)....(2/16)

**N/A ...NO PARLAYS AVAILABLE FOR THE DAY
**(X/16) STEP OF THE PROGRESSION

Total units won.... 1.0
series wins ..........4
series losses........0
series pending......10

SUMMARY: THIS SYSTEM MAY SEEM A LITTLE EXTREME BUT WE ARE CREATING WIDTH AND DEPTH BY USING 1/4 UNITS AND A 2 GAME PARLAY WITH EMPHASIS ON THE HOME TEAM.WE ARE NOT LOOKING AT POINT SPREADS OR THE TEAMS. WE ARE JUST MATCHING GAMES WITH THE SPREAD OF HALF-POINTS AND THE SYSTEM LAST SEASON WON 313 SERIES WITHOUT A SERIES LOSS.

[keel44]

I like what you have created here.

You are using randomness of scattered results to profit. You emphasize the home team which is perfect for the NBA. I would caution you that one oddball run would send this crashing down. Your just relying on hope that it doen't happen.

Could you just chase just one of the combinations over and over again instead of all 4? They don't have anything to do with one another, right?

[SOLAMAN]

I like what you have created here.

You are using randomness of scattered results to profit. You emphasize the home team which is perfect for the NBA. I would caution you that one oddball run would send this crashing down. Your just relying on hope that it doen't happen.

Could you just chase just one of the combinations over and over again instead of all 4? They don't have anything to do with one another, right?

Yes you could chase just the combinations of one parlay but this is one of the reasons that I used 1/4 units so it could be spread over 4 parlays giving width and depth. The units won with just one parlay would be minimal.

[SOLAMAN]

I understand how the system works. What i don't understand is the staking plan.

PARLAY PARTNERSHIP PROGRESSION (Based on -110 with a 2.6 payout)

16 step progression decimal x full unit size = size of bet to win 1/4 unit

Decimal progression : (1) .10 (2) .14 (3) .19 (4) .27 (5) .37 (6) .51 (7) .71 (8) .98 (9) .1.36
(10) 1.88 (11) 2.60 (12) 3.60 (13) 4.99 (14) 6.01 (15) 9.57 (16) 13.25

Example with full unit size of $40: The first play of the progression you would multiply .10 x $40 = $4.00 which is the size of the bet ($4.00 X 2.6 payout = $10.40 for 1/4 unit).

Example continued:
!st play ........... .10 x $40 = $4.00 wager to win $10......loss
2nd play.......... .14 x $40 = $5.60 wager to win $10 (net).......loss
3rd play............ .19 x $40 = $7.60 wager to win $10 (net).....win

Cover was made on the 3rd play for a profit of $10 for 1/4 unit won.

[SOLAMAN]

holy crap. what is going on in this thread.
why do ppl make it so complicated, Just fade the cavs and lakers. keep it simple.

All I can say is that you do not have to be insane to do this but it could help!

[drfunkmaster]

All I can say is that you do not have to be insane to do this but it could help!

trying to understand this all. I must be stupid..

[SOLAMAN]

NBA PARLAY PARTNERSHIP
Parlays for 10/31
Parlay #1..MEM/IND +6.5 / CLE/CHI -4.5
(1/4).....(3/16)L
(2/3).....(3/16)L
(2/4).....(2/16)L
Parlay #2...PHI/MIL -9.5 / POR/SAC +5.5
(1/4).....(3/16)L
(2/3).....(2/16)L
(2/4)....(1/16)W
Parlay #3 ...SAS/PHO +1.5 / LAC/LAL +11.5
(1/4)....(2/16)L
(2/3)....(2/16)L
(2/4)...(1/16)W
Parlay #4 N/A
(1/4)....(2/16)
(2/3)....(2/16)
(2/4)....(2/16)

**N/A ...NO PARLAYS AVAILABLE FOR THE DAY
**(X/16) STEP OF THE PROGRESSION

Total units won.... 1.5
series wins ..........6
series losses........0
series pending......10

SUMMARY: RESULTS FOR 10/31

[SOLAMAN]

