1. 12-14-09 04:23 PM #1
    Wilforth
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    Experimental 1H dog plays

    Anyday there are less than 10 games in the NBA, almost all dogs tend to cover the 1H spread. I'll test this trend starting today with the following 1H dog plays:

    Indiana +7 (-110)
    GSW +3 (-115)
    Memphis +4 (-110)
    NO +5 (-110)
    Minn +7.5 (-115)
    OKC +5.5 (-110). I doubt this one!
    Washington +1 (-110)


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  2. 12-14-09 04:35 PM #2
    vinny808
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    Have you ever tried experimenting 2H under plays?
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  3. 12-14-09 04:35 PM #3
    vinny808
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    The 1H score can total 110, yet the 2H has a very good chance of being under 94.
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  4. 12-14-09 04:36 PM #4
    BL
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    simply backtest and see it doesn't work.....
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  5. 12-14-09 04:38 PM #5
    landers781
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    Vinny, I almost always play 2nd h unders and they seem to come in more often than not unless an OT. A couple of times the over hits but not by much
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  6. 12-14-09 04:40 PM #6
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by vinny808 View Post
    Have you ever tried experimenting 2H under plays?
    It depends on the teams involved. Teams like Orlando, LAL and Portland tend to be more defensive in 2Hs, especially when they play against offensively potent teams.
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  7. 12-14-09 07:36 PM #7
    vinny808
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    I took the under for GSW/PHL game. -104.5
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  8. 12-14-09 07:45 PM #8
    darkenergy
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    I do this often with NCAAB, and outcome has been fairly good.
    Games that jump out of me are the favorites giving 4 points or more ( I preferred 8, 9 or more. I stay away from take dog against top 10 teams though.) for the whole game, with majority of public on them (65% or more) and the line is slightly drop. I took dog for 1H. If covered, I put .5 of my winning on the favorite on 2H if the spread no bigger than the whole game.
    I don't keep track the record, but win very often.......then I take all my winning money gave back to my bookie by betting football.
    Never try on NBA.....you should keep this thread going
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  9. 12-14-09 07:51 PM #9
    boba
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    Quote Originally Posted by landers781 View Post
    Vinny, I almost always play 2nd h unders and they seem to come in more often than not unless an OT. A couple of times the over hits but not by much

    its very true.
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  10. 12-15-09 02:30 AM #10
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post
    Anyday there are less than 10 games in the NBA, almost all dogs tend to cover the 1H spread. I'll test this trend starting today with the following 1H dog plays:

    Indiana +7 (-110) WIN
    GSW +3 (-115) LOSS
    Memphis +4 (-110) WIN
    NO +5 (-110) LOSS
    Minn +7.5 (-115) WIN
    OKC +5.5 (-110). LOSS
    Washington +1 (-110) WIN


    Dogs went 4-3 (+0.70) in the 1H.
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  11. 12-15-09 09:44 AM #11
    Wilforth
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    2nd day of 1H dogs experiment:

    NJ +7.5 (-105)
    NYK +2.5 (-110)
    Toronto +3.5 (-110)
    Chicago +6 (-110)
    Detroit +2.5 (-110)
    SA +1.5 (-110)
    Sacramento +3.5 (-110) I like this one the most.
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