So, game 2 basically opened at Spurs -4. It got as high as -5 at a few offshore books. I didn't notice it going to -5 in Vegas though.
Earlier yesterday line dropped to -4 Spurs offshore. With 2 websites reporting Heat ML 75% and 71%
Today it dropped to Spurs -3.5 at one offshore book. But mostly books reporting -4 and indicating Heat ML 68%. 76%
Yes, I could see Spurs winning Game 2. But, for the business of making money... you have to let Miami win here. Then again, A lot of people are hammering Heat ML. Mega payout for offshore books and Vegas. The other theory is... when this series goes back to Miami... no way will the Heat win both at home. Vegas isn't going to let you have a free for all hammering Heat ML's Game 3 and Game 4.
So... if the NBA wanted this series to extend longer... here.s my chart of the what if's?
If The Heat win tonight... 1-1 After 2 Games
I guarantee Spurs win at least 1 in Miami. So after 4 games 2-2. (Wager accordingly)
But... If Spurs do win tonight... 2-0 After 2 Games
Again, No way Miami wins back-to-back at Home. Spurs Lead 3-1 After 4 Games (Wager accordingly)
Here's a shocker for you... what if Spurs win tonight 2-0 After 2 Games.
The NBA knows people will hammer Miami Game 3 and Game 4. And let the Spurs Sweep them? Ultimate money for Vegas and Offshore. The story line isn't that far fetched. It could happen.
I'm always thinking different money making ways for the NBA. It's not about the logic of a basketball game. It's about the logic of entertainment.
Personally, I'm a little confused of what could happen tonight. I could see Miami winning game 2. I could see Spurs winning Game 2. I think it boils down to the accuracy of these websites of "public flow" near tip off.
What are you guys thinking?