NBA PARLAY PARTNERSHIP
Parlays for 11/01
Parlay #1..BOS/HOU-8.5 / TOR/ORL+6.5
(1/4).....(4/16)
(2/3).....(4/16)
(2/4).....(3/16)
Parlay #2...DEN/OKC+6.5 / CHI/MN+3.5
(1/4).....(4/16)
(2/3).....(3/16)
(2/4)....(1/16)
Parlay #3 ...IND/ATL-10.5 / DAL/NO+1.5
(1/4)....(3/16)
(2/3)....(3/16)
(2/4)...(1/16)
Parlay #4 ..BKN/DET-3.5 / MIA/PHI+8.5
(1/4)....(2/16)
(2/3)....(2/16)
(2/4)....(2/16)

**N/A ...NO PARLAYS AVAILABLE FOR THE DAY
**(X/16) STEP OF THE PROGRESSION

Total units won.... 1.5
series wins ..........6
series losses........0
series pending......10

SUMMARY: Today we have 4 parlays. I have posted daily updates for a couple days as promised to help you understand it better. I have posted the explanation of the system plus these updates. I know this very different from other systems and it is difficult to do but I had great success with it last season. I had no series losses but two series went to the 14th step of the progression. You could do a trial run this season before you go live with it.

GOOD LUCK!

[SOLAMAN]

Comparison of the progression between the nba parlay partnership and the nba road system that posted on this forum for years. Parlay partnership has 16 steps and the road system has 6 steps.

Lets simply it by using a $ 10 unit size... (based on -110)
NBA PARLAY PARTNERSHIP
Size of bet
1. $1.00
2. $1.40
3. $1.90
4. $2.70
5. $3.70
6. $5.10
7. $7.10
8. $9.80
9. $13.60
10. $18.80
11. $26.00
12. $36.00
13. $49.90
14. $60.10
15. $95.70
16. $132.50

NBA ROAD SYSTEM
Size of bet
1. $11.00
2. $23.00
3. $48.50
4. $102.00
5. $214.00
6. $408.50

Your total risk is 2/3 less with 16 steps with the parlay system compared to only 6 steps with the road system.

Summary: Last season I had 2 combinations go to the 14 th step of the progression. The main purpose of the parlay system is to give you width and depth with less risk by spreading units over several parlays with 1/4 units. A $50 unit would 5 times the above numbers and a $100 unit would be 10 times the above numbers.
RECOMMENDATION: I would suggest to do a test run this season then go live next season if successful. I also would suggest to go small and double the unit size each of the following seasons.

[SOLAMAN]

DATES FOR THE LAST PARLAY COMBINATIONS OF THE SEASON 2014-15

IMPORTANT...The last series of the season for each combination of the 4 parlays is when each has only 16 plays left.

Fourth parlay... any combination of the 4th parlay ends with a cover starting on MARCH 15.

Third parlay.....any combination of the 3rd parlay ends with a cover starting on MARCH 24

Second parlay...any combination of the 2nd parlay ends with a cover starting on MARCH 27

First parlay.......any combination of the 1st parlay ends with a cover starting on MARCH 30

THE SEASON IS OVER WHEN THE LAST COMBINATION OF PARLAY 1 MAKES A COVER.

[keel44]

How you doing as of right now?

[SOLAMAN]

How you doing as of right now?

Its only the beginning but the series record thru 11/14 is 34 series wins and 0 losses for 8.50 units. I will give details in a few days.

[new era]

Why bother parlaying? Why not just chase single games? Increase unit sizes and continue chasing? Profit would be even higher in shorter amount of time. Unless I'm missing something.

[SOLAMAN]

Why bother parlaying? Why not just chase single games? Increase unit sizes and continue chasing? Profit would be even higher in shorter amount of time. Unless I'm missing something.

I have created several chase systems similar to your comment. I agree this one is different but the goal is to give you width and depth with less risk. One of my systems.. The Nba road system which I posted here for years. I played the system for 9 years and never had a losing season but when the progression reached the 5th and 6th step level most of the followers just could not handle it. Look at post #23 of this thread for the comparison.

Comparison with the parlay system to a single game or half system. The example that I gave on post #23...Would rather risk $408.50 to win $10 on the 6th level or would you rather risk $5.10 to win $2.50 on the 6th level? The parlay system can win you about same number of units as the nba road system for the season by spreading units over 4 parlays with 1/4 units and with less risk.

[SOLAMAN]

I would like to add as mentioned in post #23......

The total risk thru 16 levels of the nba parlay partnership would be 2/3 less than with only 6 levels of The Nba road system.

[new era]

I have created several chase systems similar to your comment. I agree this one is different but the goal is to give you width and depth with less risk. One of my systems.. The Nba road system which I posted here for years. I played the system for 9 years and never had a losing season but when the progression reached the 5th and 6th step level most of the followers just could not handle it. Look at post #23 of this thread for the comparison.

Comparison with the parlay system to a single game or half system. The example that I gave on post #23...Would rather risk $408.50 to win $10 on the 6th level or would you rather risk $5.10 to win $2.50 on the 6th level? The parlay system can win you about same number of units as the nba road system for the season by spreading units over 4 parlays with 1/4 units and with less risk.

So basically I can just play any random combination of these? :

(1/4) = visiting team gm 1 / HOME team gm 2
(2/3) = HOME team gm 1 / visiting team gm 2
(2/4) = home team gm 1 / HOME team gm 2

I mean I see how the risk is lower and odds are you will hit before step 16. But its not impossible that one reaches past that and loses their whole bank roll. Chances of hitting a parlay is 25%. So the chances of reaching 17 and losing would be around 0.0100 (.75% losing rate to the power of 16 is the calculation if my math is correct).

Based on these steps:
1. $1.00
2. $1.40
3. $1.90
4. $2.70
5. $3.70
6. $5.10
7. $7.10
8. $9.80
9. $13.60
10. $18.80
11. $26.00
12. $36.00
13. $49.90
14. $60.10
15. $95.70
16. $132.50

Assuming unit size is $1 for easy calculation... You would need a bank roll of $465.30 incase you keep having to go to the next step. Profit for a win would be quarter of the unit so you win 25 cents in the $1 scenario. 25 cents of a 465.30 seems too little. I think the road system is better value even though this one is very very safe.

[44 Mag]

Did you study @ MIT ??? WTF kid this is NBA, not a science project. Well, better luck next year in MLB.

[new era]

How often does it reach steps 14, 15 ,16?

[SOLAMAN]

How often does it reach steps 14, 15 ,16?

Last season the series record was 313 - 0 with only 2 series reaching that level.

[new era]

Last season the series record was 313 - 0 with only 2 series reaching that level.

Theres only a 1.002% chance of failing (past 16th step). We can predict that in 100 series, you will win 99. If unit size is $1 then 1 loss will make you lose $46.53. 99 wins will get $24.75. Expected loss of $21.78.

I'm not sure how this would look long term, but it only takes 6 losses out of 1000 series to ruin everything. I'm just interested, not trying to disprove that this could win some money this year.

[SOLAMAN]

NBA PARLAY PARTNERSHIP UPDATE
NOVEMBER 2014


TOTAL PROGRESSION STEPS FOR THE 4 PARLAYS
1. 12
2. 17
3. 7
4. 6
5. 7
6. 4
7. 7
8. 4
9. 2
10. 0
11.1
12. 0
13. 0
14. 0
15. 0
16. 0


Series record thru NOV...67 series wins and 0 losses.
Units: 16.75
Pending series...10

Series record thru 12/5...79 series won and 0 losses.
Pending series ... 8


Summary: Last season I used the first games listed at vegas insider with no cherry picking. This season I am using home consensus at Covers as a means of verification starting on 11/2. Parlays from 10/29 to 11/1 are posted. The majority of the games are matched with half-points to avoid pushes. Example: Go to Covers....scores and matchups.....consensus picks. Example: The first two games listed for home team consensus is used for the first parlay and the next two games for the second parlay and etc.

I understand that system is very different from my NBA road system but again the purpose of this is to lower risk but give you about the same number of units as the NBA road system. Although the system has no losses last season and no losses thru NOV of this season, I am still not satisfied with it. My plans is to move from using any games to the same concept as the NBA road system.